FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME

September 29th, 2024

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

Sunday Morning Gametime

This is Sunday week 4 of the 2024 Fantasy Football season and we are passing the quarter mark of the regular fantasy season. With three weeks in the books, it is still tough to get a good read on what to expect and as per usual, injuries are playing havoc with the early part of this season.

Sunday thoughts:

• Even with Deebo Samuel returning today, it’s still safe to start (WR) Jauan Jennings today.
• With a trip to Sauce (Gardner) Island on the slate, avoid starting (WR) Courtland Sutton, if possible.
• Facing the 31st ranked fantasy defense against quarterbacks, today (QB) CJ Stroud gets right with a big game.
• Despite missing his top two targets, (QB) Jalen Hurts will thrive against the Bucs 27th ranked fantasy defense against quarterbacks.
• The Rams 30th ranked defense against opposing receivers has struggled to cover opposing receivers allowing the 6th most receiving yards, sounds like a big day for (WR) DJ Moore.

Sunday Fliers

If you are having any stretch of luck this season similar to mine, you too are swimming in the week 4 free agent pool looking for some help. For the deeper leagues looking for a dart throw this Sunday to fill a much needed void you might find some help with the following players.

WR-Parris Campbell & Jahan Dotson

The Eagles will be without both starters AJ Brown (hamstring) and DeVonta Smith (Concussion) Campbell and Dotson will be elevated into more prominent roles in the passing. The expectation is tight end Dallas Goedert and running back Saquon Barkley will be heavily involved in the passing game, but one of these dudes could step up today. If you are desperate, Dotson was on the field for 88% of snaps in week 3, while Campbell saw half. Dotson was traded to the team earlier this season, so he is still getting acclimated with the offense. I would lean on Dotson here and expect a decent showing against a decent Buccaneers defense.

That’s my take.
~David G Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE WEDNESDAY WATERCOOLER

November 22nd, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Wednesday Evening Edition

The Wednesday Watercooler

Fantasy notes for Week 12.

Over his last three games, the Texans rookie quarterback CJ Stroud is completing 69.2% of his passes, while averaging 387.3 yards passing per game this season. Stroud is a low-end QB-1 against the Jaguars in Week 12.

Over his last three starts the 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy is completing 77.8% of his passes, while averaging 331.3 yards passing per game this season. On the road this Thursday, Purdy is a QB-1 in Week 12 versus the Seahawks.

In his last four starts the Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has been on a tear tossing 13 touchdowns and adding one rushing score, while averaging 317.8 yards passing per game. With a Week 12 Thanksgiving day matchup against the Commanders, Prescott will be a top-end QB-1.

The Texans running back Devin Singletary has averaged 26 carries over his last two games, while averaging 131 yards rushing and 5.0 yards per carry. With the potential return of running back Dameon Pierce, Singletary should be considered a back-end RB2/flex option this week.

The Bills running back James Cook ranks 5th among running backs with 269 yards rushing over the last 4 weeks and he's averaging 5.5 yards per carry during this stretch. With a Week 12 showdown matchup on Sunday against the Eagles, Cook figures in as a low RB2. 

Since week 8, the Ravens running Gus Edwards leads the NFL with 8 rushing touchdowns while rushing for 218 yards. Edwards will slot in this week as a strong RB2 play against the Chargers on Sunday night.

Since Week 8, the Buccaneers running back Rachaad White (fantasy RB11) has been targeted 21 times and leads all running backs with 19 receptions. Effective in the pass game, White should be considered a strong RB2 this week against the Colts.

Since Week 7, the Lions rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs (fantasy RB6) has been targeted 26 times, registering 23 receptions and 189 yards receiving (ranks 4th among RBs during this stretch). Gibbs is locked in as a borderline RB1/RB2.

In Week 11, the Giants running back Saquon Barkley (fantasy RB9) turned 5 targets into 4 receptions, 57 yards receiving, with two touchdown catches. Barkley has 27 receptions for 162 yards receiving and 4 touchdowns this season. With a Week 12 tilt on Sunday against the Patriots, Barkley is locked in as an RB1.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY'S HEROES WEEK 10

November 13th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Monday Evening Edition

NFL Sunday Week 9

Sunday’s Heroes

There was a lot of great action in week 10 and some fantastic performances. These were just a couple of the notable I watched on Sunday and would like to recognize for the greatness they were.

CJ Stroud (Texans) The rookie quarterback is playing well beyond his years. He’s playing his way into the MVP conversation with his recent outings. On Sunday the kid added to his legend bringing his team from behind for the Week 10 win, while passing for 356 yards and adding two scores (1 pass, 1 run). He’s the fantasy QB5 and has now entered the must-start territory.

Jared Goff (Lions) The Lions quarterback delivered on Sunday leading his team to Week 10 win over the Chargers. Goff passed 333 yards, while completing 69.7% of his passes and throwing two touchdowns. Goff is a fringe fantasy starter at the moment, but averaging 296.3 yards passing over his last three games, he’s trending upward.

TJ Hockenson (Vikings) Even when he’s banged up, Hockenson plays big. On Sunday he was a target monster (15 targets) turning in a huge performance to help lead the Vikings to a road win over the Saints. Hockenson pulled in 11 passes for 134 yards receiving and a touchdown. Hockenson is tight end gold.

Colts Defense (DST) The Colts defense showed up and delivered in Germany on Sunday, shutting down the Patriots offense. The Colts pass rush caused turmoil and chaos all afternoon for quarterback Mac Jones and company. The D recorded five sacks and forced two turnovers. The Colts defense (fantasy DST10) has now strung together solid back-to-back outings and should be owned coming out of their upcoming week 11 bye.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SATURDAY'S FF QUICK TAKES

November 11th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

Week 10 FF Plays

Sneaky Plays for Week 10

It’s another week impacted by the Byes and fantasy managers will have to dig a little deeper this week with teams like the Eagles, Dolphins, and Chiefs off this Sunday. There will be no Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, or AJ Brown available this Sunday, so time to go diving and find some fantasy value.

Mayfield is in Play this Sunday.

The Buccaneers quarterback has been a steady fantasy play over his last three games. Mayfield has been scoring in the fantasy starting range during this stretch averaging 259 yards passing, while completing 63.2% of his passes with five touchdowns. While the Titans defense has been pretty good against opposing quarterbacks, Mayfield faces a secondary that allows the 9th most completions and the 6th highest completion rate this season with the fewest picks this season.

Trent Irwin has value against the Texans.

With the Bengals receiving corps banged up and wideout Tee Higgins already ruled out, Irwin is in play this Sunday. The Bengals could also be without Ja’Marr Chase on Sunday opening up opportunities for the remaining pass catchers. While Tyler Boyd will be the popular pickup and insert this week, Irwin could fill a void in deeper leagues and provide value in DFS.

Noah Brown is a streaming Dark Horse.

Following a breakout game in week 9, the Texans wide receiver Noah Brown should be on most fantasy managers' radar heading into Sunday. Led by rookie quarterback CJ Stroud, the Texans passing game appears to be in high gear heading into this Week 10 road tilt with the Bengals. In two of their last three games, the Bengals secondary has been lit up by opposing receivers allowing the 7th most fantasy points in each contest.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: 10 THINGS FOR SUNDAY

November 5th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

10 Things for Sunday

It’s Sunday morning, we have early morning football from Germany on the tube and NFL Sunday Week 9 is underway. With the main slate set to kickoff in just about 2 hours, I have a few questions as I look over the matchups today. 

Who’s going to have a big game, will anyone shock the world, and are we in for some high scoring affairs. Some of these are just general questions concerning today, but as I take a closer look at Week 9 here are the 10 questions.

1. Can Action Jackson serve up some Home Cooking?

Lamar Jackson is having a very good 23 campaign and with a home tilt today against the Seahawks he’ll look to continue. In his last two home starts he has 696 yards of offense and six touchdowns. Today could be big numbers.

2. Will the return of Watson Spark the Browns?

The Browns quarterback makes his return today after missing 3 of the team’s last four games. While his return should be a boost to the offense, just as important running back Jerome Ford appears ready to lead the backfield today. The Browns should fare well on the ground today against the Cardinals.

3. Is it Time for Stroud to Shine?

The Texans rookie signal caller has been relatively quiet the past several weeks. After throwing 7 touchdowns in his first 5 games averaging 292 yards passing, he has just two scoring throws and 169.5 yards passing per game. A home matchup with a leaky Tampa Bay secondary could be the fix needed, dial up some Texans receivers today.

4. Can Derek Carr Stay Hot?

The Saints passer has thrown for over 300 yards in three straight contests. He has the Bears 30th ranked pass defense on the slate today and a good chance to make it four. The Bears have allowed over 300 yards passing three times this season and gave up 298 in Week 8.

5. Can a Change at QB Spark some Offense?

The Falcons will play host today to the Vikings and will be doing so with a change at quarterback. Taylor Heinicke will take over the offense today for Atlanta in hope of sparking more offense through the air. In relief last week Heinicke stepped in and completed 12 of 21 with a touchdown. With no Drake London, today could be the Kyle Pitts, Van Jefferson, and Bijan Robinson show.

6. Is it Time to Set Jones Free (again)?

There were calls a couple of seasons ago to set Aaron Jones free. This season the Packers running back has been hampered by a lingering hamstring injury, but finally there may be a ray of hope. Per the Packers Head Coach Matt LaFleur, Jones has looked good in practice this week and the team could be ready to cut him loose. If Jones is turned loose, he’ll have a chance to be an RB-1 today. 

7. Who will catch passes for the Patriots today?

The Patriots are depleted at the receiver position today with Kendrick Bourne placed on IR earlier this week and DeVante Parker ruled out. Could today be JuJu Smith-Schuster time? JuJu has only recorded 15 catches this season, including one last week for 3 yards. This is a tough situation fantasy managers may want to avoid.

8. Is it Taylor’s Time?

The Colts running back Zack Moss has continued to be a big part of the team's running game, but for two straight weeks now Jonathan Taylor has led the team in Rushing. Last week was Taylor’s best rushing output, with 95 yards on 12 carries and with a Week 9 matchup against a Panthers 24th ranked run defense, Taylor could be poised for a big day. Dial up some JT today. 

9. Will Big Changes in Vegas Pay Fantasy Dividends?

The Raiders decided to clean house after their Monday night loss to the Lions. The Raiders offense looked bad and now with the firings of HC Josh McDaniels and the GM, the team announced a change at quarterback. With rookie quarterback Aidan O’Connell under center, is there hope for Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers to be productive? The Raiders offense looked bad on Monday night, so they really can’t get any worse, I am willing to roll the dice with a home matchup with the Giants.

10. Can Joe Cool Chill the Bills?

The Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has been playing well the past several weeks and the offense could be on the verge of hitting on all pistons. With Ja’Marr Chase (fantasy WR5) playing great and Tee Higgins getting healthier, Burrow may be just getting started. The Bills secondary and defense has allowed the 6th most passing yards over the past 4 weeks, expect Joe and company to push those numbers higher. Dial up your Big Cats today.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: FF WEEK 9 FIRE & ICE

November 4th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

FF Week 9: Fire & Ice Report

Through Eight weeks of NFL action there have been plenty of players up and down throughout the season, heading into this Sunday. Fantasy studs like AJ Brown and Tyreek Hill continue to trend in the right direction and while others like Deebo Samuel are struggling to stay on the field. With less than 12 hours until NFL Sunday Week 9 kickoff, this is a short list of some of my notables that are either heating up or cooling down or (on) Fire or Ice (cold).

Fire

The Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (fantasy QB20) has been on a roll lately. Last week Burrow passed for nearly 300 yards, completing a career high 87.5% of his passes going 28 of 32, with three touchdowns. Over his last three games Burrow has averaged 261.7 yards passing, completing 76.3% of his 113 passes, and tossed 8 touchdowns. With a Sunday night matchup at home against the Bills, he's a fantasy lock for Week 9.

The Jets second year running back Breece Hall (fantasy RB15) looks to be firing on all pistons as he rolls into a Week 9 matchup on Monday night with the Chargers. Hall is coming off a solid Week 8 showing in the pass game, bringing in 6 passes for 76 yards and a 50-yard touchdown reception. Through his last three games Hall has been the fantasy RB4 averaging 77.7 yards rushing on 15+ carries per game. He’s also been terrific in the passing game adding 14 receptions for 147 yards receiving and three touchdowns (1 receive, 2 run) during this stretch. Hall is a must-start for Week 9.

Ravens running back Gus Edwards (fantasy RB30) has been hot of late, coming off a spectacular Week 8 performance with three rushing touchdowns. Edwards is averaging 61.7 yards rushing and 35.3 yards receiving over his last three games with most of the damage being fueled by his two most recent games. With a home tilt in Week 9 against a tough Seahawks defense he’s still a solid flex consideration for Week 9.

The rookie wide receiver Jordan Addison (fantasy WR11) has been the guy in Minnesota the past several games in absence of Justin Jefferson. In his past two games he’s been heavily targeted (averaging 9 per) registering 14 receptions for  205 yards and three scores. He has actually scored a touchdown in four straight games averaging 8 targets, 5.8 receptions, 74.2 yards receiving, with 5 receiving touchdowns. He’s a must-start this week against a Falcons secondary that has surrendered 5 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers the past two weeks.

Colts rookie wide receiver Josh Downs (fantasy WR37) has been trending in the right direction the past several weeks. For the past four straight weeks, he has seen no fewer than 6 targets per game. During his last three contests, Downs has caught 17 passes for 218 yards receiving and two touchdowns. After the success he has had in back-to-back games against the Browns and Saints, Downs faces a tough Carolina defense on Sunday, but he belongs in lineups.

The Bills rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid (fantasy TE12) has arrived. Kincaid is coming off consecutive games with at least 7 targets, 5 receptions, and 65 yards receiving. The Bills are one of the best offenses in the NFL and with his teammate Dawson Know on the IR, Kincaid should remain one of the primary weapons of the passing game behind (Stefon) Diggs. With a Sunday night Matchup with the Bengals on the calendar, Vegas has this contest pegged as the highest scoring affair in Week 9, fantasy managers can turn, and his name is Dalton (Kincaid), loose.

The Browns tight end David Njoku (fantasy TE12) has been quietly warming up. Njoku is averaging double-digit fantasy points over his last three games and in his last two, he has seen his target share and productivity increase significantly. With 17 targets in his last two contests Njoku has 9 receptions for 131 yards receiving and a score. The Browns will have quarterback Deshaun Watson back under center on Sunday and a home matchup with the Cardinals make Njoku a serviceable TE-1 this week. The Cardinals are allowing more than 10 fantasy points (ppr format) to TE-1 this season.

Ice

The Texans quarterback CJ Stroud (fantasy QB16) started out the season hot, but he has cooled off quite a bit over the past several weeks. In his past three starts, Stroud is only completing 55.2% of his passes and has thrown only three touchdowns.  He has a home matchup with the Buccaneers this week and although Tampa has struggled lately allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks for the past four weeks, Stroud is a sit this week in seasonal leagues, but remains a consideration in DFS.

The Packers running back Aaron Jones (fantasy RB30) has been on ice since returning from injury in Week 4. After missing Week 5, he returned in Week 7 following the team’s bye, but he’s basically been on a pitch count the past couple of weeks, splitting snaps with AJ Dillon, and has not done much. In his last two games he’s averaging 11 touches for 52.5 yards per game. Until Jones is healthy, he’s best left on your bench.

The Chiefs wide receivers Kadarius Toney (fantasy WR95) & Skyy Moore (fantasy WR88) entered the 23 season with much promise being a part of an offense anchored by quarterback Patrick Mahomes. In their last three games, Toney has 5 catches (8 targets) for 26 yards and a score, while Moore has totaled 5 receptions (10 targets) for 45 yards. Through 8 weeks this season, neither has done much of anything to even warrant a roster spot.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SATURDAY (FF) QUICK TAKES (WK8-2)

October 28, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Afternoon Edition

Fantasy Football Quick Takes

Jets vs Giants Matchup

The Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (fantasy WR23) has 32 receptions for 369 yards receiving and two touchdowns this season. Despite the inconsistent play at quarterback, Wilson remains a low-end WR-2 or flex play.

Jaguars vs Steelers Matchup

The Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr (fantasy RB5) has rushed for 504 yards with 7 touchdowns this season. Etienne Jr has also caught 24 passes for 196 yards receiving. Over the past three weeks Etienne has been the top fantasy running back, he’s locked in this week and should be a safe Top-10 fantasy RB.

Eagles vs Commanders Matchup

The Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin (fantasy WR25) has caught 37 passes for 432 yards with one touchdown this season. A fringe WR-2 thus far this season, McLaurin has a friendly matchup this week with the Eagles 31st in fantasy against wide receivers.

Texans vs Panthers Matchup

The Texans quarterback CJ Stroud (fantasy QB17) has thrown for 1,660 yards (276.6/game) and tossed 9 touchdowns to one pick this season. Over his last three games Stroud has averaged more than 250 yards passing per game with 5 touchdowns. Sitting just outside the top-12 this week, he’s a strong play in 2-QB leagues.

Browns vs Seahawks Matchup

The Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker (fantasy RB8) has rushed for 450 yards this season, adding 7 touchdowns (6 run, 1 receive) and 13 receptions for 106 yards receiving. A full participant, Walker is good to go for Sunday and locked-in fantasy lineups.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: 10 THINGS FOR NFL SUNDAY

October 8th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

10 Things for Sunday

Hey, it’s Sunday, funday. We’ve got plenty of football on the docket and I am heavily invested in DFS today. With so many DFS lineups (probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 50, I may have a few questions swirling in my head. What’s the weather today, is this stud sitting today, did that guy get activated, do I have this guy in my lineups. These would be a few and while I have plenty more and little time before kickoff, it’s time to play a little game.

This little exercise I do can be considered the same “Questions Game”, Phoebe played with Joey on the show “Friends” where she asked him a series of questions and he answers them very quickly. Unfortunately for me there is no Monica and Rachel option. I will just have to stay with football criteria.

Here are the 10 quick questions or things on my mind.

1. How good is CJ Stroud?

My Take: The kid has been fabulous this season and impressive averaging over 300 passing per game with 6 passing touchdowns and no picks. The whole program in Houston looks impressive and I suspect the early success of Stroud has a lot to do with it. I can see the Texans start to shift their focus and lean more on the run game more going forward, but I don’t see Stroud necessarily slowing down. He’s got a nice compliment of weapons so I don’t believe his success is short lived.

2. Can Sammy Step up in Week 5?

My Take: The Lions are a little depleted on the offensive side of the ball with a couple of key players likely out today against the Panthers. Rookie tight end Sam LaPorta has been better than good through the team’s first four games and will likely be featured in the pass game today. LaPorta is the number two fantasy tight end (fantasy points per game) and has a great chance at improving those numbers today.

3. Which Dolphin will blow up in Week 5?

My Take: All the Dolphins do is add speed and get faster. As if Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle weren’t fast enough, the team has added wide receiver Chase Claypool. Nonetheless, Waddle, Claypool, Hill or even Robbie Chosen, this team is just a warehouse of dynamite waiting to explode. This week’s matchup looks to be a great opportunity and if I’m betting, it’s Cheetah time again.

4. Will Waller finally Wake?

My Take: It’s been four weeks, has someone reminded quarterback Daniel Jones, he has tight end Darren Waller in his lineup? Waller has basically been absent in the Giants pass game, the past two games with just 6 receptions for 41 yards and a fantasy TE31 showing in this span. The Giants offense has looked horrid and even a matchup with the Dolphins offers few silver linings. In what could become a lopsided affair, maybe Jones can check it down to Waller once in a while.

5. Can Swift Stay Hot?

My Take: Today’s matchup with the Rams will be interesting. The Eagles offense is loaded with weapons in the passing game and when you add Swift to the mix, look out. Since taking over the lead back duties in Philly, Swift has been stellar with 361 yards rushing and a 6.2 yards per carry average. The Rams defense has been in the top third against the run this season, but today they face Swift, a very tall task. The Eagles O-line is one of the best in the league and Swift is just a special talent, advantage Swift.

6. Is this The Return of Cooper Kupp?

My Take: I say it’s a bit premature to say it’s the return. However, I would expect to see Kupp targeted somewhere in the neighborhood of 7 to 8 times today. He will have fair numbers, worthy of starting but his impact will be how his presence will allow things to open up for Puka Nacua and Tyler Higbee today.

7. Can Joe Cool Heat Up?

My Take: As a fantasy owner of Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase I certainly hope so. The real question is how healthy is that calf. I am sure the team is staring at their bye week (week 7), when rest will help Burrow heal. Until then, there are going to be some tough outings, however today’s matchup against the Cardinals may offer a glimpse of what might be coming. The Cardinals allow the 8th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but are fantasy owners willing to chance it (not me).

8. Is it Breece Hall time?

My Take: Well it sure sounds like the Jets intend to turn Hall loose this week. The Head coach announced earlier in the week, no restrictions, just like music to fantasy owners ears. It’s a prime matchup for Hall, as the Broncos have the worst run defense this season and their tackling has been atrocious. Hall should be in all seasonal lineups today and make sure you have plenty of shares in DSF.

9. Can the Chiefs slow JJ?

My Take: So far through four weeks, no one has been able to slow Justin Jefferson. JJ is getting peppered with targets every week, averaging nearly 12 per game. All he has done with this workload is turned it into 8.2 receptions, 135 yards receiving per game with three touchdowns. He was the consensus overall number one in fantasy drafts and he is living up to expectations. Today shouldn’t be any different.

10. Can CMC steam roll the Cowboys?

My Take: This will be the classic “Clash of the Titans” NFC matchup and it will be in primetime on Sunday Night. Just like Jefferson, Christian McCaffrey was a top draft prospect in fantasy and in most drafts was the first running back selected. Through the first four weeks, CMC has been in a world of his own, leading all fantasy players in scoring with 150 yards of offense per game and seven touchdowns this season. Even if the Cowboys defense can slow him, he has such a high floor, he’s still going to get numbers.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: FF WEEK 5 STARTS

October 7th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Late-Evening Edition

Fantasy Football Week 5

Start’Ems

We are now getting into the “Bye Weeks” of the NFL season and fantasy owners are now going to have to navigate with key players on bye and look to the waiver wire and free agent market to fill out their lineups. There are several key injuries this week that are going to impact many lineups; in Detroit wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown likely sits, Joe Burrow’s calf injury has fantasy owners weighing their choices this week, and in addition to St. Brown the Lions will likely be without their rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs (hamstring).

Other notable week 5 injuries;

Jimmy Garappolo (concussion) P

Joe Burrow (calf) Q

Derek Carr (shoulder) Q

Jahmyr Gibbs (hamstring) D

Javonte Williams (quad) Q

Aaron Jones (hamstring) Q

Saquon Barkley (ankle) Q

Davante Adams (shoulder) Q

Amon-Ra St. Brown (abdomen) D

Tee Higgins (ribs) O

Pat Freiermuth (hamstring) O

My week 5 Starts

While fantasy owners will likely be moving the listed players to their bench, these are a handful of Starts that should be in play for Week 5.

CJ Stroud (Texans) - The rookie quarterback is healthy and looks great thru the first four weeks. Stroud has entered the starting fantasy QB conversation with his four week numbers; 1,212 yards passing (5th), 6 passing touchdowns (5th), and 110.65 passer rating (9th). He’s been sharp, consistent, and exciting to watch. With wins over Jacksonville and Pittsburgh in this early season, Stroud has the Texans playing good football at the moment. 

Stroud is currently the fantasy QB12. My projections for him this week are weighed more on how he’s been playing, rather than who he is facing. The Falcons have been a bit stingy this season versus opposing quarterbacks, but from what I’ve seen so far in the early part of this season, the Texans offense may be the biggest test for them thus far. Stroud has just been solid and he’s got some great weapons to work with in Nico Collins, Robert Woods, Tank Dell, and Dalton Schultz. 

If the Texans can get any semblance of a running game going this week, Stroud could be in for a big day off the play-action and hit a couple of deep shots. He’s a start for me this week.

De’Von Achane (Dolphins) - The rookie running back has been quite special the past couple of weeks. Like all big dawgs, you just gotta keep feeding him. Achane’s 2023 start was slowed with an injury that kept him sidelined in week one and limited to 6 snaps in week 2. Once they turned him loose in week 3, he was gone.

Achane has seen snapcounts of 30 (41%)  in week 3 and 39 (60%) in week 4,  and his numbers have been prolific. The rookie has toted the rock 26 times for 304 yards the past two weeks and his 309 total rushing yards leads the AFC. The critical stat to pay close attention to is his 60% snapcount share in week 4. Teammate Raheem Mostert fumbled twice, which contributed to Achane’s extended time on the field, but it is his talent that will keep him there.

This week’s matchup with the Giants is just way too sweet to avoid. Achane has to be in seasonal lineups as well as DFS. The Giants defense is ranked 29th versus the run and surrenders well over 4 yards per carry. I expect to see Achane getting in the action early and often and doing lots of damage. He’s a week 5 must-start for me. Start Achane.

Marquise Brown (Cardinals) - The Cardinals wide receiver is an interesting play for week 5. Quietly he is currently the fantasy WR22 with 21 receptions and 239 receiving yards to lead his team. He also has two receiving touchdowns.

Over his last three games played, “Hollywood” is averaging 9 targets, six receptions, and 70 receiving yards per game, which include his two touchdowns. During this stretch his numbers are a borderline WR-1/WR2.

While he does have what could be considered a tough matchup this week, Brown and his quarterback have been playing well over the past several weeks. With a home tilt on the slate for week 5, I feel good about his chances to put up good numbers once again. Hollywood should be in lineups and a good DFS value play. Start Hollywood.

Sam LaPorta (Lions) - The Lions rookie tight end has been spectacular this season. Through the first four weeks he is fantasy TE4, tied with the Vikings tight end TJ Hockenson. His 242 yards receiving leads all tight ends in the NFL and his 22 receptions ranks third.

LaPorta has an interesting matchup this week against the Panthers. Their defense does a decent job against opposing tight ends, but they have yet to face a tight end with LaPorta’s production level. With the exception of Hockenson, who the Panthers held in check last week.

With a depleted receiving corps in Detroit this week, I am expecting to see an even more involved LaPorta (27 targets this season - ranks 5th). Through the first four weeks Sammy has been good, he could be even better in week 5. Start Sam LaPorta in week 5.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE WAIVER WIRE

October 3rd, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Tuesday Late-Evening Edition

The Waiver Wire

The fantasy football season is a long and arduous trek with plenty of peaks and valleys throughout. The best owners can hope for is that the valley doesn’t run too deep and that they peak at the right time.

One of the best methods for team improvement is the weekly ritual of working the Waiver Wire. Every week fantasy owners are looking for way to improve their team and looking for that diamond in the rough to turn their season around.

Here are this week’s diamonds.

Week 5 Waiver Wire Options

QB, CJ Stroud (Texans) - It may seem a bit premature to go all-in on Texans quarterback CJ Stroud, but he is putting up one heckuva argument to do so. For the season Stroud has been the fantasy QB11 and over the past three weeks he has more passing yards (970) than any other quarterback with six touchdowns and no picks. It may be risky to insert him as your every week starter, but few quarterbacks are playing as well as Stroud; he needs to be owned.

QB, Joshua Dobbs (Cardinals) - Over the past two weeks, Dobbs has been an effective starter posting solid fantasy numbers; 454 yards passing and three touchdowns. He’s been the fantasy QB10 his last two starts and can be considered a possible streaming option during the bye weeks that start in week 5.

RB, Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos) - The Broncos starter Javonte Williams exited the team’s week 4 game, but is not expected to miss much, if any time. That being the cash, his departure opened the door for rookie running back Jaleel McLaughlin. He showed plenty of flash in the ground and air attack, totaling over 100 yards. It’s hard to determine what his usage will be going forward, but he’s definitely stash/(cuff) worthy and flex consideration.

RB, Jaylen Warren (Steelers) - The Steelers running back Jaylen Warren has been steady playing behind starter Najee Harris, but over the past three weeks he has been the more productive back. Warren has 78 yards rushing to Harris’ 179, but he also has 13 receptions for 115 yards receiving (to Najee’s 2 for 32). In a ppr format, Warren is a borderline RB2/RB3, so he’s definitely in the flex conversation

WR, Tyler Boyd (Bengals) - With starter Tee Higgens expected to miss time, Boyd steps up into a starting role and needs to be picked up. Over the past three weeks he has averaged 8 targets per game, with Higgins out his workload will increase.

WR, Michael Wilson (Cardinals) - Over the past two weeks the Cardinals wide receiver Michael Wilson has been targeted 10 times and caught 9 passes for 162 yards receiving with two touchdowns. He has been the fantasy WR13. He’s a worthy add this week with flex appeal.

Watchlist

These are some names fantasy owners should have on their watchlist for possible pickups in the near future, Chubba Hubbard (Panthers), Melvin Gordon III (Ravens), Allen Lazard (Jets), Darnell Mooney (Bears), and Curtis Samuel (Commanders). Keep an eye on their production and usage in the coming week or two.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE WAIVER WIRE

September 26th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Tuesday Evening Edition

The Waiver Wire

We’ve completed three weeks of action and there’s plenty of data to unsort and players to consider for adding this week. If you were impacted by the unfortunate loss of Williams (Chargers) in Los Angeles this week or have been trying to navigate without Aaron Jones or Christian Watson, it’s that time of the week again. Waiver wire time.

Week 4 Waiver wire options;

QB-CJ Stroud (Texans) - In case you haven’t paid attention, through the first three weeks of the season, the Texans rookie quarterback is fantasy QB12. He’s coming off two straight weeks inside the Top-12 and has looked good doing so. He definitely looks like a worthy streaming option and bye week filler. He’s worth the add, if you can make room.

QB-Jordan Love (Packers) - The Packers signal caller sits at the fantasy QB4 spot and while the numbers look great, his inaccuracy (53.1% completion) is concerning. Last week Love showed some of his character and ability to handle adversity. I’m not ready to call him an every-week starter, but he needs to be owned.

QB-Russell Wilson (Broncos) - While the Broncos in general look like a mess, at least the offense and Wilson appear to be better than last year. Through the first three weeks Wilson is the No.9 fantasy quarterback. It hasn’t looked pretty at times, because the defense has been a disaster, but Wilson is completing over 65% of his passes and has thrown for 791 yards and 6 touchdowns. Wilson looks improved this season and should be considered a safe add and streaming option.

RB-Zach Moss (Colts) - He should be owned in every fantasy league and in your starting lineups. He looks the part (averaging 27 touches per game) and is currently producing like a fantasy RB1. Moss is the fantasy RB6 in his two weeks on the field and this past week against a pretty good Ravens defense he finished the week at fantasy RB5. If he’s still available go get him and use 85-90% of your FAAB to get him. 

RB-De’Von Achane (Dolphins) - The Dolphins rookie running back made a huge splash in his debut, breaking out and running all over the Broncos in week 3. Achane was on fire getting into the end zone four times and rushing for over 200 yards. It’s hard to predict his usage going forward at this moment, but with so much talent you have to believe the Phins will work him into the rotation. He should be owned and flex consideration.

WR-Tank Dell (Texans) - The Texans rookie receiver has been brilliant this season. Through the first three games he is the fantasy WR14, tied with Chris Olave. After a slow start in week one, his past two games have been Top-20 finishes. He’s averaging 7 targets per game, enough usage to keep him in the flex mix. He needs to be added.

WR-Joshua Palmer (Chargers) - There’s little doubt Palmer is going to be one of the hot adds this week. With Chargers wide receiver Mike Williams (ACL) going down this week, Palmer is the next man up. Palmer is a capable receiver in his own right and when he has been asked to step up in the past, he has delivered. He should be added and inserted into your lineup.

WR-Courtland Sutton (Broncos) - The Broncos receiver had a rough week 3, fumbling twice, but still finished as the fantasy WR13. With the improved Wilson this season, Sutton has been good enough to be a starting fantasy receiver. For the moment he warrants flex consideration and can be added.

TE-Gerald Everett (Chargers) - Everett is the fantasy TE19 through three weeks, but with the absence of Mike Williams he should see a bump in usage. His appeal and numbers should improve going forward, now would be the time to nab him before his stock rises.

A few more players that should be kept an eye on include the following players, (WR) Michael Gallup, (TE) Luke Musgrave, (WR) Quentin Johnson, (WR) Marvin Mims Jr. These are players that at some point could become viable streaming options and bye week fills.

Check your leagues for availability and good luck in week 3.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: 10 THINGS FOR NFL SUNDAY

September 24th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

10 Things for NFL Sunday

NFL Sunday week 3 is only just a few hours away, fresh batteries are in my remotes, breaking out all of my TVs, switching on Youtube TV (with Sunday Ticket), and I’m giving all of my fantasy lineups a second and third look. 

There’s still a lot to take in, the never-ending notes to review, last minute changes to make due to injuries, all the while the clock to kickoff is counting down. You just gotta love fantasy football.

The cold beverages are on ic and football foods are in great supply for the 10 hour marathon that lies ahead. And speaking of ten, here are the Top-10 things on my mind as I await the kickoff to NFL Sunday Week 3;

1. “Can the Cheetah be Caught” - The Dolphins will be without wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, so I’m expecting to see the Phin go into overdrive getting the ball into the hands of Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins offense still has other capable receivers to occupy the defense, so the reeling Broncos are going to have a tough time slowing down the Cheetah, let alone catch him.

2. “Can the Bills keep Cooking” - The weather may not cooperate in this matchup with the Bills and Commanders. Bills running back James Cook (fantasy RB17)  is coming off career week 2 performance, Cooks posted his best game as a pro with 123 yards rushing and 17 carries. He totaled 21 touches in week 2 and could be in line for a repeat workload.

3. “Is it Miller Time at Lambeau” - With Jamaal Williams shelved for Sunday, the Saints rookie running back Kendre Miller will not only make his debut, but he’ll have a real opportunity to have an impact. As the old saying goes “Cream rises to the top”, Miller could have an impact today.

4. “Can Stroud find more Nico” - Through two weeks this season, quarterback CJ Stroud to wide receiver Nico Collins has been bank. Collins has been targeted 20 times in two games and enters today as the fantasy WR7. I’m expecting more of the same against the Jags.

5. “Ridley, Believe it or Not” - Last week was more of a forgettable week for Ridley and the Jags offense. This week is a nice get right game for Ridley and company. Even though his numbers were down last week (2/32/0), Ridley was still targeted 8 times, 19 for the season.

6. “An All-out Aerial Assault in Minny” - It’s Herbert versus Cousins, it's the Chargers and the Vikings. Through two weeks the Chargers defense is last versus the pass and last week, the Vikings secondary showed their vulnerability against the pass facing the Eagles. The Chargers have a pair of receivers that should give the Vikes secondary fits all afternoon. The Bolts have to contend with Justin Jefferson, enough said. Shootout.

7. “Can Walker get Running” - The Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker has yet to get moving this season, averaging only 3.7 yards per carry. He’s fantasy RB14 facing the Panthers 23rd ranked run defense today, and will try to get the ground game out of first gear.

8. “Can Hollywood Right the Script” - The Cowboys defense has been stellar through two weeks, but they just suffered a major loss to their secondary. That could be key for Marquise “Hollywood” Brown to breakout today, as the Cardinals play host and look to secure their first win of the season.

9. “Is Skies the Limit” - The Chiefs entered Jacksonville last week 0-1 and came out of there with the road win. The passing game has yet to really get off the ground (by Mahomes standards), but we did see the appearance of Skyy Moore. The 2nd year receiver caught three balls, 70 yards and a touchdown on 4 targets. I see the Chiefs starting to feature the young receiver more and more and the season progresses.

10. “Sunday night Pickens” - Could Sunday Night be the encore performance fantasy owners are hoping for? Pickens is now the clear number one receiver and last Monday he showed his skills and big play ability. Enter the Raiders defense in week 3 that has allowed the highest rate of completion to opposing wide receivers. As long as the O-line gives Pickett time, we could see another big game from Pickens.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega