FSH NOTEBOOK: MY WEEKLY FANTASY FIXX

November 18th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

My Weekly DFS Favorites

I just can’t get enough fantasy football and over the next 8 days, we’re going to enjoy three days with multiple games, enough to fill the slate and provide that desired fantasy fix. In less than 12 hours, it’s DFS time Week 11 and here are my favorites for tomorrow.

$7300-KD, Dak Prescott (Cowboys) The Cowboys signal caller has been on a tear over the past three weeks. Prescott is averaging 360.7 yards passing per game while completing 73.0% of his passes, and tossing 11 touchdowns. The Panthers defense has been stingy against opposing quarterbacks for the most part this season, but have finished in the bottom five for the week against the Lions and Dolphins. Prescott and company could likely put them there once again.

$6400-DK, Breece Hall (Jets) The Jets ball carrier hasn’t been setting the fantasy world on fire as of late, but he continues to see a steady workload, which should bode well for his Week 11 matchup with the Bills. In his last 5 games, Hall has seen no fewer than 16 touches per game, averaging 19.2 touches per game recording 311 rushing yards, 21 receptions, 204 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. He’s a solid RB-2 in Week 11. 

$7200-DK, Travis Etienne Jr (Jaguars) The Jags runner was slowed last week in a lopsided loss to the Niners, but Week 11 sets up for a bounce back game. Before last week, Etienne entered the contest averaging 20+ carries per game in his prior 4 games totaling 323 yards on the ground. He’s an RB-1 fantasy play this week.

$6200-DK, Amari Cooper (Browns) In his three games with PJ Walker as the primary passer (weeks 6,7 & 8), Cooper has averaged 9.0 targets per contest while totaling 12 receptions, for 219 yards receiving, and 18.25 yards per reception. Facing the Steelers 27th ranked secondary (DraftKings) versus opposing wide receivers, Cooper is a low-end WR2.

$7200-DK, Brandon Aiyuk (49ers) At his price level on Draftkings, Aiyuk is a very appealing play this week matched up against the Buccaneers. The Bucs rank 29th (DK) versus opposing wide receivers and Aiyuk has been consistent averaging 4.3 receptions, 73.7 yards receiving with one touchdown over his last three games. He’s a strong WR-2 in Week 11.

$7100-DK, Puka Nacua (Rams) Set to play on Sunday after returning to full participation in practice this week, Puka is the better value between he and (Cooper) Kupp. In his last four games Puka has enjoyed no fewer than 7 targets per game. With a Week 11 matchup against the Seahawks 19th ranked secondary (DK), Nacua should be a borderline WR-1/WR-2 on Sunday.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE SATURDAY WATERCOOLER

November 18th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

The Wednesday  Saturday Watercooler

Still working our way through the NFL byes with four teams out (Atlanta, Indianapolis, New Orleans, and New England), just some helpful numbers for the DFS gamers and the seasonal players setting their lineups for Week 11.

Here are the target leaders through 10 weeks.

WR-Top 10 Targets

1. Stefon Diggs - 102

2. Ja’Marr Chase - 99

3. Michael Pittman Jr - 98

4. Davante Adams - 98

5. Tyreek Hill - 97

6. Keenan Allen - 97

7. Puk Nacua - 96

8. Garrett Wilson - 95

9. Chris Olave - 94

10.AJ Brown - 92

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) There has not been a hotter receiver over the past three weeks than CeeDee Lamb. He has been heavily targeted (44 targets) registering 34 receptions for 500 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Consider Lamb and Top-10 candidate this week against the Panthers.

Amon-Ra St.Brown (Lions) The Lions receiver has been one of the most consistent pass catchers this season. Over his last three games St.Brown has been targeted 37 times, hauling in 27 passes, for 366 yards and a score. He’s locked in as a WR-1 this week against the Bears.

TE-Top 10 Targets

1. TJ Hockenson - 95

2. Travis Kelce - 72

3. Evan Engram - 68

4. Sam LaPorta - 64

5. Mark Andrews - 59

6. Kyle Pitts - 58

7. Cole Kmet - 57

8. Dalton Schultz - 56

9. David Njoku - 54

10.Dallas Goedert - 52

Dalton Schultz (Texans) Over his last two games the Texans tight end has been highly productive and efficient. Schultz has been targeted 17 times, turning in 14 receptions, for 201 yards receiving and a score. He ranks as a mid-to-low TE-1 in Week 11, even versus a Cardinals defense that has pretty good versus opposing tight ends.

RB-Top 10 Targets

1. Alvin Kamara - 56

2. Christian McCaffrey - 47

3. Josh Jacobs - 45

4. Rhamondre Stevenson - 45

5. Bijan Robinson - 43

6. Travis Etienne Jr - 39

7. Jaylen Warren - 39

8. Jamyr Gibbs - 38

9. Rachaad White - 37

10.Alexander Mattison - 36

Austin Ekeler (Chargers) Since returning to action in Week 6, it seems every week Ekeler is getting healthier and more productive. Over his last three games Ekeler is averaging 20.3 touches per game resulting in 143 yards rushing, 13 receptions (on 22 targets), 165 yards receiving, and 4 touchdowns. With an excellent Week 11 matchup with the Packers, Ekeler is a Top-10 lock.

RB-Top 10 Touches

1. Josh Jacobs - 216

2. Christian McCaffrey -191

3. Travis Etienne Jr - 189

4. Derrick Henry - 167

5. Rachaad White - 167

6. D’Andre Swift - 165

7. Tony Pollard - 164

8. Joe Mixon - 163

9. Saquon Barkley - 162

10.Kenneth Walker III - 161

Saquon Barkley (Giants) Despite the struggling Giants offense, Barkley continues to see just enough volume to stay relevant. Barkley is averaging 24 touches over his last three games, resulting in 302 total yards with no touchdowns. As long as the offense struggles Barkley will linger in the low RB-2/flex range.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE WEEKLY WAIVER WIRE

November 14th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Tuesday Evening Edition

The Weekly Waiver Wire

10 weeks into the season, if your playoff bubble has yet to burst, if you still have a chip and a chair, the Waiver Wire list may not be over-saturated or run deep, but there are still plenty of options offering help. With three more weeks impacted by team byes, here’s the short list of some Waiver wire help for Week 11.

Brandin Cooks (Cowboys) Owned in 49.1% of ESPN fantasy leagues, Cooks has scored 14 or more fantasy points (ppr) in 3 of his last 4 games.

Jordan Love (Packers) Owned in 44.7% of ESPN fantasy leagues, Love has not been spectacular and his fantasy scoring has tapered off a bit in recent weeks, but he has had a safe floor over his past four starts.

Odell Beckham Jr (Ravens) Owned in 42.6% of ESPN fantasy leagues, OBJ is a flier option as a flex-fill during the remaining bye. He has scored a touchdown in back-to-back contests and flashed some explosiveness in Week 10. With just 13 targets in his last three games his lack of volume makes him a risky play. 

Romeo Doubs (Packers) Owned in 39.7% of ESPN fantasy leagues, Doubs has scored in double digits fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games. Over this stretch Doubs has been targeted 22 times, catching 12 passes and scoring three touchdowns.

Joshua Dobbs (Vikings) 38.9% needs to be owned in all 2QB leagues, picked up in rest and could be a must-start the rest of the way.

Tyjae Spears (Titans) Owned in 32.6% of ESPN fantasy leagues, is doing enough work to be worth a roster spot. He is living around the flex bubble in larger (12 or more teams) fantasy leagues.

Demario Douglas (Patriots) Owned in 27.2% of ESPN fantasy leagues, Douglas has scored in double-digit fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games. It’s tough to trust the Patriots offense, but Douglas has been about the only consistent fantasy play over the past month, averaging more than 4 catches with 218 yards receiving over his last four games.

Noah Brown (Texans) Owned in 27.0% of ESPN fantasy leagues, Brown should be owned in all leagues. His quarterback (CJ Stroud) has shown he’s capable of carrying multiple receivers and Brown has been one of the hottest of late with 13 receptions for 325 yards receiving with a touchdown in the past two weeks.

Jayden Reed (Packers) Owned in 15.1% of ESPN fantasy leagues, Reed has scored in double-digit fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games. His target volume is a little on the lighter side, but 14.9 yards per reception bodes well for fantasy managers.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: FANTASY FOOTBALL WINS & WHIFFS (WEEK 10)

November 14th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Tuesday Evening Edition

Fantasy Football Whiffs & Wins

(NFL Week 10)

Week 10 was not a notable one for success, as I did not win any of the lotteries or the Millionaire Makers on DraftKings. I did however enjoy some personal fantasy success in my home leagues setting the weekly high in one, so there’s that. Even though I didn’t win big at the (fantasy football) track, I did get a few things right.

Week 10 Wins

Jahmyr Gibb (Lions) The rookie running back finished the week as the fantasy RB2, totaling 112 yards with two rushing touchdowns.

Tyler Boyd (Bengals) The Bengals wide receiver finished the week as the fantasy WR10, posting 8 receptions with 117 yards receiving.

Tank Dell (Texans) The Texans rookie wide receiver finished the week as the fantasy WR12, recording 6 catches for 56 yards receiving and a touchdown.

Noah Brown (Texans) The Texans wide receiver finished the week as the fantasy WR6, hauling in 7 passes for 172 yards receiving.

Trenton Irwin (Bengals) The Bengals wide receiver finished the week as the fantasy WR26, completing two grabs for 54 yards, including a 32-yard touchdown score.

Week 10 Whiffs

DeAndre Hopkins (Titans) The Titans wide receiver finished the week as the fantasy WR56, catching just 3 passes for 27 yards. This was Hopkins second dud in his last four games.

Brandon Powell (Vikings) Considering the absence of wide receiver KJ Osborn in addition to wide receiver Justin Jefferson still out, although the expectations weren’t high Powell’s week 10 numbers were disappointing. He finished the week as the fantasy WR43, collecting 4 passes for 35 yards receiving.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: FF SOMETHING WORTH NOTING (WK10)

November 13th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Monday Evening Edition

Fantasy Football: Something Worth Noting

(Week 10 Takeaways)

The Giants offense is bad.

Not only are the G-men the lowest scoring team in the league, but they also have the fewest passing yards per game and only the Jets have fewer passing touchdowns. The Giants continue to set new lows and other than running back Saquon Barkley (fantasy RB24), no other G-man is in the top 100 of fantasy.

The Lions offense is fantasy gold.

Not only is Goff playing his way into a fantasy starter for the back stretch of the season, the offense has at least four other fantasy starters in Amon-Ra St.Brown (fantasy WR6), Jahmyr Gibbs (fantasy RB8), David Montgomery (fantasy RB9), and Sam LaPorta (fantasy TE4).

Other notable takeaways from Week 10.

The Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (fantasy QB4) has averaged 360.7 yards passing while completing 73% of his passes with 11 touchdowns over his last three games.

The Commanders quarterback Sam Howell (fantasy QB9) has thrown 17 touchdowns this season, including 8 in his last three games.

The Lions running back David Montgomery (fantasy RB9) who has 501 yards rushing, has rushed for over 100 yards in a game three times this season.

The Lions rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs (fantasy RB8) has cashed in with 4 rushing touchdowns this season to go along with his 476 yards rushing and 200 receiving yards.

With his 11 catches on Sunday, the Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen (fantasy WR2) now leads the NFL with 73 receptions this season through 9 games.

The Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (fantasy WR4) has been on a tear of late, totaling  41 receptions for 617 yards receiving with three touchdowns over his last four games.

With his 11 grabs on Sunday, the Vikings tight end TJ Hockenson (fantasy TE2) has hauled in 71 passes this season to lead all tight ends.

The 49ers tight end George Kittle (fantasy TE4) has totaled 35 receptions for 559 yards receiving and averaged 16 yards per reception this season.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY'S HEROES WEEK 10

November 13th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Monday Evening Edition

NFL Sunday Week 9

Sunday’s Heroes

There was a lot of great action in week 10 and some fantastic performances. These were just a couple of the notable I watched on Sunday and would like to recognize for the greatness they were.

CJ Stroud (Texans) The rookie quarterback is playing well beyond his years. He’s playing his way into the MVP conversation with his recent outings. On Sunday the kid added to his legend bringing his team from behind for the Week 10 win, while passing for 356 yards and adding two scores (1 pass, 1 run). He’s the fantasy QB5 and has now entered the must-start territory.

Jared Goff (Lions) The Lions quarterback delivered on Sunday leading his team to Week 10 win over the Chargers. Goff passed 333 yards, while completing 69.7% of his passes and throwing two touchdowns. Goff is a fringe fantasy starter at the moment, but averaging 296.3 yards passing over his last three games, he’s trending upward.

TJ Hockenson (Vikings) Even when he’s banged up, Hockenson plays big. On Sunday he was a target monster (15 targets) turning in a huge performance to help lead the Vikings to a road win over the Saints. Hockenson pulled in 11 passes for 134 yards receiving and a touchdown. Hockenson is tight end gold.

Colts Defense (DST) The Colts defense showed up and delivered in Germany on Sunday, shutting down the Patriots offense. The Colts pass rush caused turmoil and chaos all afternoon for quarterback Mac Jones and company. The D recorded five sacks and forced two turnovers. The Colts defense (fantasy DST10) has now strung together solid back-to-back outings and should be owned coming out of their upcoming week 11 bye.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING QUICK TAKES (WEEK 10)

November 12th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

Week 10 FF Quick Takes

The Rambling Runners

Gus Edwards (Ravens)

The Ravens running back has had the hot hand of late scoring 6 rushing touchdowns his last three games. This week he faces the Browns 6th ranked run defense, so treading on the ground this week could be tough, fantasy managers should temper expectations a bit.

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Even with the return of David Montgomery this week, the rookie runner (Gibbs) should be a featured piece in the run as well as the passing game. Gibbs has 18 receptions for 106 receiving yards in his last three games.

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

The Bucs running back has been trending upward over the last several weeks with 17 receptions for 181 receiving yards over his last three games. He’ll also have a chance to do some damage on the ground against the Titans run defense that has allowed the 3rd most rushing yards the last two weeks.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME

November 12th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

Sunday Morning Gametime

Injuries always play a factor and influence game-flow and the potential outcomes in every game. Looking ahead to today’s slate of games, a couple of injury notes that could affect player performances in Week 10.

Tyler Boyd (Bengals)

With the potential of missing both wide receivers Tee Higgins (ruled OUT) and Ja’Marr Chase (back), Boyd would be elevated to the number one primary receiver. The Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has been slinging it all over the yard the past several weeks, making Boyd a favorite today in seasonal, as well as DFS.

Brandon Powell (Vikings)

The Vikings are still without wide receiver Justin Jefferson (activated off IR) and likely do not have KJ Osborn available today. Jordan Addison will be the popular pick today and deservedly so, but Brandon Powell will have some flex appeal and DFS value today. Even tight end TJ Hockenson is noted as possibly being on a pitch count today. For a lack of options available, Powell could see his role expand greatly today.

Tank Dell (Texans)

The Texans rookie wide receiver blew up last week against the Buccaneers, it was his third game with more than 20 fantasy points (ppr). With starting wide receiver Nico Collins (ruled OUT) sidelined today, Dell will likely become the defacto number one with a huge ceiling against a suspect Bengals 22nd ranked (vs the pass) secondary.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega