Friday, November 24, 2023

FSH NOTEBOOK: FRIDAY'S FANTASY FIX

November 24th, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Friday Evening Edition




Friday’s Fantasy Fixx


Over his last three games the Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen (fantasy WR2) is averaging 13 targets per game. During this span Allen has recorded 29 receptions for 368 yards receiving and three touchdowns. He’s pretty much matchup proof and a must-start WR-1.

During Weeks 9 thru 11, the Texans wide receiver Tank Dell (fantasy WR14) has registered 20 receptions (on 35 targets) for 319 yards receiving and 4 touchdowns. Dell has been special the past three weeks and should be locked in as a safe WR2.

The Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton (fantasy WR23) has scored a touchdown reception in five straight games. During this stretch he’s collected 24 receptions (on 31 targets) for 270 yards receiving and five of his season total 8 touchdowns. Sutton has been producing on the level of a fantasy WR-2 and should be considered such going forward.

Over his last three games, the Bills rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid (fantasy TE8) has caught 16 passes for 233 yards receiving and a score. The Bills rookie has been solid this season and become a reliable TE-1 going forward.

 The Vikings tight end TJ Hockenson (fantasy TE2) has caught 22 passes (on 34 targets) for 258 yards receiving and a touchdown over his last three games. The Vikings tight end is locked in as a TE-1.

With his touchdown grab on Thanksgiving Day, the Lions rookie tight end Sam LaPorta (fantasy TE4) raised his season total to 5. LaPorta has blossomed into a solid TE-1 and a must-start every week.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega


Wednesday, November 22, 2023

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE WEDNESDAY WATERCOOLER

November 22nd, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Wednesday Evening Edition




The Wednesday Watercooler

Fantasy notes for Week 12.

Over his last three games, the Texans rookie quarterback CJ Stroud is completing 69.2% of his passes, while averaging 387.3 yards passing per game this season. Stroud is a low-end QB-1 against the Jaguars in Week 12.

Over his last three starts the 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy is completing 77.8% of his passes, while averaging 331.3 yards passing per game this season. On the road this Thursday, Purdy is a QB-1 in Week 12 versus the Seahawks.

In his last four starts the Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has been on a tear tossing 13 touchdowns and adding one rushing score, while averaging 317.8 yards passing per game. With a Week 12 Thanksgiving day matchup against the Commanders, Prescott will be a top-end QB-1.

The Texans running back Devin Singletary has averaged 26 carries over his last two games, while averaging 131 yards rushing and 5.0 yards per carry. With the potential return of running back Dameon Pierce, Singletary should be considered a back-end RB2/flex option this week.

The Bills running back James Cook ranks 5th among running backs with 269 yards rushing over the last 4 weeks and he's averaging 5.5 yards per carry during this stretch. With a Week 12 showdown matchup on Sunday against the Eagles, Cook figures in as a low RB2. 

Since week 8, the Ravens running Gus Edwards leads the NFL with 8 rushing touchdowns while rushing for 218 yards. Edwards will slot in this week as a strong RB2 play against the Chargers on Sunday night.

Since Week 8, the Buccaneers running back Rachaad White (fantasy RB11) has been targeted 21 times and leads all running backs with 19 receptions. Effective in the pass game, White should be considered a strong RB2 this week against the Colts.

Since Week 7, the Lions rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs (fantasy RB6) has been targeted 26 times, registering 23 receptions and 189 yards receiving (ranks 4th among RBs during this stretch). Gibbs is locked in as a borderline RB1/RB2.

In Week 11, the Giants running back Saquon Barkley (fantasy RB9) turned 5 targets into 4 receptions, 57 yards receiving, with two touchdown catches. Barkley has 27 receptions for 162 yards receiving and 4 touchdowns this season. With a Week 12 tilt on Sunday against the Patriots, Barkley is locked in as an RB1.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega


Tuesday, November 21, 2023

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE WEEKLY WAIVER WIRE

November 21st, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Tuesday Evening Edition




The Weekly Waiver Wire


Week 12 Top Targets

Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks) With Kenneth Walker going down in Week 11, Charbonnet becomes the top pick up for Week 12. The Seahawks rookie runner is only owned in 32.6% of ESPN leagues. He’ll be nothing more than a low-value flex for Week 12, with a tough Thursday night matchup against the Niners.

Odell Beckham Jr (Ravens) OBJ is only owned in 43.8% of ESPN leagues and with what he has been flashing (116 yards receiving in Week 11) and paired with Lamar Jackson, his ceiling continues to rise. He should be another top waiver add this week.

Noah Brown (Texans) The Texans wideout remains available in more than half of all fantasy leagues (owned in 40.3% of ESPN leagues). Before his injury that kept him sidelined in Week 11, he posted back-to-back 150+ yards receiving games. He should be added.

More notables players to add in Week 12.

Tyson Chandler (Vikings) 49.6% owned. He has back-to-back weeks with 10+ carries totaling 118 yards rushing. He’s worth a flier as a potential flex option.

Josh Downs (Colts) 44.3% owned. Still out there in many leagues, Down’s volume has been down, but his ceiling still offers some flex appeal.

Romeo Doubs (Packers) 39.1% owned. Doubs has scored 10 or more fantasy points (ppr) in 4 of his last 5 games, including his 5 catch, 53-yard, and a score game on Sunday.

Tutu Atwell (Rams) 25.2% owned. With wide receiver Cooper Kupp hurt, Atwell could see an increase in volume. Atwell played the same number of snaps and Puka Nacua on Sunday.

Samaje Perine (Broncos) 25.1% owned. With 10 grabs in his last two games, he’s a low end flex option through the remaining Byes. 

Demario Douglas (Patriots) 24.5% owned. Highly available, Douglas is coming out of the Bye week with back-to-back games with 10 or more fantasy points (ppr). He’s nothing more than a low flex.

Jayden Reed (Packers) 18.7% owned. Reed is starting to see some steady volume (11 targets in his last two games) and with the short week and a full slate, he’s a risky flex option.

Khalil Shakir (Bills) 5.4% owned. In four of his last five games, Shakir has seen at least four targets and scored at least 15 fantasy points (ppr) twice. He’s part of a high scoring offense so he’s a high risk with great reward fringe flex in deeper leagues.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega 


FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY'S HEROES WEEK 11

November 21st, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Tuesday Evening Edition




NFL Sunday Week 11
Sunday’s Heroes

While there were many outstanding performances on Sunday Week 11, these notable players were not only productive, but their performance played a huge part in their teamm's success and ultimate victories.

Jordan Love, QB (Packers) After hearing weeks of scrutiny and criticism of his play on radio and otherwise, the Packers signal caller had the last word. Love was very good, finishing the week as the fantasy QB9, it was his highest fantasy scoring total since week 3. Love finished the week completing 67.5% of his passes, while throwing for 322 yards and two scores.

Saquon Barkley, RB (Giants) The Giants offense has not made much noise in weeks, including their running back, but on Sunday Barkley spoke loud. The Giants ball carrier was sensational, turning in the best game of the week for running backs, finishing as the fantasy RB1 for the week. Barkley carried the ball 14 times for 83 yards and caught 4 passes for another 57 yards and two touchdowns.

Calvin Ridley, WR (Jaguars) Following several weeks of being dormant, the Jaguars wide receiver finally came to life with a big performance, his best since a week 5 100-yards receiving performance. On Sunday Ridley showcased what had Jaguars fans excited in the preseason, collecting 7 passes (on 9 targets) for 103 yards receiving, and two touchdowns. Ridley was the top fantasy receiving dawg for Week 11.

Dallas Cowboys, DTS - The Cowboys defense turned in a stellar performance on road in Week 11 against the Panthers. The Cowboys recorded 7 sacks on the day, hitting the opposing quarterback 11 times, adding 2 takeaways, with a pick six on the menu. The Defense allowed just 10 points, finishing the week as the second best DST.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega


Sunday, November 19, 2023

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME

November 19th, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Sunday Morning Edition




Sunday’s Morning Gametime


Amari Cooper (Browns)
In his three games without Deshaun Watson as the primary passer (weeks 6,7 & 8), Cooper has averaged 9.0 targets per contest while totaling 12 receptions, for 219 yards receiving, and 18.25 yards per reception. Facing the Steelers 27th ranked secondary (DraftKings) versus opposing wide receivers, Cooper is a mid-WR3.

Christian Kirk (Jaguars) The Jaguars wide receiver has scored in single digits only twice this season in 9 games. In his last three games Kirk has been targeted 23 times, recording 16 receptions for 240 yards receiving and a touchdown. Kirk is in line to be a high-end WR-2 this week against a Titans 26th ranked secondary (DraftKings).

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) He has been dominant much of this season as the number one fantasy wide receiver. Over his last four games Hill has been targeted in double figures totaling 48 targets. During this span Hill has turned in 33 catches for 425 yards receiving and 3 touchdowns. He’s a top tier fantasy WR-1 this week against the Raiders.

Josh Dobbs (Vikings) Since his arrival to Minnesota, Dobbs has ignited the Vikings and lit up the fantasy world. In two games with the Vikes, Dobbs is completing 68.8% of his passes, averaging 213 yards passing, with 110 yards rushing, and 5 total touchdowns (3 pass, 2 run). He’s a top streaming option for Week 11.

Jalen Hurts (Eagles) The signal caller for the Eagles has been on a scoring tear over his last three games. Hurts has been fantastic with 8 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns, including 268.3 passing yards per game while completing 74.2% of his passes. With a showdown matchup on Monday night against the Chiefs, Hurts is locked in as a top tier QB-1.

NFL Injury Note:

WR - Chargers, Keenan Allen (shoulder) Good to go, no restrictions.
TE - Eagles, Dallas Goedert (forearm) Ruled out for Monday night.
RB - Dolphins, De’Von Achane (knee) Expected to be a “Full Go” today.
WR - Jets, Garrett Wilson (elbow) The Jets wideout will be available.
WR - Cardinals, Michael Wilson (shoulder) Not expected to play per Schefter.
WR - Texans, Noah Brown (knee) Officially inactive today.
RB - Vikings, Alexander Mattison (concussion) Expected to be good to go tonight.

Check the inactive reports for more updates.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega