FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME

September 29th, 2024

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

Sunday Morning Gametime

This is Sunday week 4 of the 2024 Fantasy Football season and we are passing the quarter mark of the regular fantasy season. With three weeks in the books, it is still tough to get a good read on what to expect and as per usual, injuries are playing havoc with the early part of this season.

Sunday thoughts:

• Even with Deebo Samuel returning today, it’s still safe to start (WR) Jauan Jennings today.
• With a trip to Sauce (Gardner) Island on the slate, avoid starting (WR) Courtland Sutton, if possible.
• Facing the 31st ranked fantasy defense against quarterbacks, today (QB) CJ Stroud gets right with a big game.
• Despite missing his top two targets, (QB) Jalen Hurts will thrive against the Bucs 27th ranked fantasy defense against quarterbacks.
• The Rams 30th ranked defense against opposing receivers has struggled to cover opposing receivers allowing the 6th most receiving yards, sounds like a big day for (WR) DJ Moore.

Sunday Fliers

If you are having any stretch of luck this season similar to mine, you too are swimming in the week 4 free agent pool looking for some help. For the deeper leagues looking for a dart throw this Sunday to fill a much needed void you might find some help with the following players.

WR-Parris Campbell & Jahan Dotson

The Eagles will be without both starters AJ Brown (hamstring) and DeVonta Smith (Concussion) Campbell and Dotson will be elevated into more prominent roles in the passing. The expectation is tight end Dallas Goedert and running back Saquon Barkley will be heavily involved in the passing game, but one of these dudes could step up today. If you are desperate, Dotson was on the field for 88% of snaps in week 3, while Campbell saw half. Dotson was traded to the team earlier this season, so he is still getting acclimated with the offense. I would lean on Dotson here and expect a decent showing against a decent Buccaneers defense.

That’s my take.
~David G Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME

November 19th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Morning Edition

Sunday’s Morning Gametime

Amari Cooper (Browns) In his three games without Deshaun Watson as the primary passer (weeks 6,7 & 8), Cooper has averaged 9.0 targets per contest while totaling 12 receptions, for 219 yards receiving, and 18.25 yards per reception. Facing the Steelers 27th ranked secondary (DraftKings) versus opposing wide receivers, Cooper is a mid-WR3.

Christian Kirk (Jaguars) The Jaguars wide receiver has scored in single digits only twice this season in 9 games. In his last three games Kirk has been targeted 23 times, recording 16 receptions for 240 yards receiving and a touchdown. Kirk is in line to be a high-end WR-2 this week against a Titans 26th ranked secondary (DraftKings).

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) He has been dominant much of this season as the number one fantasy wide receiver. Over his last four games Hill has been targeted in double figures totaling 48 targets. During this span Hill has turned in 33 catches for 425 yards receiving and 3 touchdowns. He’s a top tier fantasy WR-1 this week against the Raiders.

Josh Dobbs (Vikings) Since his arrival to Minnesota, Dobbs has ignited the Vikings and lit up the fantasy world. In two games with the Vikes, Dobbs is completing 68.8% of his passes, averaging 213 yards passing, with 110 yards rushing, and 5 total touchdowns (3 pass, 2 run). He’s a top streaming option for Week 11.

Jalen Hurts (Eagles) The signal caller for the Eagles has been on a scoring tear over his last three games. Hurts has been fantastic with 8 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns, including 268.3 passing yards per game while completing 74.2% of his passes. With a showdown matchup on Monday night against the Chiefs, Hurts is locked in as a top tier QB-1.

NFL Injury Note:

WR - Chargers, Keenan Allen (shoulder) Good to go, no restrictions.

TE - Eagles, Dallas Goedert (forearm) Ruled out for Monday night.

RB - Dolphins, De’Von Achane (knee) Expected to be a “Full Go” today.

WR - Jets, Garrett Wilson (elbow) The Jets wideout will be available.

WR - Cardinals, Michael Wilson (shoulder) Not expected to play per Schefter.

WR - Texans, Noah Brown (knee) Officially inactive today.

RB - Vikings, Alexander Mattison (concussion) Expected to be good to go tonight.

Check the inactive reports for more updates.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SATURDAY'S FF QUICK TAKES

November 11th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

Week 10 FF Plays

Sneaky Plays for Week 10

It’s another week impacted by the Byes and fantasy managers will have to dig a little deeper this week with teams like the Eagles, Dolphins, and Chiefs off this Sunday. There will be no Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, or AJ Brown available this Sunday, so time to go diving and find some fantasy value.

Mayfield is in Play this Sunday.

The Buccaneers quarterback has been a steady fantasy play over his last three games. Mayfield has been scoring in the fantasy starting range during this stretch averaging 259 yards passing, while completing 63.2% of his passes with five touchdowns. While the Titans defense has been pretty good against opposing quarterbacks, Mayfield faces a secondary that allows the 9th most completions and the 6th highest completion rate this season with the fewest picks this season.

Trent Irwin has value against the Texans.

With the Bengals receiving corps banged up and wideout Tee Higgins already ruled out, Irwin is in play this Sunday. The Bengals could also be without Ja’Marr Chase on Sunday opening up opportunities for the remaining pass catchers. While Tyler Boyd will be the popular pickup and insert this week, Irwin could fill a void in deeper leagues and provide value in DFS.

Noah Brown is a streaming Dark Horse.

Following a breakout game in week 9, the Texans wide receiver Noah Brown should be on most fantasy managers' radar heading into Sunday. Led by rookie quarterback CJ Stroud, the Texans passing game appears to be in high gear heading into this Week 10 road tilt with the Bengals. In two of their last three games, the Bengals secondary has been lit up by opposing receivers allowing the 7th most fantasy points in each contest.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: THURSDAY NIGHT MATCHUP

September 14th, 2023

David's Daily Digest

Thursday Afternoon Edition

Thursday Night Matchup: DFS Faves

It looks like the NFL got this one right with this Week 2 meeting between the Eagles and Vikings. The Vegas line has the over/under at 49.5, so the good news for fantasy owners is the expectation is an old fashion western shootout at the O.K Corral.

Both teams enter this matchup loaded with offensive weapons on both sides and according to Vegas we should see a lot of them. The Eagles defense ranks 29th against the pass, so expect a lot of Jefferson and Hockenson on the Vikes side. 

While the Vikes defense had much better numbers than Philly in week 1 on defense, Hurts and company may prove to be too much. Looking to Thursday night, I have some (DFS) favorites in play.

My Fantasy Five for Thursday Night Football;

1.Jalen Hurts (QB) - We’ll see some vintage Hurts in this one. He should give us a little bit of everything, passing and rushing. I would count on at least three scores, including one rushing. (DK-My Captain)

2.DeVonta Smith (WR) - The Eagles receiver is hardly a number two, but more like a 1B. Smith, like his teammate AJ Brown also registered 10 targets in week 1. He’ll be a key piece in this one and a strong DFS play.

3.TJ Hockenson (TE) - The Eagles had trouble (ranked last) with the tight end in week one and Hockenson is one of the best in fantasy and the NFL. Hockenson collected 8 passes in week one and could very easily duplicate his numbers on Thursday.

4.Justin Jefferson (WR) - The Eagles secondary struggled in week one against the Patriots. With Jefferson coming to town on Thursday night, it could be a long night for the Eagles defense. 

5.D’Andre Swift (RB) - Swift did not see a lot of usage in week 1, but with Kenneth Gainwell ruled out, he could be in line as the lead back and see plenty of work here. Swift is a risky play here, but I believe in the talent; it rises to the top. 

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

August 31st, 2023

Thursday Evening Edition

My Top 10 Fantasy Football 

QB Rankings for 2023

The NFL kicks off in less than one week and this coming weekend promises to be the biggest draft weekend of the season. So with no time to lose here is my Top-10 Quarterbacks for the start of the 2023 season.

The Top-10

1. Patrick Mahomes

2. Josh Allen

3. Jalen Hurts

4. Joe Burrow

5. Lamar Jackson

6. Justin Fields

7. Justin Herbert

8. Trevor Lawrence

9. Deshaun Watson

10. Dak Prescott

Last season, quarterback Patrick Mahomes was sensational passing for over 5,000 yards for the 2022 regular season. But do you know who was better on a fantasy points-per-game basis? No, not Josh Allen, but Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts. 

While the top three could be considered interchangeable, in 2022 Hurts broke out with a fantastic campaign, tossing 22 touchdowns, while completing 66.5% of his passes, and adding 13 rushing touchdowns. With that type of prolific production, I have Hurts ranked as number three, but he could easily vault to the top spot.

Last season, the Bears 2nd year quarterback Justin Fields took over the reins and went on an exceptional run of his own from weeks 7 through 15 (missing only week 12). During this stretch Fields posted 7 straight games with 19 or more fantasy points, including two games over 39. Fields finished as the No.6 fantasy quarterback in 2022 and has a good chance at repeating or improving in 2023.

The Browns starting quarterback Deshaun Watson, after missing the full 2021 season, played in less than half of the 2022 season, 6 games. The rust from his layoff showed last season, as Watson finished as the No.25 fantasy (points-per-game) scoring quarterback. This coming after finishing as the No.5 fantasy QB in 2020, his last full season played. With a full training camp under his belt and a full complement of weapons, Watson is poised for the Top-10 and could push for a Top-5 spot in 2023..

Just missing the Top-10, but still start-worthy in 12-team leagues are quarterbacks, (Dolphins) Tua Tagovailoa and (Giants) Daniel Jones. With the Dolphins passer, his health will be the biggest concern. As long as Tua stays healthy, he’s a Top-10 all day.

With the Giants signal caller, Jones just needs to build off his 2022 season (finished as the No.10 fantasy scoring QB). Six of his final eight games Jones scored no fewer than 17 fantasy points, eclipsing 20 points three times. Like Tua, Jones is a borderline Top-10.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega