Saturday, November 11, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 11th 2017
Saturday Evening Edition







My Week 10 Injury Takes













RB-Jeremy Hill (ankle); The Bengals placed Hill on the Injured Reserve ending his season. For fantasy owners, this changes little. Rookie running back Joe Mixon has been the lead backs for weeks, but will now also pick up short yardage and goal-line duties increasing his long term fantasy value.

WR-Will Fuller (knee); the Texans wide receiver is not listed on the team’s injury report. Fuller will be a go for Sunday, but faces a tough matchup against a stingy Rams defense allowing the 5th fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers. With Watson out and Savage in, Fuller’s shine has dimmed significantly; he’s a borderline WR3/4 this week.

TE-Delanie Walker (ankle); the Titan’s tight is listed as questionable and could be a huge risky play this week for owners. Walker played through the injury last week and even though he’ll be at less than 100 percent (if he goes), he’s still in line to see a healthy dose of snaps. Walker remains a TE1 this week.

WR-Julio Jones (ankle); the Falcons wide receiver is not listed on the team’s injury report. Jones will be all-systems-go on Sunday and a must-start against a Cowboys defense that has allowed the 8th most fantasy points to opposing receivers.

WR-Dez Bryant (ankle); the Cowboys playmaking receiver is listed as questionable for Sunday, but looks like he’ll be out there on Sunday. The Falcons have been pretty good against opposing receivers, but with the Cowboys minus Zeke, Sunday could become more of the Dez and Dak show.

WR-Chris Hogan (shoulder); the Patriots wide receiver has been ruled out for Sunday’s matchup with the Bronco’s No Fly Zone defense. With Hogan out, this should open more opportunities for both Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola.

RB-Matt Forte (knee); the Jets running back has been ruled out for Sunday. With Forte sidelined, Bilal Powell a borderline RB1 this week should handle lead duties, but Elijah McGuire will also figure in the mix as a low-end flex and DFS flier.

WR-Michael Thomas (ankle); the Saints receiver is not listed on team’s injury report. Thomas has been steady this season, but not spectacular. The Saints are away this week at Buffalo, with Thomas being a low-end WR2 against a Bills secondary that allows the 7th fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers.

WR-TY Hilton (groin); the Colts wide receiver is listed as questionable for Sunday against the Steelers. While Hilton is expected to play, he’ll be a huge risk option with the potential for a setback; owners should proceed with caution.

WR-Stefon Diggs (tooth); the Vikings wide receiver was not listed on the team’s final injury report. Diggs will be on the field Sunday drawing lots of attention from the Redskins Josh Norman, which could open up some opportunities for Adam Thielen.

That's My Take.
~David Ortega




FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 11th 2017
Saturday Evening Edition






On The Cover This Week

The Year of the Goff

In just a year’s time, the Rams quarterback Jared Goff has gone from the out-house to the Penthouse. It just took the genius mind of the Rams new head coach Sean McVay to bring out the best in Goff. And what a difference a year makes.

Under the Jeff Fischer regime, the Rams were cellar dwellers with a record of 4 and 12. This season however, the Rams are currently 6-2 atop the NFC west and the play of quarterback Jared Goff has been a big part of the turnaround.

Through the halfway point of the season Goff is the No.12 fantasy quarterback, up from finishing as the No.37 in 2016. This season Goff has been more accurate with the ball, completing 147 of 244 passes for a 60.2 percentage and has been more effective averaging better than 250 yards passing per game.

The Rams offense has also been more explosive (ranked 1st in scoring this season) and effective this season, in large part to the passing success of Goff who has 13 passing touchdowns. What a difference a year makes.

After a precarious start to his NFL career just one season ago, the Rams and their fans have to be excited about the turnaround of their young signal caller. It wasn’t much of a start last season, but a great start this season has made 2017 look like the Year of the Goff!

That's My Take.
~David Ortega





FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 11th 2017
Saturday Morning Edition






Week 10 Fantasy Notes



With the start of Sunday’s games less than 24 hours away, here’s a rundown of notes for some of the Week 10 matchups;

GB @ CHI
The Bears running back Jordan Howard has been a beast of a runner this season racking up 662 yards rushing (ranks 5th) which include three 100-yard efforts, He’ll face a Packers defense that ranks 22nd against the run and allows the 4th most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

CLE @ DET
Normally not a team that runs much, but for the Lions this week they may be forced to lean even more on Matthew Stafford and their passing game. The Lions face the Browns number 4 ranked run defense, so look for Marvin Jones Jr and Stafford to play big in this one.

PIT @  IND
With the return of Martavis Bryant this week, the Steelers will be employing all of their Killer Bees; Ben, Bell, Brown, and Bryant. It’s a road game, but with the addition of JuJu Smith-Schuster it will be Big Ben and his JuJu-Bees on Sunday; look for big numbers from Roethlisberger.

NYJ @ TB
Across the board, this looks like a good matchup for the Jets offense. The Bucs defense has struggled this season and in particular against opposing wide receivers allowing the 2nd most receptions. In DFS and PPR formats and especially I’m all in with Jets receiver Robby Anderson; Sunday could be a big day.

MIN @ WAS
A couple of notes in this one, with Redskins tight end Jordan Reed not 100 percent with a big questionable tag for Sunday, Vernon Davis figures to see a more prominent role in the passing game. On the other side, the Vikings will have a healthy Stefon Diggs on the field. With Diggs healthy, his presence will draw some of the Redskins attention away from Adam Thielen; a week 10 favorite

HOU @ LAR
The Rams offense is rolling and with a home tilt against the ailing Texans, this week, the wheels will keep turning. All eyes on the defense will be focused on Todd Gurley, but facing a secondary that allows the 6th most fantasy points to opposing receivers, we could see Sammy Watkins heavily in the mix.

DAL @ ATL
The Falcons will play host to the Cowboys and their 15th ranked secondary that’s allowed 10 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. With all the attention likely to be focused on Julio Jones, Sunday looks like a good day for Mohamed Sanu to find pay dirt.

That's My Take.
~David Ortega





FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 11th 2017
Saturday Morning Edition






Sunday’s Heroes Week 9


With six teams on the bye, there was still plenty of action on last Sunday and more than enough playmakers to carry your weekly lineup to victory. And while the list was full of many household names, there were also quite a few of your the not-the-Usual-Suspects. These are some of the names to keep watch for on Sunday Week 10;

QB-Jay Cutler; the Dolphins signal caller returned from injury and played his best game of his season on Sunday Night. Nothing more than an afterthought all season long, Cutler passed for 311 yards and threw three touchdowns against a weak Raiders secondary.

QB-Jacoy Brissett; the Colts quarterback played strong on Sunday completing 20 of 30 passes while throwing two scores and passing for 308 yards. It was a strong performance for a QB trending in the right direction.

RB-Alvin Kamara; as part of the Saints explosive offense, Kamara was dynamite on Sunday totaling 152 yards (68 ru, 84 rec), with two scores on just 16 touches. Kamara has become a pass receiving weapon this season and a weekly PPR stud.

RB-Corey Clement; the Eagles rookie running back had a big day on Sunday with three touchdowns on 13 touches. Not the usual outcome for Clement and not something owners can come to expect on a regular basis with Ajayi, Blount, and Smallwood positioned ahead of him on the depth chart.

WR-Terrance Williams; it was his first big game of the season on Sunday finishing with 9 catches on 9 targets for 141 yards receiving. Williams has the potential, but

WR-Robert Woods; the Rams receiver help lead his cast a week ago to a big win over the Giants; and big I mean by points. Wood pulled in 4 of 5 targets for 80 receiving yards and his first two scores of the season.

WR-Marqise Lee; quietly the former Trojan has emerged as the team’s No.1 receiver. Last week Lee led the team with 12 targets, 8 receptions, 75 receiving yards, and a touchdowns. On the year he leads the team in targets, catches, and yards. His score last week was his first for the season.

TE-Julius Thomas; the Dolphins tight end finally had his breakout game of the season posting a line of 6/84/1. Most of the year Thomas has been a model of non-production, but he does have 14 receptions on 20 targets over his last four games.

That's My Take.
~David Ortega




Sunday, November 5, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 5th 2017
Sunday Morning Edition







Sunday Morning Gametime
(Week 9)

Last Minute Updates

No Jeremy Hill today for the Bengals, which means we’ll see even more of Joe Mixon today against the Jaguars. Giovani Bernard could see more field time, but he’s not

Leonard Fournette is inactive today and Chris Ivory will start. Going up against the Bengals today, look for TJ Yeldon to get plenty of play.

Wide receiver Pierre Garcon was added to the Injured Reserve this week. With his absence, specifically this weekend, with Jamison Crowder also OUT receivers Ryan Grant and Terrelle Pryor will see a bundle of targets. Grant is the favorite today playing out of the slot.

Trending this morning

In DFS, running back Lamar Miller is trending upwards with my start selections. I like his matchup and with the loss of Watson under center, I believe the offense may lean with the run today.

A sleeper play this week, that shouldn’t really be a sleeper play if you’ve been awake over the past several weeks is Saints receiver Ted Ginn Jr. Ginn has made some big plays this season and recently has put up nice numbers; last 3 weeks, 13 catches, 275 yards receiving, and a touchdown.

Final Thoughts

I have the Colts offense flying under the radar this week, but I like Brissett with Mack, Doyle, and Hilton in a stack for DFS, or at least a couple of these guys sprinkled in your lineups. The Texans defense is full of leaks and this is a matchup that could reap many rewards.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega



FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 5th 2017
Sunday evening Edition






My Perfect Lineup Week 9
(NFL.com)

Week 9 has begun and it’s time to roll out my Perfect Lineup for this Sunday, but first let’s see how my team looked last week. From the top to the bottom, here’s what we did; QB-Wentz (finished 8th in PPR scoring), RB-Bell (finished 17th), RB-Howard (15th), WR-Green (finished 22nd), WR-Allen (32nd), TE-Gronkowski (4th), PK-Elliott (11th), and D/ST-Bengals (8th). Overall it was not a great day.

Looking ahead, here we go with week 9;


QB-Drew Brees; you have to love Brees at home where he is always tough and the Bucs have big problems this season versus the pass.

RB-Adrian Peterson; the Cards are going to have to become a run first team and we’ve seen what Peterson can do. The Niners are not good against the run, a big day for Peterson awaits.

RB-DeMarco Murray; the Titans running back has had extra time to heal up coming off the bye and the Ravens defense has not been shut down against the run. Murray has only one 100-yard game this season, will be looking for his 2nd today.

WR-Dez Bryant; the matchup today with the Chiefs could be a high scoring affair. Even with Elliott in the lineup today, I think Dez is going to be involved in the plan to attack a secondary that has struggled mightily this season.

WR-Michael Thomas; just going to ride the coattails of Drew Brees with this one. Thomas is the team’s leading receiver and if Brees has a big game, there’s a good chance he’ll be a big part.

TE-Jack Doyle; the Colts tight end is coming off a big game, but has also emerged as a big part of the offense. This could be another big day for Doyle.

PK-Harrison Butker; the Chiefs-Cowboys today, could be a shootout. I happen to think the Chiefs may stumble a couple of times in the red-zone today, allow a few extra opportunities for Butker.

D/ST-Cardinals; the Niners appear to be in rebuild, no Pierre Garcon, questions in the backfield, and CJ Beathard has to know, he’s not the guy. Although it’s a road game for the Cards, I like to defense to have a big game today.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega




FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 4th 2017
Saturday Late Night Edition







Week 9 Strong Plays



Looking over Sunday’s matchup, here’s a quick rundown of a few of the lineups I am liking very much;

Jared Goff, QB;
I’m not expecting big numbers here, but I do like Goff’s matchup against the Giants. Goff has been steady this season, but not spectacular, and the Giants defense has not been good versus quarterbacks; allow 6th mos fantasy points. This could be a good bounce back week for Goff

DeMarco Murray, RB;
It has not been Murray’s year this season, as the Titan’s running back has only one 100-yard rushing game this season. Fortunately for Murray and the Titans, this week’s opponent is the Ravens; have allowed 2nd most rushing yards this season.

Devin Funchess, WR;
With Kelvin Benjamin shipped off to Buffalo, the Panthers receiver Devin Funchess is in line for a larger role and more targets this Sunday. The Falcons have been pretty good against receivers this season, but I like Funchess and believe this is an opportunity for him to step up and separate.

Jack Doyle, TE;
The Colts tight end is coming off a huge Sunday last week (12 receptions, 121 yards, and a score) and I am feeling good about his chances to continue the momentum against the Texans; allow 6th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

That's My Take.
~David Ortega