FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

December 2nd 2017

Saturday Evening Edition

My Week 13 Favorite Plays

Kickoff Sunday for Week 13 is just over 12 hours away and I am still shuffling many of my lineups, as this is a huge weekend with a lot on the line. In several of my leagues, a win this week will go a long way (post-season baby). These aren’t necessarily players I have on my rosters, but these are players that I like in tomorrow’s matchups;

CJ Anderson/Devontae Booker; the boys in Bronco’s backfield should be busy tomorrow in a road matchup against the Dolphins. The run game will be the priority, even in a timeshare, these two should get plenty of work.

Adrian Peterson; I can’t imagine the Cardinals not leaning heavy on All-day in the home matchup with the Rams tomorrow. It should be a busy day for Adrian against the Rams 27th ranked run defense.

Keenan Allen; The Chargers receiver leads the team with 67 receptions and 97 yards. He has been big at times this season and tomorrow could be another one of those games. Allen has 23 receptions for 331 yards and 3 scores; he’s on fire and should continue the trend.

Mike Evans; The Buccaneers receiver has slid down the fantasy tree some this season, currently at the No.19 fantasy WR in PPR. Evans has yet to surpass the 100-yard receiving barrier this season, but with 22 targets in the past two weeks and an easy matchup this Sunday and big game looms.

Jared Cook; the Raiders tight end has a juicy matchup and he’s in a few of my lineups tomorrow. Fantasy owners can expect a strong game from Cook with starters Crabtree and Cooper out for Sunday.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

December 2nd 2017

Saturday Evening Edition

Week 13 DFS Plays

Another week of NFL and another chance at winning some cash. These are some of my favorite plays on DFS for Week 13;

QB-Tyrod Taylor ($7,300) This is a pure gut play (I got a feeling), but I like the fact Taylor (the 15th ranked fantasy QB) is coming off a win over the Chiefs last week. In two meeting last season against the Patriots, Taylor averaged better than 17 fantasy points; he should provide similar results this week.

RB-Latavius Murray ($6,500) The Vikings running back has been playing well the last several weeks. He has a decent matchup this week against the Falcons 18th ranked run defense allowing 4.4 yards per carry. At his price, he has good value.

RB-Rex Burkhead ($5,900) The Patriots runner is a dual threat, involved in the pass and run game. He’s got a nice price level for this week’s matchup and with 2 of his past 3 games in double-digits, I like the prospect of Burkhead reaching double figures once again.

WR-Davante Adams ($6,500) The Packers wide receiver has been steadily trending upward, since Brett Hundley took over for the injured Rodgers. Adams (the No.10 fantasy WR in PPR) is coming off a 5/82/1 line for a week ago and should a focal point in the Packers pass game this week against the Buccaneers (allow most fantasy points to opposing receivers).

WR-Robby Anderson ($7,200) Call me a pessimist, if you must, but I don’t believe in the Chiefs defense this season (ranked 28th versus the pass). Anderson (the No.14 fantasy WR in PPR) has blossomed this season and is coming off his best game of the season. Don’t expect him to duplicate last week’s numbers, but he’s a safe play for 10+ fantasy points this week.

TE-Jared Cook ($5,500) At his price, with no Crabtree or Cooper, he’s already in line for an increased volume of targets. Add that the Giants allow the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, what’s not to like?

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

December 2nd 2017

Saturday Evening Edition

Week 13 Diamonds in the Rough

This is the last week before the start of fantasy playoffs for most redraft leagues and it could be the last chance for some of us to play our way into the dance. If you are on the bubble and needing help, well, desperate times call for desperate measures...

QB-Trevor Siemian; the Broncos signal caller has been just awful since week 3, one of the worst fantasy quarterbacks this season (ranked 25th), but last week in relief of the injured Paxton Lynch, Siemian did play well. It was not an eyebrow raiser and sudden break-through, but for the Broncos and Siemian it’s a start. This week he’s on the road, typically not a great matchup, but it’s the Dolphins. The Phins don’t bring a lot of pressure (just 18 sacks this season) and they have allowed the most fantasy points to week opposing quarterbacks over the past 4 weeks. Don’t look for big numbers, but he could offer a safe floor.

RB-Jaquizz Rodgers; the Buccaneers will be without starter Doug Martin, so Rodgers could see more work on the early downs. He’s also an effective pass catcher, something the Packers defense has struggled with the past month allowing the 2nd most receptions (31) to opposing running backs over the last 4 weeks. Rodgers will see some work for sure, but he’ll likely split the load with Charles Simms and Peyton Barber, so his upside could be limited.

WR-Johnny Holton; the Raiders speedster is a boom or bust candidate for Week 13, but for those living on a prayer, Houlton might hear those calls. No doubt a risky play here, Holton has just 4 receptions on the year, but for 161 yards with 2 scores. The Giants defense has allowed the 8th most fantasy points to opposing receivers including 6 touchdowns over the past 4 weeks. If you’re in a bind, make a wish here.

TE-CJ Fiedorowicz; playing in only his 4th game this season, the Texans tight end saw a season high 8 targets last week. It’s a sign that his quarterback is developing some chemistry and comfort with him and heading into a week 13 matchup with the Titans (11th most fantasy points allowed to opposing TEs last 2 weeks) this could not come at a better time. Fiedorowicz is not in line for a huge day by any means, but if you’re struggling with production at the TE spot and need help CJ might provide a small spark.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 26th 2017

Sunday morning Edition

Sunday Morning Gametime

Quick Takes

Going through my season-long league lineups, I am trending toward Broncos running back Devontae Booker. I think he will dominate the touches today in the backfield and get some good run against the Raiders.

With Rishard Matthews out today, the rookie Corey Davis should see an increased role coming off a quiet week 11. Take note, Davis has been targeted 17 times the past two weeks, so volume will work in his favor today.

I’ve got a couple of lineups that need to make huge runs, so I am going boom or bust with Martavis Bryant this week. With JuJu Smith-Schuster ruled out, Bryant should see more snaps and more opportunity.

Kelvin Benjamin was ruled out earlier this week, I am liking the prospects of rookie receiver Zay Jones today against the Chiefs. The Chiefs defense has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing receivers and the most touchdowns (15) this season.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 26th 2017

Sunday morning Edition

My Week 12 Injury Takes

Here is the latest of some key players as the Countdown to Sunday Kickoff winds down;

TE-Jimmy Graham; the Seahawks tight end (ankle) is expected to play and should see his normal workload in a juicy matchup against a Niners defense that’s allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing TE’s over the past month. Graham needs to be in lineups.

WR-DeAndre Hopkins; the Texans receiver (foot) is expected to play Monday against the Ravens. It’s a tough matchup against a stout Ravens secondary, but Hopkins is a must-start every week.

QB-Jacoby Brissett; Brissett (concussion) has been cleared to play and will start Sunday against the Titans. Brissett should have his full complement of receiving weapons against a Titans defense that’s allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing QBs over the past two weeks.

WR-Chris Hogan; the Patriots receiver (shoulder) has been ruled out for week 12. His absence continues to open up the target distribution to receivers Danny Amendola and Brandin Cooks; over the past 2 weeks Cooks has tallied 12 catches for 223 yards.

WR-Harry Douglas; the Titans have activated wide receiver Harry Douglas from injured reserve. Douglas has been far off the fantasy radar this season, but with Rishard Matthews questionable Douglas could have some sleeper value in deeper leagues.

RB-Ty Montgomery; the Packers running back is doubtful for today and will Aaron Jones still on the shelf, it will be Jamal Williams again with the starting duties. It will be tough sledding today for Williams facing a Steelers defense that has allowed the 3rd fewest rushing yards the past month.

TE-Rob Gronkowski; Last week against the Raiders, Gronk was quiet, but did manage a score. This week he has been removed from the team’s injury report and will be one of Brady’s primary options today.

WR-Julio Jones; The Falcons wide receiver is not listed on the team’s injury report. It should be all-systems-go for Julio today against the Bucs.

WR-John Brown; The Cardinals receiver has been ruled out for Week 12. His absence mean receiver JJ Nelson will likely spend most of his time in the slot today. With the Jags Jalen Ramsey expected to play, it’s likely to be a long day for Nelson.

QB-Jay Cutler; The Dolphins will be without quarterback Jay Cutler, ruled out for Week 12. With Cutler sidelined, Matt Moore will get the road start against the Patriots; Moore is a potential mid-QB2 option this week.

WR-Rishard Matthews; the Titans receiver a late add to the injury report, is listed as questionable for Sunday. If he’s out, Corey Davis could see an expanded role in the passing game.

WR-Marqise Lee; the Jaguars receiver has been removed from the injury report this week. Lee leads the team in receiving this season, but he faces a tough matchup against the Cardinals and Patrick Peterson; he’s a low-value option this week in all formats.

TE-Greg Olsen; the Panthers have activated their tight end and he is expected to play. The word is he’ll only play about half of the offensive snaps, but owners can expect most of those to be on passing downs. He’s still part of the TE1 discussion for Week 12.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega