FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

December 2nd 2017

Saturday Evening Edition

Week 13 DFS Plays

Another week of NFL and another chance at winning some cash. These are some of my favorite plays on DFS for Week 13;

QB-Tyrod Taylor ($7,300) This is a pure gut play (I got a feeling), but I like the fact Taylor (the 15th ranked fantasy QB) is coming off a win over the Chiefs last week. In two meeting last season against the Patriots, Taylor averaged better than 17 fantasy points; he should provide similar results this week.

RB-Latavius Murray ($6,500) The Vikings running back has been playing well the last several weeks. He has a decent matchup this week against the Falcons 18th ranked run defense allowing 4.4 yards per carry. At his price, he has good value.

RB-Rex Burkhead ($5,900) The Patriots runner is a dual threat, involved in the pass and run game. He’s got a nice price level for this week’s matchup and with 2 of his past 3 games in double-digits, I like the prospect of Burkhead reaching double figures once again.

WR-Davante Adams ($6,500) The Packers wide receiver has been steadily trending upward, since Brett Hundley took over for the injured Rodgers. Adams (the No.10 fantasy WR in PPR) is coming off a 5/82/1 line for a week ago and should a focal point in the Packers pass game this week against the Buccaneers (allow most fantasy points to opposing receivers).

WR-Robby Anderson ($7,200) Call me a pessimist, if you must, but I don’t believe in the Chiefs defense this season (ranked 28th versus the pass). Anderson (the No.14 fantasy WR in PPR) has blossomed this season and is coming off his best game of the season. Don’t expect him to duplicate last week’s numbers, but he’s a safe play for 10+ fantasy points this week.

TE-Jared Cook ($5,500) At his price, with no Crabtree or Cooper, he’s already in line for an increased volume of targets. Add that the Giants allow the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, what’s not to like?

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 12th 2017

Sunday Morning Edition

Who Are You Starting & Sitting

A lot of games on the slate today for Sunday Week 10 and with fantasy playoffs fast approaching it begs the obvious question, who are you starting and sitting today?

GB @ CHI

The Bears have a pretty good defense, so I am not expecting much from the Packers offense. I am sitting Ty Montgomery today. With Aaron Jones having earned the starting backfield duties, Montgomery will be limited. Since returning from injury Montgomery is averaging just 7.3 touches per game.

CLE @ DET

The Browns do a pretty good job against the run and the Lions don’t run the ball well, so I am starting Marvin Jones Jr. The Lions will once again have to rely on Stafford and the pass and Jones (No.15 fantasy WR in PPR) has been trending upward for weeks now.

PIT @ IND

With Martavis Bryant back and the emergence of JuJu Smith-Schuster, I am starting Big Ben today. He’ll be a JuJu-Bee special today against the Colts!

LAC @ JAX

The Jags are tough against the pass and while I might not be sitting Keenan Allen today (but not expecting a lot), I am starting running back Melvin Gordon. Gordon is the No.5 fantasy RB in PPR and the Jags yield a lot of yards on the ground (125 yds/game).

NO @ BUF

The Saints have been good this season, but traditionally they do not travel well. That being the case here, they will have a tough matchup against a good Bills defense. While I’d be nervous starting any of the Saints, I am starting running back Alvin Kamara. He’ll see his usual workload today and I love his contributions in the pass game; 37 receptions this season.

NYJ @ TB

With a road game today, I am starting Jets wide receiver Robby Anderson against a terrible Bucs defense. Anderson has been trending in the right direction and the Bucs allow the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing receivers.

MIN @ WASH

With Redskins tight end Jordan Reed on the shelf for Sunday, I am starting Vernon Davis. I am not expecting a big output, but he should provide decent numbers for owners in a bind today.

CIN @ TEN

After five straight games with less than 60 rushing yards, I am sitting Titans running back DeMarco Murray. Murray has been dinged up most of the season. He doesn’t look right, he’s not producing, and right now he’s too risky to trust.

HOU @ LAR

With the Rams rolling and the offense playing well this season, I am starting quarterback Jared Goff. The 2nd year passer has played very well this season and I love this matchup against the Texans at home. Over the past two weeks, the Texans secondary has been toasted for 760 yards passing and 6 touchdowns.

DAL @ ATL

This game is being forecasted as a potential shootout and along with Julio Jones, I will be starting Falcons wide receiver Mohamed Sanu. The Cowboys have allowed 10 touchdowns to opposing receivers and with a lot of attention focused on Julio, I think Sanu sneaks one in.

NYG @ SF

With a road matchup today with the Niners, I am starting Giants running back Orleans Darkwa against one of the league’s worst run defenses (allow 135.6 yards/game). I expect to see Darkwa receive a heavy workload and have success today.

NE @ DEN

The Broncos offense has struggled mightily for several weeks now, but tonight against the Patriots I am starting wide receiver Demaryius Thomas. The Broncos receiver is coming off a 8/70/1 stat line; he’ll the main focal point of the pass game against secondary that has allowed the 5th most receptions and 3rd most receiving yards to opposing receivers.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega