FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 26th 2016
Saturday Evening Edition

Week 12 Perfect Lineup

I usually play two Perfect lineups each week, one on NFL.com and the other on DraftDay Fantasy site. Here is my perfect lineup for week 12 on DraftDay.

QB-Tom Brady (NE) - Brady will take his best shots against a Jets secondary that has struggled mightily at times this season. Brady is coming off a big 4 touchdown performance last week and has thrown at least three in four of his six starts. Sunday could be another big day for Tom.

RB-DeMarco Murray (TEN) - Since week 7 Murray has had no fewer than 19 touches and has eclipsed 127 total yards in three of his five starts. Murray is the number 3 scoring fantasy running back and should see a hefty workload on Sunday.

RB-Lamar Miller (HOU) - The Texans ball carrier will face a Chargers defense that allows the 5th most fantasy points to opposing running backs, including 12 rushing touchdowns (tied for second most). Miller should see a lion’s share of touches on Sunday giving him plenty of opportunities to produce.

WR-Odell Beckham Jr (NYG) - The Giants dynamic wideout was slowed up a week ago, but with 6 games of 10 plus targets this season, expect OBJ to see plenty of work on Sunday. Facing a Browns defense that allows the 9th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, including the 6th most receiving yards and 14 receiving touchdowns (tied for 3rd most).

WR-Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) - The Cardinals will host the Falcons on Sunday and Larry Fitzgerald will draw coverage from a defense that allows the 5th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. FItzgerald will see plenty of chances on Sunday, especially in the red-zone.

WR-Rishard Matthews (TEN) - The Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota has been sizzling lately and his favorite wide receiver has been Matthews. The Titans wideout faces the Bears secondary that has allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing wide receiver. In his last three games Matthews has totaled 18 receptions on 28 targets for 248 yards and three touchdowns. He should have plenty of chances to improve these numbers on Sunday.

TE-Greg Olsen (CAR) - The heavily targeted Panthers pass catcher is the number fantasy scoring tight end this season. This week Olsen will draw the Raiders defense that allows the 8th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Olsen has been quiet recently, but this could change Sunday against the Raiders who allow the 9th most receiving yards and 5 receiving touchdowns (tied for 4th most allowed).

PK-Justin Tucker (BAL) - The Ravens kicker has been solid this season and with an offense that has had it struggles he could see some extra shots from close range on Sunday.

D/ST-Dolphins - The Dolphins are hosting the 49ers who will have to make the long travel across country for the early kickoff start time. This will be a tough matchup for the Niners who are coming off a very poor performance last week against the Patriots.

That’s My Take.

 ~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 25th, 2016
Friday evening Edition
Week 12: Friday Fantasy Fixx
So I am looking at the passing game and matchups this week and these are a few of my favorites to start for Sunday.
With receivers like Stefon Diggs OUT this week (did not play yesterday), fantasy owners will be looking for some help and could find salvage this week from players like the Rams wideout Kenny Britt. With a decent matchup against the Saints defense this week, Britt could turn in a nice Sunday. While Britt has not been spectacular this season, the Saints secondary has allowed the 8th most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers. Britt is the Rams leading receiver and normally sees a healthy dose of targets each week. He’s not going to light up any boards, but he could fill the need this week as a low WR3 or flex option.
Another receiving option that should draw some lineup consideration this Sunday is the Ravens tight end Dennis Pitta. The Ravens will host the Bengals this week and Pitta will see coverage that has allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, including the 5th most receiving yards and six receiving touchdowns (tied for the 3rd most). Pitta is not a primary option in the pass game, but could see a few more targets this week, especially in the red zone. He’s definitely worth a look in deep leagues.
With the Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota playing as well as he has over the past several weeks, one of his targets that should be started this week is wide out Rishard Matthews. Matthews has scored in double-digits in his past three games and this week he has a great shot to make it four in a row. The Titans will visit the Bears this Sunday and look to exploit a defense that allows the 6th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, including the 2nd most receptions and the 7th most yards receiving. If you have him, he’s definitely a mid-WR2 this week. Start him Sunday.
That’s My Take.
~David G Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 25th, 2016
Friday afternoon Edition

Week 12 Fantasy Notes

As the fantasy playoffs approach, fantasy owners will need to be more precise and decisive with their lineups this week and next. When this season started, certain players were viewed as your starters, but recent performances could be shaking your confidence.

Take comfort owners as this week Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer is set to bounce back big. After recent struggles, just one game over 15 fantasy points in his last 7 starts, Palmer will be facing a Falcons defense that allows the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, including 2,970 yards passing (5th most) and 23 passing touchdowns (2nd most). Palmer has just two games this season with 3 or more touchdowns, but has passed for more than 300 yards four times. This Sunday against the Falcons, fantasy owners can expect Palmer to improve both of those numbers.

It’s unlikely anyone would even think of sitting Rams running back Todd Gurley, especially considering where he was likely selected in their respective fantasy draft, but his recent run of unspectacular has got to be getting tiresome. Well all that is likely to end this week in New Orleans. Gurley and Company will be making a trip to the Big Easy this week to take on the Saints and a defense that allows the third most fantasy points to opposing running backs, including 12 rushing touchdowns (tied for 2nd most). And where Gurley could be the biggest surprise is in the PPR format. Gurley is only the 19th ranked fantasy running back and has not been prominent in the pass game, but could see some extra targets this week as the Saints also allow the 5th most receiving yards to opposing running backs; great news for owners. Owners should expect 25 plus touches this week and a big day from the Rams ball carrier.

That’s my take.

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 20th, 2016
Sunday Morning Edition

Week 11: My Perfect Lineup

There are few surprises here as I am leaning heavy on some of this weeks' favorites, but here are my picks for the Week 11 Perfect Challenge (NFL).

QB-Ben Roehtlisberger (PIT). Weather may hinder his effort some, but his big arm and his weapons should allow him to make a few big plays today.

RB-DeMarco Murray (TEN). The Titans running back (NFL 2nd leading rusher) has been better than solid this season and today's matchup should continue his upward trend.

RB-LeVeon Bell (PIT). He has a prime matchup and could see an avalanche of touches today.

WR-Odell Beckham Jr (NYG). He's the focus of the pass game, so I expect another big Sunday for the super-talented Giants wideout.

WR-TY Hilton (IND). Hilton has been up and down, but his last matchup against Tennessee he was huge. Can you say repeat.

TE-Delanie Walker (TEN). This kid has lived on the injury report all season, but still produces. Today's favorable matchup could be another productive Sunday.

PK-Justin Tucker (BAL). The Raven's kicker has been solid this season and perfect with 18 of 18 kicks. On the road today the Raven's may have to settle for a few kicks.

D/ST-Dolphins. You have to like a defenses chances when they face a rookie quarterback in his NFL debut.

That's my take.

~David G. Ortega