Saturday, November 16, 2019

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Saturday Afternoon Edition
November 16th 2019






Week 11: DSF Saturday “Favorite Stack”

If you play DFS like I do and have played as long as I have, then you too are familiar with and utilize the “Stack” strategy. Every week, you ‘ll find defenses and running back combos that make sense or quarterbacks and receivers that work well, so looking ahead to week 11, this is my favorite “Double” stack.

The Saints will travel to Tampa this week and although the matchup is outdoors, fI am trusting in quarterback Drew Brees and head coach Sean Payton. The Saints are coming off a poor week 10 performance at home and nothing like a week 11 matchup against the Bucs (ranked last against the pass) to right the ship. The Bucs defense has also allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, including 235 completions (5th most allowed), and 22 passing touchdowns (3rd most allowed). With those kind of numbers, Brees should bounce back strong.

Along with a shaky Bucs defense, Brees will also have the good fortune of throwing passes to wide receiver Michael Thomas, Fantasy WR3. Thomas leads all receivers this season with 103 targets, 86 receptions, and 1,027 receiving yards. This week Thomas will look to improve his numbers against the Bucs secondary that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing receivers, including 140 receptions (4th most allowed), 1,894 receiving yards (2nd most allowed), and 15 receiving touchdowns (tied for the most allowed). 

The third part of my stack, is the Saints tight end Jared Cook (Fantasy TE24), who is coming off his most productive game in Week 10, with 6 receptions, 74 yards receiving, off 10 targets (all season highs). For Cook, he should have a great opportunity to continue his productive trend facing a Bucs defense that has allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, including 695 receiving yards (2nd most allowed) and six touchdowns (tied for 3rd most allowed).

Depending on the site and salary cap room, running back Alvin Kamara, could be a consideration as part of this stack. Even though the Bucs have played well against the run, Kamara should be heavily involved in not only the run game, but he’ll also be an integral part of the passing game. I am loving this Stack for Week 11.

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega


Sunday, November 10, 2019

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Saturday Night Edition
November 9th 2019






DFS Saturday

It’s almost Sunday of NFL Week 10, and there are a lot of good matchups and ways to go with when building your lineups. The first place I am starting has to be the prime Fantasy matchup between the Buccaneers and the Cardinals; the over-under is set at 54 points.

Both defenses rank near the bottom against the pass (Ari-29th, TB-32nd), so there should be and could be a plethora of points on Sunday.

Players of interest for those that may be considering, Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston will face a Cardinals defense that allows the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, including 24 touchdowns (tied for most in the league). 

Getting the start this week, the Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones III will get a crack at the Cardinals defense that has allowed the 8th most rushing yards to opposing running backs, including 4.4 yards per carry.

On the other side, this may be a great week for Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray, who will face the Bucs defense that allows the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, including 19 touchdowns (2nd most in the league).

What would also make a great stack and connection with Murray is wide receiver Christian Kirk. The Buccaneers defense allows the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. 

There are of course no guarantees when playing DFS, but I like my chances with these matchups on Sunday.

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega