FSH NOTEBOOK: MY WEEKLY FANTASY FIXX

November 18th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

My Weekly DFS Favorites

I just can’t get enough fantasy football and over the next 8 days, we’re going to enjoy three days with multiple games, enough to fill the slate and provide that desired fantasy fix. In less than 12 hours, it’s DFS time Week 11 and here are my favorites for tomorrow.

$7300-KD, Dak Prescott (Cowboys) The Cowboys signal caller has been on a tear over the past three weeks. Prescott is averaging 360.7 yards passing per game while completing 73.0% of his passes, and tossing 11 touchdowns. The Panthers defense has been stingy against opposing quarterbacks for the most part this season, but have finished in the bottom five for the week against the Lions and Dolphins. Prescott and company could likely put them there once again.

$6400-DK, Breece Hall (Jets) The Jets ball carrier hasn’t been setting the fantasy world on fire as of late, but he continues to see a steady workload, which should bode well for his Week 11 matchup with the Bills. In his last 5 games, Hall has seen no fewer than 16 touches per game, averaging 19.2 touches per game recording 311 rushing yards, 21 receptions, 204 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. He’s a solid RB-2 in Week 11. 

$7200-DK, Travis Etienne Jr (Jaguars) The Jags runner was slowed last week in a lopsided loss to the Niners, but Week 11 sets up for a bounce back game. Before last week, Etienne entered the contest averaging 20+ carries per game in his prior 4 games totaling 323 yards on the ground. He’s an RB-1 fantasy play this week.

$6200-DK, Amari Cooper (Browns) In his three games with PJ Walker as the primary passer (weeks 6,7 & 8), Cooper has averaged 9.0 targets per contest while totaling 12 receptions, for 219 yards receiving, and 18.25 yards per reception. Facing the Steelers 27th ranked secondary (DraftKings) versus opposing wide receivers, Cooper is a low-end WR2.

$7200-DK, Brandon Aiyuk (49ers) At his price level on Draftkings, Aiyuk is a very appealing play this week matched up against the Buccaneers. The Bucs rank 29th (DK) versus opposing wide receivers and Aiyuk has been consistent averaging 4.3 receptions, 73.7 yards receiving with one touchdown over his last three games. He’s a strong WR-2 in Week 11.

$7100-DK, Puka Nacua (Rams) Set to play on Sunday after returning to full participation in practice this week, Puka is the better value between he and (Cooper) Kupp. In his last four games Puka has enjoyed no fewer than 7 targets per game. With a Week 11 matchup against the Seahawks 19th ranked secondary (DK), Nacua should be a borderline WR-1/WR-2 on Sunday.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: FF WEEK 4 STARTS

September 30th, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Evening Edition

Fantasy Football Week 3

Start’Ems

My Week 4 Starts

Every week fantasy owners deal with and tackle the question of, who to sit and who to start. For some of us or maybe many of us, we follow the rule, start your starters. There are certain players you targeted in your draft and took in the early rounds and they should be started. Fantasy owners need not overthink this.

When it comes to those mid-round picks or later, this is where you might look at your bench and the waiver wire for favorable options. When I look at NFL Sunday, Week 4 these are the players that should be started and in your lineups.

QB-Russell Wilson (Broncos)

It’s been nothing less than a bad rollercoaster ride for Russell Wilson and the Broncos offense this season. Through the first three games we’ve seen some good, but we’ve also seen a lot of inconsistencies.

Wilson is currently the fantasy QB9, although it doesn’t seem like it. This season he’s throwing for 260 yards and two touchdowns per game, completing better than 65% of his passes and he’s added 57 yards rushing. While the numbers sound good, the team hasn’t looked good and they are 0-3, coming off the embarrassing 70-20 loss to Miami.

Wilson will have a chance at redemption for the team this week in Chicago. A big key for Wilson’s success facing the Bears 28th ranked pass defense, will be the lack of pressure. In three games this season the Bears defense is last in the league with one sack and has allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. 

There’s not a lot of confidence in the Broncos team, but I have confidence in Wilson and head coach Sean Payton, tomorrow will be a better output for the offense and passing game. Start Wilson.

RB-Zack Moss (Colts)

The Colts running back has been fantastic as the team’s lead back. In two games this season Moss has been delivering as an elite RB-1 (currently the fantasy RB5) averaging 4.4 yards per carry, 27 touches and 126 scrimmage yards per game. He contributes in the pass game with 6 catches for 42 yards and a score in his two appearances.

With the Colts playing host to the Rams this week, Moss will be in line for another full workload, against a Rams defense that is allowing 4.6 yards per carry. This feels like a game where Moss should see enough volume to produce RB-1 numbers for the week.

In each of the two weeks Moss has seen at least 22 touches, totaled more than 100 yards of offense in each game, finishing in the top-10 for rushing each week. His floor is high enough that he’s a safe bet and should be in your lineup. Start Moss

WR-Brandon Aiyuk (49ers)

The Niners wide receiver returns after missing one game and with the possibility of no Deebo or a less than a 100% Samuel, Aiyuk is a strong start this week. Aiyuk has blossomed into a trustworthy and dependable weapon in the pass game.

He has 11 receptions for 172 yards receiving this season, with two touchdowns. If the 49ers are without Deebo, Aiyuk could be featured even more and provide a repeat of his week one performance (fantasy WR2).

Although the Cardinals defense has played well this season, the Niners are a well-balanced and well-oiled machine on offense and will present a myriad of problems for the D. Aiyuk could see a bump in his target share, making him a strong play on Sunday. Start Aiyuk

If you are in a deep league looking for some help in the flex spot, the Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr could be a sneaky play. I already like Wilson to continue with even greater success and we’ve already seen these two connect a couple of times this season. Mims provides the deep threat for the Broncos passing game and has shown the ability to take the lid off the top of the defense.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega