Showing posts with label Pittsburgh Steelers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pittsburgh Steelers. Show all posts

Thursday, November 2, 2023

FSH NOTEBOOK: THURSDAY NIGHT MATCHUP

November 2nd, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Thursday Afternoon Edition




Thursday Night Matchup


Tonight’s matchup between the Titans and Steelers doesn’t have too many hot takes, but it does offer some intrigue with potentially some new faces on the field. While the Steelers starting quarterback Kenny Pickett has a chance to play, the Titans will be rolling the dice with rookie quarterback Will Levis.

Levis is coming off a phenomenal debut last Sunday, when he completed 65.5% of his passes for 238 yards and touchdowns. With the short week and limited film study time available, I don’t see the Steelers defense being able to throw a lot of exotic looks or too much at the rook. We could see another strong performance against the league's 24th ranked pass defense.

MY DFS STACK PLAY

(QB-Will Levis and WR-DeAndre Hopkins)
Levis is coming off a strong performance where he hooked up with his primary receiving weapon, wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. The two were highly efficient and explosive in Week 8, connecting on 4 of 6 passes for 128 yards and three scores. This connection seems like a lock tonight against a suspect secondary that has been had by Jaguars wide receivers Calvin Ridley & Christina Kirk in Week 8 (10 receptions/129 yards receiving), Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua in week 7 (8 receptions/154 yards receiving), and Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers in Week 6 (6 receptions/50 yards receiving/1 touchdown).

I can see many entrants running with this stack tonight, so a possible change of direction to consider would be the Titans tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo. He was second on the team last week with 5 targets and could be effective tonight against the Steelers defense that surrendered 11 receptions to the tight end last week.

Looking to go against the grain, consider the Steelers Najee Harris tonight, but temper expectations. In two of their last three games the Titans defense has allowed 100 or more yards rushing..

That’s My Take!
~David G. Ortega


Saturday, September 16, 2023

FSH NOTEBOOK: WEEK 2 FF SIT'EMS








September 16th, 2023
David’s Daily Digest
Saturday Evening Edition

Fantasy Football Week 2
Sit’Ems


My week 2 Sits for Sunday and Monday.

QB-Russell Wilson (Broncos)
- Wilson was very efficient in week 1 versus the Raiders, completing 27 of 34 passes (79.4% completion), but faced only a little pressure on the day being sacked just twice. This could be a very different story on Sunday facing the Commanders. Washington recorded three sacks in week one, two with Top-15 fastest sack times. Their defense also only allowed 3.8 yards per pass attempt, 5th best in the league in week one. Wilson and the Broncos pass game could struggle in week two.


RB-Cam Akers (Rams)
- I’m not expecting much from Akers in week 2, this is in part to his lackluster production in week one (29 yards rushing on 22 carries), but mostly his matchup against a Niners defense that allowed only 37 yards rushing to opposing running backs in week one. I am avoiding Akers this week.



WR-George Pickens (Steelers)
- Week one was rough treading for Pickens and the Steelers passing game with a tough matchup with the Niners. Pickens finished week one with 5 catches, but for just 36 yards. With another tough matchup in week 2 against a Browns secondary that allowed the 3rd fewest receptions to opposing receivers in week one, I am avoiding Pickens.



WR-Courtland Sutton (Broncos)
- With a tough matchup on the slate for Wilson and company, Sutton may be the one receiver most affected. With the return of Jerry Jeudy this week, Sutton is likely to see some of the attention on offense shift away from his direction, in what could become a quiet week 2.



TE-Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)
- Freiermuth was able to salvage his day last Sunday with a 3-yard touchdown grab. He may not be so lucky this week against a Browns defense that held the opposing tight ends to 3 catches for 17 yards. I will look elsewhere for help at the tight end spot.


That's my take!
~David G. Ortega


Saturday, November 25, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 25th 2017
Saturday Evening Edition







Week 12 Perfect Line up
(NFL.com)

I am just like most fantasy football nuts, I love to play the games and all of the games. Every week I take my shots and let the Hail Marys fall where they may and included is the weekly Perfect Lineup on the NFL site. My track record has not been great of late, as I like to play the numbers, mixed in with a little bit gut-feelings and intuition. Last week my team tanked big, but that’s the great thing about fantasy, there’s another week to play until there isn’t. Here are my picks for Week 12;




QB-Ben Roethlisberger; The expectation is this offense is going to breakout at some point and while 40 points last week and subsequently a nice passing day from Big Ben (299 yards and 4 touchdowns) would be good indicators, that type of game falls a little short. It’s a great start nonetheless and has generated some buzz, but my gut is telling me this week is the boom week for Big Ben and the offense; bigger than last week.

RB-Kareem Hunt; Last week the hopes were high for Hunt and the Chiefs offense, but unfortunately there was only disappointment. This week owners will be singing a different tune with Hunt and company taking on the (Bills) worst run defense in the league over the past month.

RB-Mark Ingram; The Saints starting running back Mark Ingram is the league’s No.6 RB in standard and PPR, but over the past two weeks he’s number one. Ingram has lead the charge in his last two games with 287 scrimmage yards and 4 touchdowns and Sunday he faces a Rams defense that has allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing running backs for the season.

WR-TY Hilton; Over the past month, only one defense against opposing wide receivers has been worse than the Titans. In the last four weeks the Titans defense has allowed the 2nd most touchdowns (6) and fantasy points to opposing receivers. This sounds like a very good matchup for wide receiver TY Hilton and with his quarterback Jacoby Brissett cleared for Sunday, all signs point toward big day.

WR-Julio Jones; The Falcons receiver is healthy this week or as healthy as he’s been this season and it comes in time for fantasy owners. The Falcons draw the Bucs this week and their 29th ranked pass defense and a secondary that has allowed the most receiving yards, most receptions, and 3rd most touchdowns to opposing receivers.

TE-Rob Gronkowski; The Patriots tight end was held in check a week ago with just three catches for 12 yards, but Gronk still managed to find the end zone. I would expect a healthier Gronk to enjoy greater success this week against the Dolphins. Gronk is always a Brady favorite in the red zone and could be looking at one of his multi-touchdown weeks.

PK-Justin Tucker; I am expecting the Ravens offense to have some great success moving the ball and as per usual of the offense this season, they will be calling on the sure footed Justin Tucker.

Steelers Defense; This looks like great matchup for the Steelers defense, a home matchup against a backup quarterback (Brett Hundley) that has been struggling. Hundley is coming off a three-pick performance a week ago. Look for the Steelers defense to turn up the heat and bring lots of pressure, early and often.

That's My Take.
~David Ortega





Thursday, November 23, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 23rd 2017
Thursday Night Edition






Week 12 Diamonds in the Rough

This is the final stretch of the fantasy football regular season as we have now entered week 12. With the bye weeks complete, there are still 13 games left on the slate and plenty of gems waiting to be inserted into your lineup this week.





Tyrod Taylor returns to the lineup.
After the Nathan Peterman failure last week, the Bills are going to go back to quarterback Tyrod Taylor. The Bills new, old starter is currently the No.14 fantasy QB through 11 weeks and will face the Chiefs 28th ranked pass defense that allows the 9th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. The Chiefs are in a slide right now and Taylor may have some vengeance on his mind this week. There are not a lot of signs pointing toward a big game, but any given Sunday may apply.

A change in Denver could mean more changes
The Broncos offense is in turmoil, currently one of the worst in the leagues, but a recent bright spot has been 2nd year running back Devontae Booker. The Broncos running back has steadily seen his role and production grow in the offense with Week 11 being his best game of the season. His 19 touches and 98 total yards were season highs and the best that the backfield has seen in weeks. With the recent firing of Mike McCoy, the offense will be under new direction which could open the door to changes; new starter, new workload split, etc. This is a situation worth monitoring.

Time for the Bee-sting of Martavis
The Steelers offense finally showed some real life in week 11 rolling up 40 points against the Titans. One missing component of the Killers Bees this season has been the Steelers wide receiver Martavis Bryant. Through 11 weeks he’s barely been a blip on anyone’s radar and there’s been even less reason for him to be. With the Steelers offense looking like it’s getting ready to start rolling again, Bryant could be in line for a potential breakout game. This Sunday night is a prime matchup at home against a Packers defense that’s allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing receivers over its past four games. Bryant is more likely a boom or bust option, but if you need to reach, he could answer the call.

That's My Take.
~David Ortega



Wednesday, October 18, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 18th 2017
Wednesday Evening Edition






Sunday At A Glance 
(Week 6)


Watson continues to Own it on Sundays
The Texans rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson is having a season to remember. Against the Browns the rookie was superb once again completing 17 of 29 passes for 225 yards and three more touchdown passes. His numbers had him ranked as the No.2 fantasy QB for the week and it was his fourth straight game with at least 20 fantasy points.

Cousins is rolling now.
After a slow this season, it seems Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins is rolling now. On Sunday Cousins completed 25 of 37 passes for 330 yards, adding three touchdowns; 2 pass, 1 run. This was Cousins third consecutive game with at least 20 fantasy points; during the stretch he has 915 passing yards and 8 total touchdowns. Yeah, he’s rolling now.

Dion Lewis Provides a spark.
With normal starting running back Mike Gillislee seemingly stuck in neutral on Sunday, the Patriots turned to Dion Lewis (who started on Sunday). Gillislee was running well gaining 44 yards on the ground before a first half fumble sent him to the sidelines for an early stretch. Enter Lewis and the spark the Patriots offense needed. Down by 14 points early, Lewis took handle of the run game reigns and total 52 yards on 11 carries, including a one-yard plunge in the 2nd quarter to get the Patriots on the board. With Gillislee in a touchdown drought (since week 2), fantasy owners may see Lewis role in the offense continue to grow.

Steelers find a hole in Chiefs defense.
And just when you thought they were formidable, the struggling Steelers show up and crash the Chiefs home celebration and spoil their undefeated start. Steelers Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger bounced back from an ugly week 5 showing to dice up the Chiefs defense for 250 yards passing and nearly 200 yards rushing. It was the Steelers best offensive output of the season, although they could only muster 19 points. Running back Le’Veon Bell led the way with 179 yards rushing, while Antonio Brown was a huge factor as well with 8 receptions for 155 receiving yards and a score. They looked formidable when the week started, but the Steelers may have just found some cracks in the Chief’s armor.

Fitz and Peterson; The Newest Dynamic Duo
With the arrival of running back Adrian Peterson, the Cardinals rushing offense received a huge and badly needed injection. The Cards entered the week as one of the worst rushing offenses in the league, but finished as the 6th leading rushing team for the week. Coincidently with Peterson in the backfield, wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald decided to take a dip in the fountain of youth turning in a stat line of 10/138/1; good enough for the No.2 fantasy WR for the week (in PPR). And oh yeah, that Peterson fella just managed 134 yards rushing on 26 carries with 2 touchdowns; he was the No.4 fantasy RB in PPR (No.2 in standard).

That's My Take.

~David Ortega




Sunday, October 1, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 1st, 2017
Sunday Morning Edition






Sunday Morning Game-Time

(Quick Takes)


You have to love quarterback Matt Ryan at home this week. Matty Ice always enjoys the confines of the indoor and this week he’s got Julio Jones matched up against the Bills secondary. Bills defense allows 6th most receptions to opposing receivers; I’d be looking for the Ryan-to-Jones connection all day.

The Cardinals secondary has allowed the 9th most receiving yards to opposing receivers and the 3rd most fantasy points; I have to play wide receiver Pierre Garcon in a couple of DFS lineups today. Garcon is currently the No.24 fantasy WR (in PPR) and working his way up.

Last season wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins was a bit disappointing, considering expectations, but this season’s been a different story. Hopkins is currently the No.10 receiver in fantasy (PPR) and with 37 targets through three weeks, fantasy owners have to love his chances to hold his spot. This week he’ll matchup against a Titans secondary that ranks 27th versus the pass, so chances are great.

The Lions defense hasn’t been bad against the run this season ranked 11th, but they do allow 4 yards per carry. I am playing Vikings running back Dalvin Cook in a couple of DFS plays today; he’s a quiet play that could easily top 15-18 fantasy points with 100 total yards and a score.

The Steelers offense has been pretty much stuck in neutral these first three weeks, but I suspect running back Le’Veon Bell will begin working his way up the top from his current No.15 fantasy RB (PPR) spot. The last time he faced the Ravens, Bell totaled 137 yards of offense and scored twice.

The Rams offense has been impressive the first three weeks this season, especially when you look at last season’s version. The roll into the Dallas and will be looking to spoil the Cowboys home-cooking. I like both running back Todd Gurley and wide receiver Sammy Watkins to have success in what will likely be an old fashioned shootout at the Jerry Jones Corral. The Cowboys defense is ranked 11th overall, but 19th against the pass. Watkins should be able to operate with success today, and the Rams have been utilizing Gurley (No.2 fantasy RB) even more in the pass this season; 13 receptions for 140 yards and 2 scores. Yup, I like em both.

That’s My Take.

~David Ortega



Saturday, September 30, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 30th 2017
Saturday afternoon Edition






My Week 4 Four Horsemen + a Flex

(Bold Predictions: By the Numbers)

Time to check out our report card for last week and I have to tell you, it feels like getting a test back that you already know you didn’t do well. So let’s take a look. At quarterback we tanked with our Rivers picked. Apparently the Chargers move from San Diego to Los Angeles didn’t change a whole lot of things; three picks, no touchdowns

Who would’ve thought the Saints defense would show up in week 3 and on the road nonetheless. Running back Jonathan Stewart was basically held in check limited to just 61 total yards. Our receiver DeAndre Hopkins was busy last Sunday with 7 catches, but finishing as the No.30 fantasy WR (PPR) is not good enough. Tight end Jared Cook wasn’t far off the mark with 43 yards and score, finishing as the No.8 fantasy TE (PPR) last week. Running back Lamar Miller, our flex fared no better than Stewart, finishing with just 63 total yards. And for good measure the Steelers defense ranked 13th in fantasy last week.
Overall Grade D-

There’s no question it was a rough week, but maybe we can bounce back in a big way in Week 4;

Quarterback

It’s not been a good season thus far for picks, but I’m a gambler and I’ll play every time. This week I am riding with the rookie arm of Deshaun Watson. Ever since his debut as the starter in week 2 on Thursday night, I’ve been impressed. He had Mike Vick moves then and last week showed some grit standing toe-to-toe with Tom Brady and the Patriots. He’s still a rookie and going to make mistakes, but I love his upside when you add in his running skills and Bill O’Brien’s play-calling. This week he’ll have more success against the Titans; 20 0f 30 passing, 185 yards passing, 1 TD pass, 1 Int, 45 yards rushing, 1 rushing TD.

Running Back

If I have any real bold picks here, this one will be the boldest of the bunch. This will be Buccaneers running back Jacquizz Rodgers last dance in the spotlight (start Doug Martin returns next week) and after a less than dismal week 3 finishing with just 15 yards rushing on 5 carries he’s going to be looking to bounce back in a big way. Last week was not a good week in general for the entire offense, but fortunately for Rodgers and company the Giants roll into town. Through 3 weeks, the G-men have not been good against the run. Let’s look at the numbers; ranked last against the run, allow 4.5 yards per carry, and allow 10th most fantasy points to opposing runners. The Bucs have enough weapons to keep the G-men from stacking the box; 75 rushing yards, 25 receiving yards and a score.

Wide Receiver

Bold, maybe not, but playing the numbers yes. Dolphins wide receiver Jarvis Landry was heavily targeted back in week two (15 targets) and followed that performance with 11 more last Sunday. His busy Sundays have yet to produce a lot of yards, 19 receptions for just 126 yards. So I am just playing the numbers on this one, Landry is getting opportunities and his week 4 matchup looks like a good one against the Saints (ranked 31st against the pass). It will be another busy Sunday for Landry; 8 receptions, 85 yards, and a touchdown.

Tight End

I’m not going to mince words here with my week 4 tight end pick. What’s the saying, hard to keep a big man down or something like that? At 6’5” Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is nearly larger than life and after a hugely disappointing week 3 (just one catch), he’s bouncing back this week. You can count on Andy Reid making sure of that. It’s a great matchup against a Redskins defense that struggles against opposing tight ends; 7 catches, 75 yards receiving, a touchdown.

Flex

Over the past two weeks the Redskins rising star ball carrier Chris Thompson has been on a roll. I am a believer in the third time’s a charm. Thompson is electric in space, has great hands, and I believe Jay Gruden will game play to get the rock to him on Monday night. He’s my flex this week; 35 rushing yards, 6 catches, 55 receiving yards, and a score.

Defense: And once again we are playing a team defense this week, since we love DFS. This week I am streaming the Jaguars defense. I am not expecting a repeat of last week’s domination, especially since entering this matchup, the Jets offense is coming off a good showing. The Jets are home this Sunday, so I’d expect them to keep some of that momentum this week. I am playing the numbers here and just like the Jags defense (the No.3 overall defense, number one in sacks-13, 2nd in turnover differential) too much to think McCown and company will be able to generate a lot of yards and points.

That’s My Take.

~David Ortega



Wednesday, September 27, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 27th 2017
Wednesday Late Night Edition






What I Learned from Week 3


(Quick Takes)

It’s late Wednesday night, the morning will come early tomorrow, so I am not going to spend too much time on my rants here, but here’s what I learned from last week;

Too early to anoint Siemian! Yup, first road test was a fail. Maybe it wasn’t a complete failure, but the inability to put the ball in the endzone (3 FGs last week) won’t get it done.

Broncos defense has some holes. After their two week scintillating start, the defense comes back to earth getting toasted by, of all quarterback Tyrod Taylor. And I’m not knocking Taylor, actually thought his mobility would play into the Broncos pass rush, wrong. Taylor’s got a lot more than that.

Brady-to-Cooks, dinner is served! Fantasy owners finally got a taste at what could be. Now will they see what will be going forward. Well right now the Pats defense is not going to stop anyone, so maybe we will.

Patriots are powered by the Pass. After three weeks fantasy owners can see how this engine runs in New England. Brady may have a lot of miles on his arm, but that baby is still running smooth. Play away.

Is Jaguars defense for real? This may be a tough question to answer given the offenses they’ve had to face in the early going. Good news is, we won’t have to answer this week either. Jags will face Jets on Sunday, so I feel good about their chances with continued success.

Keenum equipped to handle reins. Whether he remains the starter for the long term (see Bradford’s health) or the short term, what we’ve seen over the past two weeks should give fantasy owners plenty of confidence to roll with their studs (Diggs, Cook, Thielen). Maybe this week will be TE Rudolph’s turn.

Falcons defense could be a problem. Thus far the Falcons are undefeated, but no thanks to their average defense (ranked 17th in total yards). The Falcons have dodged bullets in week one to Chicago and last week against the Lions. Their 3-0 record could be misleading.

Bucs defense needs work. After a strong opening week performance, the Bucs defense got a rude awakening courtesy of Keenum and the Vikings. The Bucs play in a tough division loaded with some pretty good arms and receivers. Defense needs work, fast!

Colts a work in progress. Well surprise, surprise. The Colts proved Any Given Sunday is true. We won’t get ahead of ourselves here. They are a work in progress, but after quarterback Jacoby Brissett’s impressive week 3 play there is light at the end of the tunnel. And quarterback Andrew Luck could be back in a few weeks.

Manning and group finally show up. It tooks three weeks for the offense to finally click, but then again they only managed 24 points and still lost. Eli Manning and the G-men haven’t got it all figured out yet, but last week certainly looked like they got the passing game somewhat figured out. Now work on the run.

Steel Curtain made of aluminum. Week 3 was not an impressive day for the Steelers defense. Maybe the team left them back in the tunnel; they didn’t know the game started since they missed the national anthem. Either way, 220 yards rushing allowed, that curtain couldn’t have been made out of steel.

Panthers offense in trouble? This was not big test, but it was not a good sign for Cam and company to struggle against a Saints defense that had been treated like a doormat for the two previous weeks. You have to ask, is there something wrong with Cam? How do the Panthers play so poorly at home against the Saints. Hmmm?

Brees not done yet. Just when it looks like the Saints were toast, Brees and the boys show they still have a lot of fight left. The Saints marched into Carolina and strolled right out with an easy win. They get the Dolphins next in London looking to make it two in a row.

The Dalton Gang shows heart. And his name is Dalton. That never gets old. Andy Dalton and company put up the good fight in week 3, but came up short. It’s a long season and heart only gets you so far. If the Bengals don’t get a W real quick, this season is going to be even longer.

That’s My Take.

~David Ortega





Saturday, September 23, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 22nd 2017
Friday Late Night Edition






My Weekly DFS Play













For those that may be interested, here’s one of my favorite line-ups for Sunday (Week 3) on DraftKings;

QB-Philip Rivers ($6,400): At this price, I believe Rivers is a great value and I happen to like his week 3 matchup very much as well. The Chiefs defense allows the 6th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and with their offense putting up points on the Chargers 20th ranked defense that sits well with me. I expect to see Rivers slinging it all over the yard, just trying to keep up with Alex Smith the Sunshine Band.

RB-Lamar Miller ($5,000): Yes, that’s right Miller. Bill O’Brien and the Texans are going to have to shorten this game as much as possible, if they stand a chance to keep it competitive. Miller, the No.19 (PPR) fantasy running back has yet to exceed 20 carries in a game this season (his high is 18), but I expect he’s got a good shot at doing just that this Sunday against a Patriots defense that allows the most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Miller Gold has a nice ring, don’t you think?

RB-Jonathan Stewart ($4,700): Now here’s the bargain of the week, Stewart for $4,700 at the Saints. Through two weeks Stewart has carried the rock 33 times for 105 yards, not a great average. He’ll get a great shot at redemption and much better numbers this Sunday against a Saints defense that is allowing 4.4 yards per carry. The Saints defense has also allowed the 4th most fantasy points (27.00) to opposing running backs, which means both Panthers backs should be productive.

WR-Keenan Allen ($7,200): This is the stack play with Keenan and Rivers, but could you blame me? His price is in line, especially following a week 2 with 10 targets for 9 receptions and 100 yards receiving. Allen is consistent and unquestionably Rivers favorite. You should be able to count on another 8-10 targets on Sunday against a Chiefs secondary that allows the 5th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers

WR-Jermaine Kearse ($4,600): Another bargain, with a little risk. But at his price it’s hard to pass on Kearse. Through two games he’s been the most reliable and productive receiver on the field for the Jets. I expect to see his number continue to be called and against a shaky Dolphins secondary he should have lots of success.

WR-Adam Thielen ($5,700): There’s likely no Sam Bradford this Sunday, he’s still dealing with a knee issue. As was the case last week, in the absence of Bradford, backup Case Keenum got the start. Keenum will likely start again and for Thielen owners that’s not all bad. Last week Thielen led the team in receptions (5), but for only 44 yards. Keenum started slow, but didn’t look all bad giving me the belief he may be serviceable this week and Thielen might be playable. At his price and going up against a Buccaneers secondary that allowed over 200 yards to wide receivers last week, you have to take a shot here with Thielen.

TE-Travis Kelce ($6,000): In two games Kelce has been greatly involved in the Chiefs passing game with 17 targets producing a line of 13/143/1. He’s the No.2 (PPR) fantasy tight end and coming off a strong week 2 performance. The way Andy Reid has been utilizing his big tight end through two weeks, the Chargers defense is going to have a tough time handling. And now Kelce has a nice compliment of weapons around him on the field to draw attention away, he should have another busy afternoon on Sunday

Flex-Ty Montgomery ($6,900): With bargain runners I have slotted, I was able to go a little higher with my flex and what a deal! Montgomery has seen plenty of work through two weeks and even if they dial it back a bit, he’ll still see plenty of touches this Sunday against the Bengals. Montgomery is No.4 (PPR) fantasy running back averaging 19.5 touches per game. Expect his workload to remain in line this week with the prospect of Randall Cobb out and Jordy Nelson possibly being slowed with a bruised quad.

D/ST-Steelers ($3,400): Playing by the numbers here. Steelers are well priced and the Bears offense has not played well. The Bears O-line has allowed only 5 sacks, but they have allowed the quarterback to take a ton of hits (18) in two games. And what do the Steelers do well; 9 sacks (ranked 3rd) and hit the quarterback 16 times this season (tied for 2nd most).

That’s My Take.

~David Ortega