FINDING THIS YEAR'S VALUE

September 6th 2015
Sunday

FINDING THIS YEAR'S VALUE

For the most part drafting value is to each his own. You won't know the result of that play until many weeks into your fantasy season. but if you do your due diligence, keep up with the injury updates, follow the reports coming out of training camps, and pay attention to "Sportscenter" or "NFL Access" you will have at least a small inclination as to what is happening.

And even though "Numbers Never Lie" isn't exactly an exact science, it is however a pretty strong indicator and trustworthy guideline to follow when it comes to finding the fantasy value you are looking for in the later rounds of your fantasy drafts.

Having just completed my third fantasy draft, let me offer some opinion and thoughts on a couple of later rounders with value.

The first name is one that was not even drafted; wide receiver James Jones. The ex-Packer wideout was just released by the Giants (part of their cut-downs to 53). Now a free agent, his ex-employer could come calling to add needed depth to their receiving squad. Jones played 7 seasons with the Pack averaging nearly 53 receptions and 730 yards receiving scoring 29 touchdowns in his last 4 campaigns in Green Bay. Jones also finished with a career high 73 receptions in 2014 in Oakland. His numbers don't jump off the board, but in Green Bay he could be a late round flyer with upside as a reliable WR3 or flex play in most formats.

For the past three seasons Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown more than 615 passes in each of those seasons; that's a lot of balls to go around. With wide receiver Julio Jones drawing most of the defenses attention and a banged up Roddy White, the Falcons number three receiver spot could have a lot of fantasy "sex" appeal. In 2013 Harry Douglas ran with that role and flourished when Julio missed much of the season. This season's Harry D, could be wideout Leonard Hankerson. Hank spent four seasons in the turbulent Redskins camp and is coming of ACL surgery from a year ago. Hank has never had a  quarterback like Ryan and could benefit greatly in the Falcons pass system. We won't get carried away and try to stretch Hankerson out to more than what he really is; another late round flyer that could pay some nice dividends as a strong flex or low WR3 in deeper 12 and 14 team leagues.

The reports are already saying that Rams rookie running back Todd Gurley is out for week one and that he's not likely to see substantial work on the field until after the team's week 6 bye. In my most recent draft second year running back Tre Mason did not come off the board until round 13. Mason is not exactly tiny at 5'8", he weighs in at 207 pounds. With lightening speed and great agility, he is expected to anchor the Rams run game in the early going this season. Gurley may work his way into the rotation, but Mason is not going anywhere. Falling this late in the draft, Mason can offer value as a strong flex play or even a low end RB2 in deeper formats for the first quarter of the season. And there's no guarantee that Gurley will set the world on fire when he gets on the field; Mason's value could sustain deep into the 2015 season.

This is just my take; three names coming off the boards late that I like.

~David G

THE JORDY DILEMMA

August 27th 2015
Wednesday

THE JORDY DILEMMA

If you were like me and looking to cash in on "Hands McGee's" (Packers receiver Jordy Nelson) consistency and volumninous production, you used a high draft selection to nab the league's number six receptions leader (98), number four receiving yards (1,519 yards), and tied for second in touchdowns (13); arguably one of the top fantasy options for 2015.

As it always does every year, injuries play a big part of the pro game, as well as the fantasy game. If you spent one of your top draft selections on Nelson, than you are in the same boat as myself and many others now looking for help through the fantasy waiver wire or even trades.

With Nelson's season over with the knee injury, you know he is going to work hard to come back, and you just know he will (and YOU can too). Even if your top pick or number one wide receiver is shelved for the season, there is time to recover and bounce back.

In my recent draft (a 10-team PPR/IDP league), our rounds went 25 deep so there were quite a few receivers taken that are likely to still be available in many leagues that draft 20 rounds or less. In the league I play, we start two wide receivers with a flex (so we can use three in our starting lineup). On that note with this season another one of those 'years of the wide receiver" (a position that appears very deep this season), some of the more appealing names that came off the board include the following;

Eric Decker, NYJ - 15th round, 3rd pick
Michael Crabtree, Oak, - 15th round, 8th pick
Davante Adams, GB - 16th round, 2nd pick
Malcom Floyd, SD - 17th round, 1st pick
Charles Johnson, Min - 17th round, 7th pick
Donte Moncrief, IND - 24th round, 1st pick

In this group, the notables are Adams, Johnson, and Moncrief. With Nelson out, Adams value will rise significantly as well as his 66 targets from a year ago. In Minnesota, Johnson (59 targets in 2014) could be lining up to be one of quarterback Teddy Bridgewaters more reliable targets, as he averaged nearly seven a game for the final seven weeks of the regular season. 

Moncrief came on the scene a year ago as a big-play option nabbing 32 ball on 49 targets for nearly 14 yards a grab. With quarterback Andy Luck set to have another stellar and productive fantasy season expect to see Moncrief in the mix.

A couple of more names of interest that owners should be keeping a watchful eye on; wide receivers James Jones in New York, Leonard Hankerson in Atlanta, and Mohamed Sanu in Cincinnati.

In my opinion Sanu is the riskier of the three with a shaky quarterback at best in Andy Dalton, but he returns in 2015 with 98 targets under his belt and a lot of familiarity with his QB. Jones looks on track to make the Giants as their number 4 reciever, but that's no guarantee. If he is released, his old stomping grounds is Lambeau and it should not surprise if they come calling; his value would spike in a hurry. Hankerson is the question-mark. With no history in Atlanta, he's working for a job, but there are whispers he's been impressive. And with wide receiver Roddy White having recently undergone surgery on his elbow, there's a door open for Hankerson.

Hope some of this information will help those of you in the same boat. Remember it's never over until the fat lady sings and this fantasy season is just getting started.

Good luck fellow players.

~David G.

FSH NOTEBOOK: (SATURDAY'S) FRIDAY FOOTBALL FIXX

Saturday Edition
December 8th, 2012

  

(Saturday’s) Friday Football Fixx

Fantasy Player News

Taking a look around the National Football League at fantasy football players for Sunday with the latest news and takes;

Nicks Questionable for Sunday
The Giants wide receiver Hakeem Nicks is listed as questionable for Sunday against the Saints, but the explosive wide out did practice on Friday. Nicks has been battling injuries all season and has yet to get back to 100%, but despite being limited this week he is still expected to play on Sunday. Nicks play has been improving over the past couple of weeks since his return from injury, but this little setback could be cause of concern for fantasy owners. His status is still up in the air, but if he is active against the Saints shaky secondary, he needs to be in fantasy lineups.

Nelson Ruled OUT for Sunday
Wide receiver Jordy Nelson has been ruled out for Sunday night against the Lions and will not play. With Nelson on the sidelines, fantasy owners for wide receivers Greg Jennings, Randall Cobb, and James Jones can expect a bump in fantasy value this week. Jennings will be playing only in his second game since returning from injury, but he is expected to fill the role of Nelson and should do just fine. With the Lions up next, Jennings should be in your lineups this week.

Sunday is Wayne’s World
The Colts veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne has been having a prolific 2012 campaign and his current 88 catches and 1,156 yards receiving have him on pace to set career highs in both categories. Wayne is without question rookie quarterback Andrew Luck’s security blanket and has been targeted a league high 153 times this season. On Sunday the Colts have a very favorable matchup against the Titans 25th ranked pass defense, so fantasy owners can expect Luck to look Wayne’s way quite often.

Ivory Unlikely to Play Sunday
The Saints are likely to be without the services of running back Christopher Ivory (doubtful) on Sunday against the Giants. The Giants defense is ranked 21st against the run and even without Ivory, the Saints backfield remains crowded and convoluted. With the Saints being primarily a passing team, running back Darren Sproles remains the only reliable running back with any real fantasy value (in PPR leagues only).

With Harvin OUT All-Day Must Carry the Load
The Vikings have been riding the legs of running back Adrian Peterson (1,446 yard rushing in 2012) most of this season and with the loss of wide receiver Percy Harvin, it looks like he will have to carry the offensive load the rest of the way. Peterson is averaging just over 20 carries in his last six games and has rushed for more than 100 yards in each (he’s also scored in 5 of his last 6), including 210 yards last week. Fantasy owners can expect to see a heavy dose of All-Day the rest of the way and similar success on the ground, despite who Peterson faces

Turner to Play Sunday against Panthers
The Falcons will have running back Michael Turner in the lineup on Sunday against the Panthers, which is good news for fantasy owners. Turner has yet to really break out this season recording just two 100-yard rushing efforts, both at home with the last coming in week 9. This Sunday on the road against the Panthers could be his third facing the league’s 25th ranked run defense. The Panthers are allowing nearly 130 yards on the ground, 4.4 yards a pop, and have surrendered 10 rushing touchdowns. If you a looking for a big game from Turner this week, this matchup could not come at a better time; he’s a safe play this Sunday.


By David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY GAMETIME

Sunday Edition
October 7th, 2012
  

Sunday Morning Gametime

Some quick fantasy notes for Sunday week 5, who to play and who should stay (on your bench);

The Browns are down a couple of receivers today, including Mohamed Massaquoi, so expect to see rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden riding the legs of rookie running back Trent Richardson. The Giants allow more than 4 yards per carry and nearly 120 yards on the ground, start Richardson today.

The Packers will travel to Indy today, but will be without the services of wide receiver Greg Jennings. Facing the Colts secondary that has only one pick this season and struggles to get pressure on the quarterback, Rodgers will still have plenty of weapons including wide receiver James Jones. Jones should be considered a safe flex play today.

While the Falcons defense has been improved this season, there have been some leaks in their ground defense. With a full endorsement from his head coach Mike Shanahan, running back Alfred Morris should find a few holes today against the leagues 29th ranked run defense.

The Packers may rely more on their ground game today and with a banger like Cedric Benson, the team has plenty of confidence to get him the rock. Running back James Starks is inactive once again, so lining up against the leagues 25th ranked run defense it will be the Benson show. He’s a nice RB2 start today.

Just as expected with Nicks and Barden on the shelf today, Hixon looks to be the hot play in Jersey against the Browns. Expect to see Eli look for Hixon often today against the Browns suspect secondary. Hixon is a great flex or low-end WR2 in deeper leagues today.


By David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 14th, 2011 Friday

David’s Daily Digest

Fantasy Notes:

No Jones Means More White
The Falcons offense has looked sporadic and inconsistent at times this season, even the Matt-Ryan to Roddy White connection that has been so effective the past several seasons has yet to really click. Through the first five weeks of this season White has been targeted 54 times (second most), but he has just two touchdowns, only one 100-yard receiving game, and only 352 yards receiving this season. With Julio Jones OUT this week, expect White to step up his game and really become the focal point of the Falcons passing attack against the league’s 15th ranked pass defense (Panthers).

Austin Says he’s ready for Sunday
The Cowboys explosive receiver turned in a couple of full practices this week, including Friday and looks ready to return to action this Sunday against the Patriots. With the Patriots defense giving up huge chunks of yardage each week to the passing game, expect Romo to target Austin early and often. For those fantasy owners that suffered through the absence of Austin expected to be rewarded on Sunday; he’s a must-start.

Graham Vaults to Starting Role
With starter LeGarette Blount (MCL strain) sidelined this week, enter Mr. Graham. The Buccaneers will roll with running back Earnest Graham on Sunday when they take the field and while yards could be tough to come by on the ground , with 23 receptions already this season Graham could still see a lot of production. Even as the starter Graham will not be a favorite in standard leagues, but will offer much more value in PPR.

Jones Could Be a Packer on the Rise
The Packers speedy receiver James Jones is starting to find his stride this season after a quiet start. In his last two games Jones has seen more action (50 snaps) than the previous three games (38 snaps) and his productive has been evident. Jones has a total of 11 targets in his last two games, catching eight balls for 188 yards and scoring twice. This Sunday against the Rams at home could be a jail break for the Packers passing game. With the defense preoccupied with trying to slow (Greg) Jennings and (Jermichael) Finley, Jones could emerge as a huge benefactor; this is not a popular pick, but I like Jones as a flex or possible start in deep leagues, especially if you are thin at WR.

Could this be Torain’s Week?
Despite head coach Mike Shanahan’s point blank declaration of who will be the man on Sunday in the Redskin’s backfield, the smart money is on running back Ryan Torain. Shanahan has already expressed his pleasure with the return of Torain last week and after his (Torain) play (135 yards rushing, one touchdown) last weekend the Redskin’s head coach was not disappointed either. Remember Shanahan actually drafted Torain when both were in Denver; Torain is his pick and regardless if he starts should see plenty of work. Going against the Eagles 28th ranked defense, Torain is worthy of a start in most deep leagues and could be a nice flex in shallow formats.


By David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: FRIDAY FANTASY WATCH

January 14th, 2011, Friday

Friday Fantasy Watch

James Jones: Jones Could Have a Huge Night

The Falcons will definitely be looking to roll coverage toward wide receiver Greg Jennings wherever he is on the field and even though Donald Driver looks ready to go, third year receiver James Jones could end up being the big play man for the Pack. Last week Jones dropped a sure long touchdown grab against the Eagles.

Even though Jones has struggled with drops throughout the season, quarterback Aaron Rodgers has continued to show confidence in his speedy wideout. Jones finished the regular season with 50 grabs and five touchdowns. In their only meeting this season Jones did register five catches against the Falcons; he could be a big play Saturday night.

Saturday’s projections against the Falcons.
(5 catches, 90 yards receiving, one touchdowns)

Hines Ward: The VeteranCould Be Clutch on Saturday

You won’t have to tell the Ravens to pay attention to the Steeler’s Mike Wallace. The 2nd year wideout has emerged into a big play specialist a will likely be the focus of the Raven’s secondary on Saturday. With Wallace drawing so much attention, veteran wide receiver Hines Ward could end up being the big playmaker.

In two games this season Wallace has been relatively quiet with seven catches for 100 yards (no touchdowns), and while Ward was less effective this season against the Ravens, he is still one of Big Ben’s favorite targets. In the team’s two final games this season Ward led all receivers with 14 targets. He’s lost a step or two after 13 seasons in the NFL, but he still has that veteran savvy to find the end-zone.

Saturday’s projections against the Ravens.
(6 catches, 65 yards receiving, one touchdown)

Tony Gonzales: Tony G Could Be A Hot Ticket

The Falcons have plenty of speed and the dangerous Roddy White to stretch the field and with the Packers will likely countering with Charles Woodson (on White) tight end Tony Gonzales could be a vital component in the Atlanta’s red-zone passing game.

Gonzales finished the year with 70 receptions and just 656 yards receiving, but was second on the team with six touchdowns. Against the Packers in their first matchup Tony G was busy hauling in six passes for 51 yards and a score. He could very well be looking at similar numbers Saturday night against the Packers 5th ranked pass defense that will bend (allow the short stuff) and not break (taking away White deep).

Saturday’s projections against the Packers.
(7 catches, 70 yards receiving, one touchdown)

Just my take.

By David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: MONDAY MORNING HUDDLE

January 10th, 2011, Monday

Monday Morning Huddle
(Late Evening Edition)

If you happen to be as big a fan of football as I am then you had to enjoy this past weekend’s slate of games. I did not have a side in the Saints-Seahawks matchup, but I never expected to see the defending champs do down so soon. Even the night cap on Saturday caught me off guard, it was not much of an upset if any, but it was a surprise seeing the Jets roll into Indy and shut down Manning and the Colts. After one day of action last year’s two Super Bowl participants were gone.

Sunday brought about some eyebrow-raising as well, with both the Ravens and Packers handling their business in decisive fashion. Sure the Eagles playing at home made it close, but it was a game quarterback Michael Vick and company were pretty much scrambling all afternoon. The Aaron Rodgers led Packers came into Lincoln Field, grab control and took the lead never to look back. In Kansas City the Ravens defense needed a few plays, but once they awoke it was lights out for the Chiefs.

With the Seahawks winners over the Saints and the Packers coming out of Philly with the win, check your brackets folks, cause there will be some changes.

Top Stories

The Saturday Night Special At The Georgia Dome

For those of us still entertained with fantasy fever, this Saturday’s divisional round matchup between the Packers and Falcons promises to deliver plenty to cheer about. Remember these two teams squared off about a month and a half ago and gave fans plenty of fireworks to get excited about. This time around looks to be a lot of the same, but with the Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (28 touchdowns, 3,922 yards passing in 2010) playing so well, it’s hard to imagine the Falcons being able to limit the Green Bay offense to just 17 points. Back in week 12 against the Falcons Rodgers passed for 344 yards, but only threw one touchdown pass. In his last three starts, Rodgers is averaging 270 yards passing and has eight touchdown passes. Rodgers will still have plenty of weapons on the field, even with a dinged up Donald Driver (knee) and could be in for another big outing against the Falcons 22nd ranked pass defense.

While Rodgers figures to provide plenty of fanfare on Saturday, across the field on the other side the Falcons will be leaning heavily on their ground attack and running back Michael Turner (1,371 yards rushing in 2010). The more Turner carries the ball, the clock he eats, the less the Falcons’ secondary has to deal with Rodgers. In their first matchup the Falcons and Turner had a lot of success with 110 yards on the ground. Turner toted the rock 23 times and helped the Falcons not only win the time-of-possession battle, but the game. Turner (12 rushing touchdowns in 2010) also added a scoring run in the game and will be a strong bet to find pay-dirt once again.

Notables

There were several performances over the weekend worth noting for fantasy owners. In Baltimore wide receiver Anquan Boldin did not have a breakout game, but his five receptions were the most among the Raven’s wide receivers and one of his grabs came in the red-zone for a score. Boldin has had his up and downs this season, but could re-emerge as Flacco’s go-to receiver, especially in the red-zone.

The Packers rediscovered a ground game led by rookie running back James Starks, who set a Packer’s rookie post season record with 123 yards on the ground. Starks led all running backs over the weekend with 23 carries and looks in line to be the Packer’s featured ground gainer when the team travels to Atlanta. The Falcons (ranked 10th against the run) did a pretty good job against the run this season, but they will have their hands full with this kid on Saturday. Starks did not play in their first matchup this season.

Joe “Cool” (Flacco) was steady Freddy on Sunday once his offensive line made the necessary adjustments and allowed him time to throw. On the afternoon Flacco was dumped four times, but when he was not being hurried or hit he was completing passes (25 of 34) and throwing touchdowns (two on Sunday). Flacco passed for 265 yards on the day, often connecting with his tight end and when he didn’t have much downfield he was able to use his legs scrambling for another 26 yards on the ground. Flacco face his old nemesis the Pittsburgh Steelers in the matinee matchup on Saturday. The two teams split their two meetings this season and Flacco is 2-4 in his career against the Steelers; including 1-2 at Heinz Field

Just my thoughts.

Fantasy Spotlight

Although the Ravens offense struggled to put points on the board early they had little trouble moving the ball well against the Chiefs on Sunday. One of the biggest reasons the offense had so much success was quarterback Joe Flacco’s rediscovering his tight end Todd Heap.

The Raven’s tight end led all receivers over the weekend with 10 receptions for 108 yards receiving; both were season highs for Heap. Flacco targeted Heap early and found him often. On the day Heap was targeted 13 times and his 10 catches set a Raven’s post season record.

Heap enjoyed a very good Wild-Card weekend, but faces a stiff test next against the Steelers. In two games Heap only totaled three catches for 35 yards, including a donut in week 13 when he suffered a hamstring injury and left early. Now that he’s healthy, Heap figures to play a much bigger role in the passing game.

He’s our Fantasy Spotlight Player of the Week!

Diamonds in the Rough

WR-James Jones

Jones has explosive speed on the outside, but had an issue with focus and drops. The Falcons figure to roll their attention toward wide receiver Greg Jennings and with wide receiver Donald Driver ailing a bit and Jones could play a much bigger role Saturday night. This past weekend against the Eagles, Jones caught just one pass for nine yards, but it was good enough for a score. He also just missed on a big pass play for a long score when he dropped a sure pass that fell through his hands. Jones has too much talent and big play potential to overlook and he could be primed for a breakout game on Saturday against Atlanta.

WR-John Carlson

Did anyone remember who John Carlson was before Saturday’s breakout game against the Saints? Carlson didn’t post big yardage on Saturday in the Seahawks Wild-card round matchup with the Saints, but he pretty much made every catch count. Carlson nabbed just three passes for 17 yards, but two of those grabs were for touchdowns. The Seahawks tightend has become somewhat of a forgotten name in the fantasy world this season. He has only managed more than three catches in a game twice this season, but coming off an effort like this it could all change. Carlson was not heavily targeted, but his two scores were more than he had all season. On Sunday he’ll face a Bears defense that has struggled this season with opposing tightends; Carlson could be in for another surprising performance this weekend.

FSH: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 10th, 2010 Wednesday

David’s Daily Digest

My Fantasy Notes:

PEYTON HILLIS GOES NUTS ON SUNDAY
The Cleveland Browns must be sending over thank you cards to Bronco’s head coach Josh McDaniels every Sunday for trading running back Peyton Hillis. Built in the same form as a Mike Alstott, Hillis has shown much more versatility and playmaking ability. Sunday was just another, ho hum one of those days with Hillis scampering his way to 184 yards rushing with a couple of scores against the Patriots.
My Fantasy Read:
If any doubt had existed about Hillis’ ability, he has certainly erased all of it and earned his way onto fantasy owner’s weekly starting lineups. With 644 yards rushing, 30 receptions, and eight total touchdowns this season Hillis is a must-start every week, including PPR leagues.

JAMES JONES BREAKS OUT AGAINST COWBOYS
With an ailing Donald Driver sidelined, wide receiver James Jones had the perfect opportunity to step up and shine. Jones did just that and cashed in nine targets on Sunday for 8 receptions, 123 yards receiving and a score. Jones could have had a second touchdown, but dropped the sure pass.
My Fantasy Read:
The Packers number three slot receiver has the talent and given the opportunity he can make plays. Sunday night was his second 100-yard game of the season. With time to heal through the upcoming bye week Driver should heal and return to action, but keep your eye on Jones down the stretch. As he continues to earn Rodger’s trust, he could see plenty more balls his direction even with Driver back.

BRETT FAVRE HAS A CAREER DAY IN WEEK 9
The Vikings and their fans have been waiting and maybe, just maybe they got what they have been waiting for all season; some Brett Favre magic. Trailing by 14 points late in the 4th quarter, Favre engineered two touchdown scoring drives, capped with an 25 yard scoring strike to his tight end Visanthe Shiancoe with just 27 seconds left in regulation. The score was enough to tie the game and send it into overtime, where Favre continued to work his magic and lead his team to the game winning field-goal by kicker Ryan Longwell. On the afternoon Favre set a career high with 446 passing yards and added a pair of touchdowns.
My Fantasy Read:
This may have been what Viking fans have been waiting for and it just may propel the team back into the playoff hunt, but it was hardly enough to convince any fantasy owner to jump aboard. It’s definitely a good sign, but Favre will need to string a couple of more games together before he can be considered a dependable fantasy start

FSH: THE FANTASY SPORTS ZONE (DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH)

November 6th, 2009 10:37pm PST

The Fantasy Sports Zone

“Diamonds in the Rough”

(Fantasy Sleepers)

As the fantasy season inches closer to the post season there seems to be little time for fantasy owners to rest. With the bye weeks near complete, there a still plenty of piles of coal to sift through for your shiny jewel. Week 9 offers a few interesting plays that could come up quite beneficial for those owners looking to catch some lightning in a bottle.

This week’s gems…

In San Diego…..

The Chargers offense will visit the Meadowlands on Sunday and while the environment may not be the most inviting, don’t expect that to deter Rivers and company from doing what they do best. San Diego has the 4th ranked passing offense and Philip Rivers leads the way with 11 touchdown passes and 2,036 yards passing. With a lot of attention likely to be paid to Jackson and Gates, Sunday could be a great opportunity for the team’s newest starting receiver Malcom Floyd to break out. The Giants will again be without cornerback Aaron Ross and Floyd with only 11 catches this season does have a hefty 23-yards per catch average.

In Green Bay……
The Packers have a great matchup on Sunday against the lowly and winless Buccaneers. With a patented passing attack that includes Jennings and Driver, the Bucs just don’t have the depth to match up with the Packers fire power. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers will likely have his pick all day and more than likely he’ll be looking for the weakest link which could get matched up with wide receiver James Jones often. The Packers number three receiver has yet to have a big day this season, but Sunday could be his day. With only seven catches this season, Jones is averaging nearly 23 yards and has two touchdowns. He’s a good bet to improve those numbers.

In New York……

With the Charger’s 27th ranked run defense in town on Sunday, back up running back Ahmad Bradshaw could see some extended and effective work. This season Bradshaw has only carried the ball 89 times, but he has scampered his way to 476 yards and scored four times. The Chargers defense is surrendering 132 yards per game and over four yards a carry. Bradshaw has been bottled up the past couple of weeks, but could catch a break this weekend get loose.

Worth keeping your eye on for now….

When the Chargers released wide receiver Chris Chambers earlier in the week it did not take long a team to claim him off waivers. Don’t think the Chiefs brought Chambers just to take up space; he’s going to be utilized right away. With an outstanding receiver already lining up on the other side in Dwayne Bowe, the team needs a reliable number two receiver to open things up. There is no question that Bowe is going to command a lot of respect on Sunday from a suspect Jaguar secondary, so fantasy owners should expect to see a lot of action go Chamber’s way. The new Chief has not been fantasy relevant since 2007, but Sunday we could see his re-emergence. He’s one worth keeping your eye on.

Remember to check back for more "Diamonds in the Rough!"

FSH: WATERCOOLER CHAT

November 4th, 2009 10:15pm PST

WATERCOOLER CHAT

The Weekly Waiver Wire

WAYNE "THE WIRE” BOSCO
(Courtesy of the Fantasy Football Gang)

As we continue to get deeper into the 2009 fantasy season and with the well not getting any more full, just when you think it has dried up, we can count on Wayne to offer a little tidbit to help even the most desperate fantasy owners.

Week Eight

There’s little doubt after last week’s breakout performance that running back Ryan Moats will be at the top most waiver wires. Last week Moats rushed for 126 yards and scored three times. With starter Steve Slaton really struggling this season with ball security, more than likely Moats will play a bigger role in the Texans running game. Going forward he may add some depth and quality stats with preferred matchups, but this week his numbers could be a bit pedestrian in a game where the Texans could play catchup. Regardless this would be the time to make the move, he’s not going to sit out there another week.

The Chiefs offense has yet to generate much excitement for the fantasy this season, but with a change coming in the backfield this week, we could see a little more production. With Larry Johnson on hiatus (suspension) running back Jamaal Charles will get the start and a change to become fantasy relevant. This week he has a nice matchup against the Jaguars 25th ranked run defense that allows nearly 130 yards on the ground. What could also make this play more attractive is Charles’ pass catching ability and while he has only carried the ball 23 times this season, he’s averaging five yards a pop. The scat back caught 27 passes as a rookie and could be a better fit in Haley’s system. He’ll certainly have a chance to prove it on Sunday.

Last week Aaron Rodgers put the ball in the air 41 times. With the Packers heading to Tampa Bay, don’t be surprised to see him do more of the same. With both Driver and Jennings demanding so much attention this could be a good week for number three receiver James Jones. Last week against an embattled Vikings secondary, the Packer’s wideout saw five passes in his direction, but managed to only snag one for 42 yards. The Buccaneers secondary is not very deep at the corners and to cover all three Packer wideouts will create some mismatches that could benefit Jones. He’s not highly valued in traditional two receiver leagues, but could offer some worth in leagues that go three deep at receiver.

“Wayne’s Word”

Once again with some fantasy insight here’s Wayne’s Word for week 9;

With Peyton Manning chucking up the pigskin at an alarming rate of success, 318 yards per game, 26.7 completions per game, 71 percent completions, and 15 touchdowns there seems to be plenty to go around. Taking a look at the Indy receiving core, pick your poison. Everyone knows about Wayne and Clark, but fantasy owners in three receiver leagues should be paying close attention to rookie receiver Austin Collie. The rookie receiver is seeing plenty of targets to be relevant. Over the past three games Collie has 18 receptions and three touchdowns. With the Colts set to face the Texans and Manning throwing the ball, any Colt’s receiver always has a shot to score.

Playing the Fantasy GM

Don-Peitro “The GM” Zamboni

Let’s make a Deal
There comes a time in every fantasy season when owners have to make a move to better their team. There is not science or blue-print, sometimes you just have to take chances. The key is minimizing the risk.

The GM Game

With the bye weeks nearing completion fantasy owners will begin jockeying their teams into position for that championship run. Weeks 11-13 are the back stretch and with teams being what they are owners must find ways to improve. A couple of players at the moment that seem to be lost in translation, but could be big power plays down the stretch are wide receiver Terrell Owens and T.J. Houshmandzadeh.

Time to trade….

At present neither player will command a lot of value in return with both their numbers being significantly down; Owens has one touchdown this season averaging just 12-yards per his 23 catches and T.J just two touchdowns and averages less than 11-yards per catch.

If you have depth at another position and can hold your own at receiver, now could be the best time to make a play and offer a trade for either player. Their value is at a low and with Edwards due to comeback Owens has to become a focal point in the passing game if the Bills are going to press the post season. Houshmandzadeh is more likely to breakout sooner in Seattle, so no better time than the present.

With these two players ranking near the bottom, it would seem that up is the only direction they can go. There’s definitely no guarantee they will breakout of their funk, but you have to like the possibilities. And if they do, they have the potential of being strong plays in the latter weeks.

Other under performing players with diminished value that could warrant such consideration could include Brian Westbrook (Eagles), Clinton Portis (Redskins), and so and so. Remember these are players currently with low value that you might be able to steal away from someone.

Keep checking back for more football....

By David G. Ortega

FSH: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

August 12th, 2009 11:30pm PST

David's Daily Digest
[My Take]

More football news and happenings from around the league; here’s the latest I am hearing, reading, and following with my take on things and how they will impact the coming fantasy season……


News From Across the Wire...

Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
According to the Boston Herald, Tom Brady will start the Patriots preseason opener against the Eagles on Thursday.

James Jones, WR, Green Bay Packers
James Jones has "erased all doubts" and emerged as the favorite to be the Packers' third wide receiver this season, according to the Green Bay Press Gazette.

LaMont Jordan, RB, Denver Broncos
According to the Denver Post, LaMont Jordan returned to Broncos practice on Wednesday.

Ryan Torain, RB, Denver Broncos
According to the Denver Post, the Broncos have waived running back Ryan Torain.

Terrell Owens, WR, Buffalo Bills
According to buffalobills.com, Terrell Owens missed another practice on Wednesday due to his injured toe.

Mark Sanchez, QB, New York Jets
According to the Newark Star-Ledger, the Jets have decided not to play rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez as much in the preseason opener.

Donald Brown, RB, Indianapolis Colts
According to Colts.com, coach Jim Caldwell stated that the team will use "some kind of rotation" with runningbacks Donald Brown and Joseph Addai.

Dwayne Bowe, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Star is reporting that Chiefs' receiver Dwayne Bowe has been making progress over the past few days. Bowe has been criticized by new coach Todd Haley for reporting out of shape and for his lack of aggressiveness.

Brian Westbrook, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
According to ProFootballTalk.com, the Philadelphia Eagles have announced that several players will not be available for the team's first preseason game Thursday night. The list includes Brian Westbrook, Stacy Andrews, Shawn Andrews, Todd Herremans, Victor Abiamiri, Trent Cole, Kevin Kolb, Cornelius Ingram, Trevor Laws, and Matt Schobel.

Michael Crabtree, WR, San Francisco 49ers
Michael Crabtree has now missed 20 practices while holding out, according to the Santa Rosa Press Democrat. Crabtree and the 49ers remain far apart on contract negotiations.

Leon Washington, RB, New York Jets
According to the New York Daily News, the Jets have significantly increased their contract offer to disgruntled running back Leon Washington. The team originally offered $2 million per year, but the new proposal is reportedly worth close to $4.5 million per.

Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos
NFL.com is reporting that Broncos' rookie running back Knowshon Moreno will start the team's first preseason game. Moreno missed some of training camp while waiting to sign a contract, but he has looked explosive so far.

Hakeem Nicks, WR, New York Giants
Hakeem Nicks was back at practice on Wednesday after missing some time with a hamstring injury, according to the New York Daily News.

Steve Smith, WR, Carolina Panthers
Steve Smith (shoulder) caught passes on the sidelines of Panthers practice today, according to Darin Gantt of the Rock Hill Herald.

Brandon Stokley, WR, Denver Broncos
Slam! Sports is reporting that Broncos' wide receiver Brandon Stokley has been turning heads at training camp. It would appear as if Stokely has passed Jabar Gaffney on the depth chart as the team's number three receiver.

Dallas Clark, TE, Indianapolis Colts
According to the Associated Press, Colts' tight end Dallas Clark is expected to miss the team's first preseason game due to a concussion. Clark is expected to be out of action until at least Monday due to the injury.

Willis McGahee, RB, Baltimore Ravens
The Carroll County Times is reporting that Ravens' running back Willis McGahee is working harder this year after disappointing the coaching staff last season. McGahee is listed as the number two running back on the depth chart behind Ray Rice.

Thomas Jones, RB, New York Jets
Updating an earlier report, the Star-Ledger is shooting down a rumor that the Jets are shopping Thomas Jones.

Antonio Bryant, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Bucs coach Raheem Morris is "confident" that Antonio Bryant (knee) will be ready for the team's September 13th regular season opener against the Cowboys, according to ESPN.

Josh Morgan, WR, San Francisco 49ers
Along with veteran Isaac Bruce, Josh Morgan has served as one of the 49ers' top two receivers during training camp, according to theSan Francisco Chronicle.

Derrick Ward, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Derrick Ward returned to practice on Tuesday after missing several days with a sprained foot, according to ESPN.

Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Percy Harvin has said he's "comfortable" playing out of the wildcat formation, according to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune.

Chaz Schilens, WR, Oakland Raiders
Chaz Schilens is listed as the starting flanker on the Raiders' latest depth chart, according to their official team website.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Oakland Raiders
Darrius Heyward-Bey is listed as the starting split-end on the Raiders' latest depth chart, according to their official team website. Chaz Schilens is listed as the starting flanker as well.

Brady Quinn, QB, Cleveland Browns
Brady Quinn fared well in Tuesday's practice with the Browns, according to ESPN. Quinn worked as the No. 1 quarterback, and made quick reads while completing most of his passes.

Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings
Adrian Peterson has looked like a better receiver this preseason, according to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune.

Justin Fargas, RB, Oakland Raiders
Justin Fargas is listed as the Raiders' No. 1 running back on their latest depth chart, according to their official team website. Darren McFadden is listed as the primary backup.

Clinton Portis, RB, Washington Redskins
The Washington Times is reporting that Redskins' running back Clinton Portis will not play in the team's first preseason game on Thursday. Portis is not injured, but coach Jim Zorn said he will give Portis the first game off.

Dwayne Jarrett, WR, Carolina Panthers
According to the Charlotte Observer, Panthers' quarterback Jake Delhomme told the media that he believes wide receiver Dwayne Jarrett is ready to have a much more productive season. Jarrett is in good shape and he has a new sense of confidence about him, according to Delhomme.

Brandon Marshall, WR, Denver Broncos
Brandon Marshall (leg/hip surgery) missed another day of practice in camp Tuesday, according to the Denver Post.

Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
According to the Kansas City Chiefs' official website, running back Jamaal Charles is listed as the team's third-string running back on their depth chart. Charles is behind starter Larry Johnson and Jackie Battle.

Derrick Mason, WR, Baltimore Ravens
Derrick Mason dislocated his finger at practice on Tuesday, according to the Twitter page of Ravens' beat writer Mike Duffy. Mason's status for Thursday's preseason game in unknown.

My Fantasy Read…

Great news for Brady owners, seeing him start will definitely raise his fantasy value, although many of us will be holding our breaths hoping he doesn’t take any unnecessary hits……..last season Jones was plagued with injuries in Green Bay, but now healthy its no surprise to see him back on the field as the team’s number three receiver……..its worth noting the report out of Indy of the team’s intent to use Donald Brown in some kind of rotation will more than likely hurt Addai’s production and fantasy value……..the early reports out of Kansas City indicating Dwayne Bowe had been demoted may have served as the wake-up call the receiver needed, expect to see Bowe emerge as the team’s number one and best pass receiving option in 2009……..the reports from Philly indicating that Westbrook will sit the preseason opener could be an indicator that head coach Andy Reid is just being cautious with his superstar tailback. Westbrook comes with some risk, but he should still be considered no lower than a mid RB2 especially in PPR leagues..…..it looks like those riding the Knowshon Moreno bandwagon will have much to cheer about Friday with the rookie starting. His stock is on the rise and he’s looking more and more like a RB2………it looks like Steve Smith owners have dodged a bullet. It’s likely the team will bring him back slowly, but he’s still a definite WR1 in fantasy drafts……..there’s a lot of talk about Portis bouncing back this season and it looks like Zorn wants to improve those odds by resting his running back. Last season Portis started fast, but broke down. He’ll be a solid RB2, but if he can stay healthy he could be even better…….the Bronco’s receiver will be under the spotlight this week facing a big trial date on Thursday. The outcome of the case will have a significant effect on Marshall’s fantasy value. If convicted he could face suspension.


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