FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Saturday Night Edition
September 28th 2019

Week 4: On the Cover this Week

It’s Showtime!

With his spectacular arrival to the NFL in 2018 as a starter, remember the former Texas Tech Red Raider sat a whole season on the bench behind Alex Smith, Patrick Mahomes is clearly the “Magic-Man” of the NFL.

It seems every week that Mahomes takes the field, he’s setting another passing record or raising the bar for the fantasy quarterback Gold Standard. Last season all he did was pass for over 5,000 yards and throw 50 touchdowns and if that wasn’t enough, he’s on a record pass to do it again this season.

Through the first 3 weeks of the 2019 season, Mahomes is averaging a blistering 398.3 passing yards and 3.3 touchdowns per game. If you project these numbers over the 16 game season, he’s looking at 6,373 passing yards and 53 touchdowns. As well as Mahomes has looked and played this season, it’s really hard to think that he won’t achieve these staggering numbers.

Patrick Mahomes appears to be more than a generational talent, his exceptional talent, skills, and abilities could have him poised to be something of the likes very few have ever seen; like when Broadway Joe passed for 4,000 yards in 1967, when Dan Marino threw for 5,000 yards and 48 touchdowns in 1984, and when Peyton Manning shattered all records (5,477 yards passing and 55 touchdowns). It’s not enough to imagine Mahomes being mentioned in the same breath as these three Hall-of-Famers, but to add that he has and could surpass all three is completely astounding.

When you think about Mahomes with his big arm, his no-look pass, and the incredible numbers he is accumulating in his young career, you just know for this Magician, every Sunday is Showtime!

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Friday Late night Edition
September 27th 2019

Week 3 Fantasy Reactions & Notes

Week 4 has already started with the Thursday night game in the books, but I just wanted to reflect back on Week 3 and share some of my notes and reactions from Sunday.

• How does Mariota throw for 300?
• Bab-ee Chark, do-do, do, do-do-do!
• Dede (9 targets) still getting play.
• Courtland suddenly coming of age, he’s a player.
• Lindsay breakouts in week 3.
• Rolls Royce, flexing PPR appeal.
• MVS making noise in Week 3.
• Jets offense has no propulsion, needs a booster (Darnold)
• It’s Dorsett and Burkhead taking the lead in Pats O
• Mixon finally comes to life
• John Ross disappoints with 2 catches
• Boyd leads the way with 11 targets.
• Who is Auden Tate?
• It’s the Frank Gore show in Buffalo.
• Cole Beasley is the safety net; 10 targets
• A new emerging fantasy star; Preston Williams, 23 targets in 2019
• Zeke just pounds the ground
• Cooper just scores touchdowns; adds 2 more in week 3
• Return of the Mack, dances on.
• Jacoby Brissett impressive with 300 and the win
• It’s Hooper and Jones in week 3, the next dynamic duo?
• Oh Calvin, what happened? (one target)
• Lamar is fantasy gold!
• It’s Showtime with Pat Mahomes!
• Ingram for the Tri-fecta and a cool hundy!
• Andrews is quiet, but still sees 7 targets.
• Hollywood and Jackson not N’Sync.
• Travis is tight on Sunday with 7 grabs on 8 targets
• Shady totals 90 yards and two scores.
• Wala, Wala, Waller going off in Week 3.
• Not digging Diggs 3 targets.
• Another big Sunday for Cook; 143 total yards
• Production down, but Kerryon logs 21 touches in week  3
• Ronald Jones with 15 touches and 121 yards!
• Jameis Winston stock on the rise after 380 yards passing and 3 Tds
• Daniel Jones accounts for four scores; 2 pass, 2 rush
• Sterling Shepard shows up in week 3; 7-100-1
• In New Orleans it’s just Kamara and Thomas.
• Russell Wilson is huge in week 3 with 400 yards passing and 4 scores

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Sunday Morning Edition
September 21st 2019

Sunday Morning Gametime

Volume and Usage (through 2 weeks)

(RB) Rushing Attempt Leaders

1.Marlon Mack (Ind), 45 carries
2.Dalvin Cook (Min), 41 carries
3.Le’Veon Bell (NYJ), 38 carries
4.Ezekiel Elliott (Dal) 36 carries
5.Aaron Jones (GB), 36 carries
6.Sony Michel (NE), 36 carries
7.Christian McCaffrey (Car), 35 carries
8.Josh Jacobs (Oak), 35 carries
9.Nick Chubb (Cle), 35 carries
10.Leonard Fournette (Jax) 34 carries (does not include Thurs)

(WR) Target Leaders

1.Michael Thomas (NO), 26 targets
2.Keenan Allen (LAC), 25 targets
3.Sammy Watkins (KC), 24 targets
4.Larry Fitzgerald (Ari), 24 targets
5.DJ Moore (Car),24 targets
6.Jamison Crowder (NYJ), 23 targets
7.Julio Jones (Atl), 21 targets
8.Odell Beckham Jr (Cle), 21 targets
9.DeAndre Hopkins (Hou), 21 targets
10.Tyler Boyd (Cin), 21 targets

(TE) Target Leaders

1.Zach Ertz (Phi), 23 targets
2.Evan Engram (NYG), 22 targets
3.Greg Olsen (Car), 18 targets
4. Mark Andrews (Bal), 17 targets
5. Travis Kelce (KC), 17 targets
6.Darren Waller (Oak), 15 targets
7.Austin Hooper (Atl), 15 targets
8.George Kittle (SF), 13 targets
9.TJ Hockenson (Det), 12 targets 
10.Delanie Walker (Ten), 12 targets

Snap Count Leaders (unofficial)

(non-quarterback)
1.Jarvis Landry (Cle), 152
2.Ryan Griffin (NYJ), 151
3.Christian Kirk (Ari), 150
4.Christian McCaffrey (Car), 146
5.Zach Ertz (Phi), 146
6.Robert Woods (LAR),143
7.Kenny Golladay (Det), 142
8.Larry Fitzgerald (Ari), 142
9.Brandin Cooks (LAR), 
Curtis Samuel (Car), 
Damiere Byrd (Ari), 140

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Saturday Late Night Edition
September 21st 2019

Week 3: Four Horsemen

The are my week 3 starters, I’m riding with;

QB-Kirk Cousins, Vikings: It’s been a bit of a rough start this season for the Vikings passer, 25th among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring. Cousins has just 328 yards passing (ranks 30th), 22 completions (ranks 32nd), and 3 turnovers in two games. The start has been brutal, but a Week 3 matchup at home against the Raiders could offer some cure. The Raiders have allowed the 7th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, including 711 passing yards and 68% completions over the first two weeks.

RB-Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys: This is an easy call for Week 3. The Cowboys have been rolling this season and much of their success has been without the impact of Elliott. Last week Zeke (RB12 through two weeks) saw 53 snaps and was effective on the ground with 111 yards rushing. His Week 3 matchup against the Dolphins (ranked 31st against the run) could see even greater success; Zeke looks poised for a big Sunday.

WR-Stefon Diggs, Vikings: If Kirk Cousins is going to bounce back in Week 3, he’s going to need targets to throw to on Sunday. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs and his quarterback have had a few near misses for huge gains; it’s just a matter of time. Diggs (WR71, PPR scoring) has been slow out of the gate, with just 11 targets through two games; this will change. The Raiders have allowed the 4th most fantasy points and 4th most receiving yards to opposing receivers; look for a breakout game from Diggs (and AdamThielen).

TE-Vance McDonald, Steelers: The Steelers are without quarterback Ben Roethlisberger who exited week 2 with an elbow injury, ending his season. With Big Ben sidelined and backup Mason Rudolph under center, Vance McDonald (TE5, PPR scoring) was a busy target in Week 2. McDonald played 52 snaps and caught 7 passes on 7 targets for 38 yards receiving with two scores. Although his matchup this week is not the best, his connection with his quarterback appears solid and could to another big Sunday.

The 5th Musketeer

Flex play-(RB) Raheem Mostert, 49ers: The Niners running back currently ranks as the fantasy RB17, PPR scoring, and with the Steelers up next, he has a chance to continue his climb up the fantasy scoring ladder. Through two games the Steelers defense has allowed the 8th most fantasy points to opposing running backs, as well as more than 100 yards rushing per game. Mostert has been a solid ball carrier this season with 123 rushing yards and a 5.6 yards per carry average; he should get plenty of run on Sunday.

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Friday Late Night Edition
September 20th 2019

Friday Fantasy Fixx

Week 3 JMO Notes:

After a tough matchup against the Jaguars cornerback Jalen Ramsey in week 2, the Texans receiver DeAndre Hopkins (currently WR15, PPR scoring according to Fantasy Data) is hoping to put his 5 (catches) for 40 (yards receiving) in the past. This week he’ll look to bounce back against a Chargers defense that has allowed a 79% completion success rate to wide receivers. Hopkins is too good to struggle for two weeks in a row, expect a bounce back game on Sunday.

The Viking running back Dalvin Cook (currently RB2, PPR scoring according to Fantasy Data) has been a fantasy stud through two games this season. Cook is averaging 23 touches and 311 yards of offense per game with three rushing touchdowns. With the Raiders coming to town on Sunday, fantasy owners can expect more of the same.

The Bengals defense has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, including the most rushing yards allowed to running backs (308 rushing yards) and tied for the most rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs (3 rushing touchdowns). In two games, the Bills running back Frank Gore has found the fountain of youth, leading the club with 30 carries. This week he looks like he’s got a great chance to improve his 2.9 yards per carry average; start him.

Fantasy Five

Stud - The Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston played well last week on the road against the Panthers, in week 3 he gets home cooking against the Giants. In two games the Giants have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and over 325 yards passing yards per game. Just reading the tea leaves on this one, the Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd will take his shot against the Bills secondary that through two games has allowed the most receptions to opposing receivers. Through two games Boyd leads the team with 21 targets and 18 receptions and will pad those numbers on Sunday. An easy call here with the Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott. Facing the Dolphins defense (ranked 31st against the run) this week, it should be all Zeke, all day.
Dud - The Chiefs will be without starting running back Damien Williams, but running back LeSean McCoy is a bit banged up and taking on the league’s number run defense. It could be a long or short day for Shady.
Boom - The Packers defense has been snake bit by running backs through two weeks, on the ground (6.0 yard per carry allowed-and in the air (18 receptions allowed-most allowed). This week, Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay (13 targets this season), the team’s primary pass receiving back should see plenty of opportunities and could finally find the end zone. After a breakout week two, Niners running back Raheem Mostert could be making a case for himself to stay on the field, even after Tevin Coleman heals. Mostert currently ranks as RB17 in fantasy (PPR scoring) and his matchup against the Steelers (8th most fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs) this week, could yield more success.
Bust - The Raiders tight end Darren Waller (TE8 in fantasy) will face a stout Vikings defense on the road this week; he could see his numbers cool on Sunday. The Redskins quarterback Case Keenum (QB6 in fantasy this season) has had a bit of a hot hand, but it could get cold fast on Monday night against the Bears' defense (7 sacks this season).
Sleeper - With no Tre’Quan Smith and no Drew Brees, the check down on Sunday could feature the Saints tight end Jared Cook who faces a Seahawks defense that has allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. The Bears running back Tarik Cohen was targeted 10 times in week one and 15 for the season. He could see more work in the slot against a leaky Redskins secondary on Monday night. The Broncos running back Royce Freeman (RB27) has been seeing enough work this season to be not only fantasy relevant, but flex worthy. He should get plenty of touches on Sunday against the Packers and could find pay dirt for the first time in 2019.


Recap Week 2
Stud - The Ravens Lamar Jackson (QB2) and Mark Andrews (TE1) came through with solid week 2 performances, but the Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (WR54) was held in check, all PPR scoring.
Dud - The Rams tight ends finished Week 2 as TE23 and TE30, none worth starting or playing consideration. The Eagles wide receiver Alshon Jeffery was basically a no-show exiting early in week 2 with an injury and a donut for a stat line. The Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay finished the week as RB26, not terrible especially considering the matchup against the Bears.
Boom - The Falcons wide receiver Calvin Ridley was WR8 in week 2, the Bills wideout John Brown was WR33 (flex play territory), and the Seahawks rookie receiver DK Metcalf was WR29 (flex play), again all PPR scoring.
Bust - The Bills veteran running back Frank Gore was an effective RB11 in week 2, while the Titans running back Dion Lewis (RB64) was just forgettable. 
Sleeper - the Niners running back Raheem Mostert was RB3 with a huge day, while the Steelers tight end Vance McDonald (TE3) was also big with a pair of scores. The Raiders quarterback Derek Carr (QB27) was awful last week.

That’s My Take
~David G. Ortega