Showing posts with label Mike Williams-TB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mike Williams-TB. Show all posts

Monday, August 20, 2012

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST


Monday Edition
August 20th, 2012 







David’s Daily Digest






A New Season and New Faces to Watch

With every new NFL season a new fantasy season begins and with that the new crop faces and names of the payers to watch. This year will be no different. There are going to be some real gems in your fantasy draft that are going to out-perform their draft position (if they are drafted), but the key is identifying these guys early before they become public knowledge and up for grabs in your fantasy leagues.

Rising Stars

Last season a couple of late bloomers that figure to be key performers in the upcoming fantasy season include; Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown and Raiders wide receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey. Now of course this is only a short list and there are likely plenty more to talk about, but let’s just start with these.

In only his second season the Steelers newly resigned (just this off-season to a hefty extension) wideout made a very good name for himself in 2011 playing opposite the speedy Mike Wallace. While Wallace often demanded double coverage, Brown exploited the single coverage he faced and produced strong numbers in his sophomore campaign; 69 receptions and 1,100 yards receiving. Entering his third season he looks ready to breakout.

Heyward-Bey, a fourth year player for the Raiders started out slow last season, but finally broke out in week 4 with against the Patriots. Just when it appeared he was finally starting to hit his stride, down went quarterback Jason Campbell; enter Carson Palmer. It took a while for Palmer and Heyward-Bey to gel, but once the two were in sync the Raiders receiver starting to shine. In his last four starts Heyward-Bey caught 26 passes for 433 yards and two touchdowns. Palmer is back under center and Heyward-Bey looks ready to rise to the next level.

Another name to consider is the Dolphins running back Reggie Bush, who is no old dog, but seems to still have a few tricks. Not a stranger to fantasy, Bush has been relatively irrelevant the past several seasons falling off many drafts boards come draft day. It’s understandable; he missed 20 games over his last four seasons in New Orleans before joining the Phins in 2011, but after last season’s performance down the stretch he could be experiencing a rebirth in South Beach.

With the Phins making the move to roll with their rookie quarterback, Bush is going to be rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill’s best friend out of the backfield; and we already know what Reggie can do with the ball in space. A lot of folks are skeptical about Bush’s durability, but if used wisely he can be a monster on offense on the ground and in the air. Last season Bush finished as the leagues’ 13th leading rusher, coming on strong down the stretch. His last four starts he averaged around 23 touches per game and 150 yards of offense. He definitely looks primed to rise in 2012.


Sleepers Watch

Worthy Hands?

These guys are likely off most radars and understandably so, but I believe they are more than interesting enough to keep a watch for; in Miami wide receiver Roberto Wallace, in St. Louis wide receiver Steve Smith, in Tampa Bay Mike Williams, and in Detroit wide receiver Titus Young.

Wallace is a relative unknown (unless you have been watching “Hard Knocks”), but he has the size and athletic build to be a star. He just needs a young strong arm to believe in him. With the wide receiver position wide open in Miami, he not only has a chance to make the team, but earn significant time. All he needs is opportunity to be a big producer.

A receiver that knows something about being a big producer may have just found himself the best home yet in St. Louis. Steve Smith was highly productive in New York before injuries derailed his ascension. Now with the Rams, this veteran has a chance to build a strong rapport with a very young and confident arm in Sam Bradford. Already he is making an impression with 11 catches in just two preseason games. This recipe certainly has the smell and flavor of becoming something quite tasty for the fantasy world.

Williams and Young are not quite unknown, having had decent 2011 seasons, but playing in the shadows of Calvin Johnson (in Detroit) and Vincent Jackson (former Charger) will certainly improve their chances of continuing with that momentum. Young will enter his second season and still play second fiddle, but with the young Matt Stafford firing the pigskin, he should still get plenty of looks to be more than relevant in 2011. Williams caught 65 balls for the second straight season, but only found the end-zone 3 times (down from 11 in 2010). Jackson’s presence should ensure he produces even better numbers in 2012, including many more touchdowns.

These are just my takes on a few of the up and coming fantasy studs for 2012.


By David Ortega



Saturday, March 12, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

March 12th, 2011 Saturday
David’s Daily Digest


2011 Fantasy Football Players

With future of the 2011 season currently in limbo as the two sides decide how to split our (the fans) money, we’ll continue with prepping for the coming season which still has every possibility of starting on time. Even if this dispute drags well into the summer, there is every indication from many of the prognosticators following the situation that the 2011 season can still be salvaged with just a few games less.

On that note we continue our tour of the 2011 fantasy players looking through the class of quarterback talent that will be available in fantasy drafts this summer….

Fantasy Quarterback…..

Josh Freeman (Buccaneers)

In just his second year, the Buccaneers’ starting quarterback Josh Freeman helped lead his team to a 10-6 record, just missing the playoffs. Last season Freeman passed for nearly 3,500 yards and tossed 25 touchdowns with just six picks finishing with a passer rating of 95.9 (ranked 6th in the league). Freeman was particularly efficient and effective down the stretch in his last four starts completing nearly 73% of his passes while throwing nine touchdowns and no interceptions.

At 6’6” Freeman has the ideal size to be your traditional pocket passer, but with 364 yards rushing he has great escape-ability and athleticism to be even more dangerous out of the pocket. Following a very sub-par and non-spectacular rookie season Freeman flew well under the fantasy radar in 2010, but after his sophomore success he’s going to be on many owners draft lists this summer.

The Buccaneers are a fastly improving program and with young talent like LeGarrette Blount, Mike Williams, and Kellen Winslow Jr. surrounding their young quarterback, Freeman will only get better. He’s not reached the upper echelon of quarterbacks in the NFL just yet, but Freeman is well on his way.

Freeman is not likely to throw for a big chunk of yardage at any particular time with the Bucs being more of a balanced team that likes to run, but he’s still a close second tier level fantasy quarterback (amongst the Flaccos and Schaubs). His talent and skill level would suggest big game possibility as evident in his five touchdown performance against the Seahawks in week 16 last season, but the young gunslinger should still be considered a bit of a risky fantasy starter.

Last season Freeman had nine games in 2010 where he threw one or fewer touchdowns; in three of those games he also passed for less than 200 yards. He would probably serve much better as your number two quarterback; his accuracy offers the upside of an occasional big game (look for the matchups); he did have three games last season where he passed for more than 200 yards with multiple touchdowns.

In dynasty and keeper leagues, he’s definitely one worth stashing on the back of the grill while he seasons a bit longer (but not for too much longer).

By David Ortega

Monday, February 14, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

February 14th, 2011 Monday
David’s Daily Digest


The Most Notable Fantasy Players of 2011

The 2010 season produced a long list of new names to the fantasy world, names that owners will be coveting greatly come fantasy draft day. These are just more the studs we’ll be talking about on fantasy draft day 2011.

RB-Peyton Hillis (Browns)
The Browns not only found a starter in running back Peyton Hillis, they found a superstar. Hillis was merely a back-up and special teamer in Denver, but did show some flash back in 2008 when given the opportunity. This past season he was handed the reins and ran with it he did. Hillis finished the 2010 season with 1,177 yards on the ground and 11 rushing touchdowns. More of a power runner he still averaged 4.4 yards per carry and caught 61 balls for another 477 yards receiving. With numbers like he produced this past season, Hillis appears to be a strong top 10 fantasy candidate in 2011.

WR-Mike Williams (Seahawks)
The Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll rediscovered a college jewel and brought him to Seattle when he signed wide receiver Mike Williams. Maybe all he needed was a little motivation, but whatever it was, Carroll found the formula and Williams was reborn. The Seahawks wide receiver bounced back from the abyss in 2010 to snag 65 balls for 735 yards and two scores. Not bad for someone who had not caught a pass in over two seasons. His numbers weren’t spectacular, but he played well enough at times for folks to take notice; he could be a top 25 fantasy receiver in 2011 (especially PPR leagues).

WR-Hakeem Nicks (Giants)
The Giants 2nd year receiver exploded in 2010 with a huge season catching 79 passes for 1,052 yards receiving, and 11 touchdowns; led the team in all three categories. Nicks was a big time play-maker last season; with great hands and great speed he can only get better. Nicks will undoubtedly and rightfully fall into the top 10 for wide receivers in this summer’s fantasy drafts.

RB-Mike Tolbert (Chargers)
The Chargers less notable, but more productive running back Mike Tolbert earned his way onto the fantasy radar last season. With rookie Ryan Matthews banged up for quite a bit of the season, Tolbert was given more opportunity to carry the rock and he did it well. Tolbert was an effective running option in San Diego tallying 182 carries for the season. He also collected 735 yards on the ground and scored 11 touchdowns. He’ll see a slight decrease in touches next season if Matthews stays healthy, but he’s still fantasy worthy in deep leagues.

TE-Aaron Hernandez (Patriots)
The Patriots tight end enjoyed a pretty good rookie campaign, but it was one that could have been much more productive had he remained healthy. Hernandez played in 14 games last season recording 45 receptions for 563 yards and six touchdowns. With a healthy campaign in 2011 and Tom Brady tossing the pill, Hernandez should be a possible top 10 option for fantasy owners.

WR-Mike Williams (Buccaneers)
The other Mike Williams over in Tampa was not too bad himself last season. In fact the rookie was sensational catching 65 balls for 964 yards and 11 touchdowns. These numbers were not quite the level of the elite, but they were more than good enough to have owners looking at him much earlier in fantasy drafts this summer. With an up and coming quarterback (Josh Freeman), Williams looks like he can be a very good fantasy player in 2011.


Check back for more of my digest and more notes on fantasy players in 2011.

By David Ortega

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

FSH NOTEBOOK: MY WEEKLY SURVIVAL

December 22nd, 2010, Wednesday
My Weekly Survivors


Last week was kind of a funny week for my fantasy squad; just about everyone scored which is always good, but most of my team didn’t do much else. With the exception of the Buccaneer’s wide receiver Mike Williams (15 points) and the Cowboys quarterback Jon Kitna (21 points) there was not a lot to cheer about. Williams dialed in on my numbers with 6 catches for 96 yards and a touchdown, while Kitna was a little better passing for over 300 yards with two touchdown tosses.

My duds included Brian Westbrook (8 points) who managed to salvage his performance with a late touchdown, but his 30 total yards hurt. Ronnie Brown (9 points) was not much different scoring once and total just 42 yards. My Achilles heel this season has been and was once again the tight end spot; Owen Daniels (4 points) caught just four passes for 45 yards.

This week it’s time to get serious, with just two weeks left I must concede any shot at the top two spots (trail by more than 100 points) unless there is a colossal meltdown. My fantasy team is locked in at number six and I still have a shot at third place (just 50 points back), but I need a two big weeks. I have very few big guns left, but this week I will be shooting from the hip and swinging for the fences.

Here are my picks for week 16….

QB-Matt Schaub, Houston Texans
The Bronco’s secondary is amongst the worst in the league and have allowed 25 touchdowns this season; 7th worst in the league. One reason for the Broncos woes in coverage, they lack any kind of pass rush; just 18 sacks this season. If given time Schaub can be as good as any quarterback in the league. With a weapon like Andre Johnson to throw to, Schaub is in line for a big passing day on Sunday.
(Projected: 25 fantasy points/ 325 yards passing, three touchdowns)

RB- Tashard Choice, Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys’ running back Tashard Choice has been seeing a steady diet of work over the past couple of weeks and has totaled 169 yards in his last three games. With Barber returning to action this Sunday and Jones looking “iffy”, Choices looks like the safe bet in the lineup this week. Choice has also scored a rushing touchdown in three of his last four games.
(Projected: 14 fantasy points/ 65 yards rushing, 3 catches, 20 yards receiving, one touchdown)

RB-Mike Tolbert, San Diego Chargers
The Charger’s running back has a good matchup on the road this week in Cincinnati against the league’s 22nd ranked run defense; the Bengals are allowing 4.6 yards per carry and have yielded 13 rushing touchdowns this season. Tolbert continues to be the favorite out of the Chargers’ backfield; he’ll see plenty of touches and should be able to find pay-dirt on the road. Tolbert has 11 rushing touchdowns this season and has scored in four of his last five games.
(Projected: 15 fantasy points/ 85 yards rushing, 1 catches, 10 yards receiving, one touchdown)

WR-Santana Moss, Washington Redskins
The Redskins will travel to Jacksonville in week 16 and should be licking their chops against the leagues’ 27th ranked pass defense. Even with the change at quarterback last week, it didn’t seem to bother the offense; 286 net yards passing, four touchdowns. Wide receiver Santana Moss also remained a hot commodity in the Redskins passing game (23 targets last two weeks) with 8 receptions for 72 yards and two scores last weekend against the Cowboys. Moss could be looking at similar results this weekend against a defense that has allowed 26 passing touchdowns this season.
(Projected: 17 fantasy points/ 7 catches, 110 yards, one touchdown)

WR-Marques Coltson, New Orleans Saints
The Saints travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons on Monday night and if you’re thinking this one is going to be a barn-burner; you’ll probably be right. The Saints wide receiver Marques Colston (7 touchdowns in 2010) leads the team with 126 targets this season and in his last two games quarterback Drew Brees has been calling his number quite often (24 targets). With such a huge matchup coming up this Monday, there’s little doubt Brees will be looking for his best receiver. Even if Colston only see’s eight to ten targets, you have to love his chances of collecting 70-90 yards and finding the end-zone.
(Projected: 15 fantasy points/ 6 catches, 95 yards, one touchdown)

TE-Ben Watson, Cleveland Browns
Ben Watson has been one of the more consistent options in the passing game for the Brown’s this season. Last week he and rookie quarterback Colt McCoy enjoyed one of their best games together; Watson caught seven passes for 92 yards. This week the two will face a Raven’s defense that has had its’ struggles against opposing tight ends.
(Projected: 14 fantasy points/ 6 catches, 80 yards, one touchdown)

PK-Neil Rackers, Houston Texans
The Texan’s offense has averaged over 23 points per game over their past seven games and this season Rackers has made 22 of 25 field goal attempts this season. This weekend they travel to Denver to face the Broncos who give up more points (29.6 pts per game) than any other team in the league; Rackers will be busy on Sunday.
(Projected: 9 fantasy points/ two field goals, three extra points)

My Previous starts


Week 1 (Total points-77)
QB Donovan McNabb (WAS)
RB Matt Forte (CHI)
RB Carnell Williams (TB)
WR Jeremy Maclin (PHI)
WR Jabar Gaffney (DEN)
TE Zach Miller (OAK)
K Joe Nedney (SF)

Week 2 (Total points-68)
QB Michael Vick (PHI)
RB Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG)
RB Rashard Mendenhall (PIT)
WR Nate Washington (TEN)
WR Greg Jennings (GB)
TE Chris Cooley (WAS)
K Nick Folk (NYJ)

Week 3 (Total points-87)
QB Tony Romo (DAL)
RB Darren McFadden
RB Ray Rice (BAL)
WR Austin Collie (IND)
WR Dez Bryant (DAL)
TE Brent Celek (PHI)
K Lawrence Tynes (NYG)

Week 4 (Total points-58)
QB Eli Manning (NYG)
RB Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX)
RB Frank Gore (SF)
WR Mark Clayton (STL)
WR Brandon Marshall (MIA)
TE John Carlson (SEA)
K Jeff Reed (PIT)

Week 5 (Total Points-72 points)
QB Drew Brees (NO)
RB Steven Jackson (STL)
RB Thomas Jones (KC)
WR Donald Driver (GB)
WR Calvin Johnson (DET)
TE Marcedes Lewis (JAX)
K Mike Nugent (CIN)

Week 6 (Total Points-83 points)
QB Peyton Manning (IND)
RB Ryan Torain (WASH)
RB LaDanian Tomlinson (NYJ)
WR Hakeem Nicks (NYG)
WR Kenny Britt (TEN)
TE Dallas Clark, (IND)
K Sebastian Janikowski (OAK)

Week 7 (Total Points-93 points)
QB Philip Rivers (SD)
RB Adrian Peterson (MIN)
RB Michael Turner (ATL)
WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)
WR Dwayne Bowe (KC)
TE Tony Gonzales (ATL)
K Matt Prater (DEN)

Week 8 (Total Points-82 points)
QB Kyle Orton (DEN)
RB Felix Jones (DAL)
RB Jamaal Charles (KC)
WR Brandon Lloyd (DEN)
WR Deion Branch (NE)
TE Tony Moeki (KC)
K Stephen Gostkowski (NE)

Week 9 (Total Points-79 points)
QB Aaron Rodgers (GB)
RB LeSean McCoy (PHI)
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (NE)
WR Steve Smith (NYG)
WR Patrick Crayton (SD)
TE Jacob Tamme (IND)
PK Mason Crosby

Week 10 (Total Points-78 points)
QB Joe Flacco (BAL)
RB LeGarrette Blount (TB)
RB Cedric Benson (CIN)
WR Roddy White (ATL)
WR Steve Johnson (BUF)
TE Brandon Pettigrew (DET)
PK Rob Bironas (TEN)

Week 11 (Total Points-73 points)
QB Matt Ryan (ATL)
RB Fred Jackson (BUF)
RB Peyton Hillis (CLE)
WR DeSean Jackson (PHI)
WR Percy Harvin (MIN)
TE Jermaine Gresham (CIN)
PK Dan Carpenter (MIA)

Week 12 (Total Points-55 points)
QB Matt Cassel (KC)
RB Chris Johnson (TEN)
RB Danny Woodhead (NE)
WR Santonio Holmes (NYJ)
WR Sidney Rice (MIN)
TE Heath Miller (PIT)
PK Matt Bryant (ATL)

Week 13 (Total Points-82 points)
QB Sam Bradford (STL)
RB Jonathan Stewart (CAR)
RB Arian Foster (HOU)
WR Terrell Owens (CIN)
WR Anquan Boldin (BAL)
TE Visanthe Shiancoe (MIN)
PK David Akers (PHI)

Week 14 (Total Points-91 points)
QB Jay Cutler (CHI)
RB Knowshon Moreno (DEN)
RB Tim Hightower (ARI)
WR Reggie Wayne (IND)
WR Mike Wallace (PIT)
TE Jason Witten (DAL)
PK Billy Cundiff (BAL)

Week 15 (Total Points-73 points)
QB Jon Kitna (DAL)
RB Brian Westbrook (SF)
RB Ronnie Brown (MIA)
WR Miles Austin (DAL)
WR Mike Williams (TB)
TE Owen Daniels (HOU)
PK Josh Brown (STL)


Tuesday, December 21, 2010

FSH NOTEBOOK: MONDAY MORNING HUDDLE

December 20th, 2010, Monday


Monday Morning Huddle
(Late Evening Edition)


The week 15 experiment didn’t go so well for most teams that were forced to making a quarterback change; Matt Flynn, Rex Grossman, and Tim Tebow all lost their first starts of the 2010 season. Such is the way of the NFL as injuries will always play a big part, but in Denver through defeat comes hope and maybe a glimpse of the future. While Tebow did not win in his debut as a starter, he may have won enough faith in his staff to give him another look; a look at what could possibly be the promise of what is to come?

Maybe, maybe not…

Top Stories

Are the Broncos Ushering in the Future?
It was a little bit of the good, the bad, and the ugly on Sunday when rookie quarterback Tim Tebow made his first start of his NFL career. Although it wasn’t a victory, it’s safe to say it was not a total loss either.

Tebow had an ugly looking 40 yard quarterback keeper, aided by some poor tackling for a touchdown in the first half of Sunday’s matchup against the Raiders. Later in the half he also had an bad looking balloon pass that fell right into the arms of Brandon Lloyd in the back right corner of the end-zone for another score.

Now for some of the good, Tebow did not commit a single turnover on Sunday while completing 8 of 16 passes for 138 yards. The former Florida Gator (Tebow) also took fans back to his college days showing off his running skills while he scampered his way to 78 yards on the ground.

It was not the most prolific performance by a quarterback, but clearly Tebow did add a much needed spark to the offense (23 points). It was enough to impress the coaches and earn a second start, but if the Broncos are hopeful of different results they must open up the playbook and let Tebow play.

With running back Knowshon Moreno questionable for week 16, unless the coaching staff is willing to take off the handcuffs (from Tebow), aside from there quarterback wide receiver Brandon Lloyd (4 catches, 79 yards in week 15) appears to be the only safe fantasy play next Sunday against the Texans.

Just my thoughts.


Fantasy Spotlight

After all the flack this guy took in the media, in the pre-game shows, criticism all week long, and from all of the guys at the NFL Network, this week’s fantasy shout out has to go to Redskin’s quarterback Rex Grossman. On Sunday against the Cowboys, he did a whole lot more than anyone would have given him credit for before the start of the game.

It didn’t all start out pretty for Grossman on Sunday. On the Redskins second possession already trailing in the game 3-0, Grossman was intercepted on an ill-advised throw. That would not be the only bad throw he would make the rest of the game, but the Redskins quarterback would finish the game completing 25 of 43 passes for 322 yards and four touchdowns before he was threw.

The Redskins would fall behind by as much as 27-7, before Grossman would rally the troops and throw three second half scores to tie the game up at 30. While it was a nice statistical game in the box score and for fantasy owners, it should also be noted it was a typical Grossman game; he led his team to four touchdowns and 30 points, but also had three turnovers and they lost.

He’s our Fantasy Spotlight Player of the Week!

Diamonds in the Rough


RB-LeGarrette Blount

Clearly it’s safe to say that rookie running back LeGarrett Blount is no longer a secret. After five straight starts, three 100-yard games this season, 164 carries, and 777 yards rushing he’s working his way up the fantasy boards for 2011. Blount wasn’t even a consideration when the season started and didn’t see his first action until the third week of the season. After seven weeks of play, he had only toted the pill 21 times in three appearances. Since that time he has caught the fantasy world by storm averaging nearly 85 yards rushing per game and 4.7 yards per carry. Blount was a relative unknown buried on the Bucs depth chart when the 2010 fantasy season, but looks to be their starting tailback for 2011 fantasy season (if there is no lockout).

WR-Mike Williams

Like his teammate (Blount), rookie wide receiver Mike Williams has made the most of opportunity this season. Williams didn’t waste any time turning heads as early as the Bucs training this season, and though he has had some ups and downs, he has remained a relatively consistent option in the passing game. Williams has started all 14 games for the Bucs this season while collecting 58 balls and scoring eight touchdowns. As he and 2nd year quarterback Josh Freeman continue to develop their rapport and improve their chemistry, Williams has a chance to become a star in the league. Looking ahead to next season’s fantasy draft, Williams is going to be a much earlier pick for owners as he continues to improve and impress.

Saturday, December 18, 2010

FSH: THE FANTASY SPORTS ZONE (THE FOUR HORSEMEN)

December 18th, 2010 Saturday
The Four Horsemen

Let’em Ride


If you have managed to survive this far in your fantasy league, there’s no question that the recent plague of injuries and changes at the quarterback position could have a major impact on your fantasy team. With the fantasy playoffs underway, this is no time to be rolling the dice and taking your chances on a long shot. With some of the biggest names (Greg Jennings, Dwayne Bowe, and Brandon Lloyd) in fantasy football affected by some of the lineup changes teams will be making on Sunday, I will be riding this weekend with these four horsemen; Jon Kitna, Jonathan Stewart, Mike Williams, and Owen Daniels

Like “the four winds of the earth” these fantasy game breakers are looking to ride high in week fifteen and bring some fantasy owners home a bid to the big dance…..

Quarterback:
The Cowboys play host to the league’s 29th ranked pass defense on Sunday. With the Redskins offense undergoing some drastic changes, the real benefactor on Sunday could be the Jon Kitna and the Cowboys offense. The Redskins don’t do a great job of bringing pressure and this season the secondary has been torched for 19 touchdowns and 44 pass plays of 20 yards or more. Kitna has been playing much better lately throwing 9 touchdowns to just four interceptions in his last five starts. With the struggling Redskins in town, he should be solid for a strong outing.
(My Prediction: 24 of 38 passing, 275 yards, two touchdowns)

Running Back:
The Cardinals will be traveling to Carolina on Sunday and bringing with them their 30th ranked run defense that allows 4.4 yards per carry and has surrendered 16 rushing touchdowns. This spells good news for the Panther’s running back Jonathan Stewart who has been running very well as of late. In his last three games Stewart is averaging 6.3 yards per carry and 108 yards rushing per game. Stewart has only two rushing touchdowns this season, but with such a favorable matchup he looks like a good bet to reach pay dirt.
(My Prediction: 20 carries, 110 yards rushing, 1 receptions, 10 yards receiving, one touchdown)

Wide Receiver:
Last week against the Redskins, wide receiver Mike Williams was held to just a single catch for 15 yards; it was his worst game this season. Last week was played in horrible and wet conditions, with the prospect of much improved weather Williams looks like a strong bet to bounce back. The Lions (ranked 13th against the pass) are in town this week and should offer Williams a better shot at producing good numbers. Thus far the Lions secondary allows 63 percent of opposing passes to be completed and has surrendered 21 touchdowns this season. Williams won’t have a break out day, but he should be productive.
(My Prediction: 6 receptions, 75 yards, one touchdown)

Tight End:
Last Monday against the Ravens, tight end Owen Daniels made his return to action catching five passes for 91 yards. Daniels 2010 season has been plagued with injury, but he’s finally looking healthy and could be ready for a big game. Against the Ravens Daniels showed some rust with a few drops, but as he gets back in the swing he’ll clean up those drops. This week he has the Titan’s, one of your friendlier tight end secondary’s this season; expect another solid outing for the Texan’s tight end.
(My Prediction: 6 receptions, 85 yards, one touchdown)

FSH: THE FANTASY SPORTS ZONE (TARGET PRACTICE)

December 18th, 2010 Saturday
Fantasy Football

Target Practice

In These Hands We Trust

Over the past several weeks the Patriots little man in the passing game, wide receiver Wes Welker has quietly been rising up the fantasy value board. Since week 12 Welker ranks second only to the Texan’s wide receiver Andre Johnson (24 receptions) with 23 catches and his three scores are second best to his teammate, Deion Branch (4 touchdowns).

Welker hit a dry spell for a short period grabbing just 11 passes from week 7 thru 9, but since that time he has really heated up in time for the fantasy playoffs. In his last five games Welker has been targeted 49 times (ranks 6th), caught 36 passes (ranks 3rd), and scored four times (ranks tied for 5th). With fantasy playoffs underway, Welker has returned to the hands that quarterback Tom Brady trusts most.

Like the kid from Foxboro, the Cowboy’s tight end Jason Witten has begun to heat up at the right time. It has taken time for Witten and his new quarterback Jon Kitna to develop chemistry, but over the past several weeks the two are really starting to click.

Kitna replaced the injured Tony Romo back in week 7 and after a quick start for the two (25 targets in week 7 & 8), Kitna started looking away from Witten. The Cowboys tight end hit a lull in targets and receptions from weeks 9 through 11 (11 targets, 8 catches). Whatever the distraction, the two seemed to be in perfect synchronization now; Witten has been targeted 22 times in his last three games and has 22 grabs (most by any tight end during this stretch).

With Kitna calling Witten’s number more often the tight end has become a busy man with 210 yards receiving (2nd most for tight ends) and three touchdowns (ranks 1st among tight ends). It’s easy to see Witten’s hands are again amongst the most trustworthy.

Radar Watch

In My Sights
My Fantasy Notes:

With a huge matchup against the Jaguars slated for Sunday, Colts wide receiver Pierre Garcon could the man to watch. In his last two games he has been on fire and Mr. Reliable. The Colt’s receiver has been targeted 15 times and has come up with 14 catches; including three for scores. He has arguably become one of quarterback Peyton Manning’s most sure handed options this season and with the return of Austin Collie this week defenses will have a tough time focusing their attention.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are playing host to the Detroit Lions on Sunday and one receiver I will be watching closely will be the rookie Mike Williams. He’s already having a solid first year with 784 yards receiving and seven touchdowns. Last week against the Redskins in slopping conditions Williams struggled through what has been his worst game this season; just one catch for 15 yards. Williams was targeted just five times, but he still leads the team with 104 this season and should bounce back this week. The forecast for Sunday is sunny and that should produce plenty of opportunity for Williams to rebound.

The Jets offense has been struggling greatly the last two weeks and on Sunday they are going to have a difficult time generating any kind of ground attack against the league’s best run defense. Quarterback Mark Sanchez and company may be faced with having to attack the Steeler’s secondary (ranked 23rd against the pass). One player to watch will be the Jet’s wide receiver Santonio Hlolmes. The Jet’s receiver has been targeted 21 times in his last two games and could become the focal point of the Jets aerial attack. Holmes had scored a touchdown in three straight games, before being blanked in his last two; look for Sanchez and company to try and change that early.

Target Leaders from week 12 through 14
(unofficial numbers)

Top 10

1. Reggie Wayne, IND (41 targets)
2. Roddy White, ATL (37 targets)
3. Andre Johnson, HOU (34 targets)
4. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI (31 targets)
5. Wes Welker, NE (30 targets)
6. Santonio Holmes, NYJ (28 targets)
7. Chad Ochocinco, CIN (28 targets)
8. Dwayne Bowe, KC (27 targets)
9. Stevie Johnson, BUF (27 targets)
10. Brandon Lloyd, DEN (27 targets)


Wednesday, December 15, 2010

FSH: MY WEEKLY SURVIVAL

December 15th, 2010, Wednesday
My Weekly Survivors


It was another turnaround effort for my fantasy team in week14 (91points). While I am locked in the top 10, I am still inching my way to the top. With a strong effort from my running back Tim Hightower (148 yards rushing, 2 touchdowns) who scored 26 points and my tight end Jason Witten (69 yards receiving, 2 touchdowns) who also donned the end-zone a couple of times chipping in with 18 points my fantasy team is not situated in 6th place overall.

The balance of my team did a fair job with both receivers Reggie Wayne and Mike Wallace adding some decent numbers. The other running back Knowshon Moreno was also a workhorse posting 17 points on 112 total yards and a score. My lone disappointment last week was my signal caller Jay Cutler (8 points). He may be a Chicago-boy, but last Sunday against the Patriots was no winter wonderland in the windy city for the native.

As we push deeper into this fantasy season the picks get a just a little more tricky, but with careful selection and some good matchups I am hopeful this week’s team will not disappoint.

Here are my picks for week 15….

QB-Jon Kitna, Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are at home and although they fell short they are coming off an impressive performance a week ago against the Eagles. Quarterback Jon Kitna had a couple of throws he would like back, but all-in-all he played well. This week should be a little easier facing the Redskins 29th ranked pass defense that struggles to bring pressure. With time Kitna will be able to make some throws downfield and put up some points on the board.
(Projected: 20 fantasy points/ 275 yards passing, 10 rushing yards, two touchdowns)

RB- Brian Westbrook, San Francisco 49ers
The Niner’s finally remembered what a valuable weapon in the passing game Brian Westbrook was in Philly. Last week against the Seahawks, the Niner’s utilized the former Eagle out of the backfield throwing him the ball on several occasions. Westbrook finished the game with six receptions for 87 yards and a score, to go with another 23 yards rushing. Westbrook should be able to must a few more yards on the ground this week against the Charers, but will likely do just as must damage out of the backfield.
(Projected: 16 fantasy points/ 65 yards rushing, 5 catches, 45 yards receiving, one touchdown)

RB-Ronnie Brown, Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins running back Ronnie Brown (644 yards rushing) has not been having a great season sharing duties with his counterpart Ricky Williams, but the two have to be licking their chops this week playing host the Bills (ranked 32nd against the run). Despite the committee role, Brown has been seeing his fair share of touches; averaging 19 per game in his last three games. Against the Bills he should see plenty of work and enjoy plenty of success.
(Projected: 17 fantasy points/ 70 yards rushing, 4 catches, 45 yards receiving, one touchdown)

WR-Miles Austin, Dallas Cowboys
Austin has not made a whole lot of noise over the past several weeks averaging just three catches for 31 yards over his last three games. With the Redskins 29th ranked pass defense coming to town, this may be just what the fantasy doctor ordered. Back in week one against the Redskins Austin posted 10 grads for 146 yards and a score.
(Projected: 16 fantasy points/ 6 catches, 100 yards, one touchdown)

WR-Mike Williams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneer’s young receiver Mike Williams (52 receptions, 784 yards, 7 touchdowns) has been playing very well this season, although he is coming off his worst game of the season. We’ll just chalk that up to bad weather and difficult playing conditions. This Sunday the Bucs are home and there should be plenty of susnshine, so I am expecting this kid to bounce back with solid numbers against the league’s 13th ranked pass defense.
(Projected: 15 fantasy points/ 6 catches, 90 yards, one touchdown)

TE-Owen Daniels, Houston Texans
The Texan’s tight end made his return on Monday night and flashed a little of what fantasy owners became used to seeing a year ago. He’s not quite back to old form, but should be good enough to do some damage on Sunday against the Titan’s 26th ranked pass defense.
(Projected: 14 fantasy points/ 6 catches, 85 yards, one touchdown)

PK-Josh Brown, St. Louis Rams
The Rams offense should be able to move the ball on the ground with some ease against the Chiefs 15th ranked run defense, but with just seven rushing touchdowns all season they may have a rough go at punching it in. I expect to see them settling for a few more kicks.
(Projected: 10 fantasy points/ three field goals, one extra points)

My Previous starts

Week 1 (Total points-77)
QB Donovan McNabb (WAS)
RB Matt Forte (CHI)
RB Carnell Williams (TB)
WR Jeremy Maclin (PHI)
WR Jabar Gaffney (DEN)
TE Zach Miller (OAK)
K Joe Nedney (SF)

Week 2 (Total points-68)
QB Michael Vick (PHI)
RB Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG)
RB Rashard Mendenhall (PIT)
WR Nate Washington (TEN)
WR Greg Jennings (GB)
TE Chris Cooley (WAS)
K Nick Folk (NYJ)

Week 3 (Total points-87)
QB Tony Romo (DAL)
RB Darren McFadden
RB Ray Rice (BAL)
WR Austin Collie (IND)
WR Dez Bryant (DAL)
TE Brent Celek (PHI)
K Lawrence Tynes (NYG)

Week 4 (Total points-58)
QB Eli Manning (NYG)
RB Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX)
RB Frank Gore (SF)
WR Mark Clayton (STL)
WR Brandon Marshall (MIA)
TE John Carlson (SEA)
K Jeff Reed (PIT)

Week 5 (Total Points-72 points)
QB Drew Brees (NO)
RB Steven Jackson (STL)
RB Thomas Jones (KC)
WR Donald Driver (GB)
WR Calvin Johnson (DET)
TE Marcedes Lewis (JAX)
K Mike Nugent (CIN)

Week 6 (Total Points-83 points)
QB Peyton Manning (IND)
RB Ryan Torain (WASH)
RB LaDanian Tomlinson (NYJ)
WR Hakeem Nicks (NYG)
WR Kenny Britt (TEN)
TE Dallas Clark, (IND)
K Sebastian Janikowski (OAK)

Week 7 (Total Points-93 points)
QB Philip Rivers (SD)
RB Adrian Peterson (MIN)
RB Michael Turner (ATL)
WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)
WR Dwayne Bowe (KC)
TE Tony Gonzales (ATL)
K Matt Prater (DEN)

Week 8 (Total Points-82 points)
QB Kyle Orton (DEN)
RB Felix Jones (DAL)
RB Jamaal Charles (KC)
WR Brandon Lloyd (DEN)
WR Deion Branch (NE)
TE Tony Moeki (KC)
K Stephen Gostkowski (NE)

Week 9 (Total Points-79 points)
QB Aaron Rodgers (GB)
RB LeSean McCoy (PHI)
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (NE)
WR Steve Smith (NYG)
WR Patrick Crayton (SD)
TE Jacob Tamme (IND)
PK Mason Crosby

Week 10 (Total Points-78 points)
QB Joe Flacco (BAL)
RB LeGarrette Blount (TB)
RB Cedric Benson (CIN)
WR Roddy White (ATL)
WR Steve Johnson (BUF)
TE Brandon Pettigrew (DET)
PK Rob Bironas (TEN)

Week 11 (Total Points-73 points)
QB Matt Ryan (ATL)
RB Fred Jackson (BUF)
RB Peyton Hillis (CLE)
WR DeSean Jackson (PHI)
WR Percy Harvin (MIN)
TE Jermaine Gresham (CIN)
PK Dan Carpenter (MIA)

Week 12 (Total Points-55 points)
QB Matt Cassel (KC)
RB Chris Johnson (TEN)
RB Danny Woodhead (NE)
WR Santonio Holmes (NYJ)
WR Sidney Rice (MIN)
TE Heath Miller (PIT)
PK Matt Bryant (ATL)

Week 13 (Total Points-82 points)
QB Sam Bradford (STL)
RB Jonathan Stewart (CAR)
RB Arian Foster (HOU)
WR Terrell Owens (CIN)
WR Anquan Boldin (BAL)
TE Visanthe Shiancoe (MIN)
PK David Akers (PHI)

Week 14 (Total Points-91 points)
QB Jay Cutler (CHI)
RB Knowshon Moreno (DEN)
RB Tim Hightower (ARI)
WR Reggie Wayne (IND)
WR Mike Wallace (PIT)
TE Jason Witten (DAL)
PK Billy Cundiff (BAL)