FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 24th 2017

Tuesday Evening Edition

The Weekly Waiver Wire

(Week 8)

Last weeks waiver grabs weren't the best options to follow as Darkwa and Decker both fizzled big on Sunday. On the other hand, a pair of Jets McCown and Seferian-Jenkins paid some nice dividends in Week 7. McCown threw 3 touchdowns, while Seferian-Jenkins scored in his third straight contest. Our drop suggestion last week wasn't too far off either; Jonathan Stewart rushed for 48 yards on 14 carries for a 3.4 yards per carry average.

This week is another week and another chance to make up for past blunders or the opportunity for a few more..

Last week I had Josh McCown on the radar and in case anyone failed to snag him last week, he still remains a viable bye week filler and streaming QB option. Against the Dolphins on Sunday McCown passed for 209 yards with three scores, finishing the week as the No.6 fantasy QB.

The Vikings finally got a chance to see what they have in running back Latavius Murray. Given the opportunity to lead the backfield Murray toted the rock 18 times for 113 yards and a score. He'll face some tough treading this week against the Browns, but Murray is worth rostering and could be valuable rotating RB play in the future.

The Jaguars wide receiver Marquise Lee has quietly put himself into the fantasy conversation. Last Sunday he had an unassuming 4 catch for 72 yards day, but in his last two games he's been targeted 16 times for 9 receptions and 155 yards. In the PPR format, Lee can be a useful play as a bye week filler, having now strung two consecutive games with double-digit fantasy points. He's yet to score this season, so probability would suggest that could be coming soon.

My tight end pickup for this week is Vernon Davis. I play in a couple of deep leagues, so I made this move a week ago, but I'm sure in many leagues Davis is still available. Over the past three weeks Davis only been targeted 11 times catching 9 balls, but with his strength, speed, and athleticism he has totaled 221 receiving yards. The way he's being utilized in the pass game, he has fantasy value in the PPR arena. He's worth streaming for those lacking better options.

Sleeper Watch

My sleeper pick this week is wide receiver Demarcus Robinson. This may not be the best week to play Chiefs receiver, but it could be the best week to stash him for going forward. All I keep hearing from the popular online sources and broadcasters is “how much the Chiefs like this kid” and with Conley on IR, he now gets an opportunity. The subtle hints I like are, last week Robinson tied with the team lead in targets (8) and in week 6 he was 2nd with (5) behind Kelce and Hill. Keep your eyes on this kid.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAIVD'S DAILY DIGEST

October 17th 2017

Tuesday Late-Night Edition

The Weekly Waiver Wire

Week 7

As fantasy leagues push deeper into the fantasy season, owners will continue to go to the waiver wire well each week to drink. Fortunately as we enter week 7 of the NFL season and fantasy season, the well has not gone dry; well at least in redraft leagues it hasn’t.

If you are streaming your quarterback position through the bye week, the Jets quarterback Josh McCown has been steady this season. He’s averaging over 13 fantasy points per week and checks in as the No.19 fantasy QB this season. McCown is coming off a strong Week 6 performance with 20.26 fantasy points and has thrown 2 touchdowns in each of his last 2 starts. Back in week 3 McCown totaled 14.66 fantasy points against the Dolphins (the Jets week 7 opponent) and he looks poised to do as much this week.

In the backfield, it looks like the Giants have found a running game behind the efforts of running back Orleans Darkwa. In his last two games Darkwa has gained 186 yards on 29 carries with a rushing touchdown. He’s a nice week 7 grab with the potential of a feature back workload, based on his Sunday night performance against the Broncos (21 carries). His next opponent is the Eagles who have been good against the run, but so were the Broncos.

At the wideout spot, the Titans wide receiver Eric Decker looks to be falling in rhythms with his quarterback and is coming off a solid Monday night game. Based on his numbers entering Week 6, Decker is sure to be lingering on the waiver wire. This is a good time to grab Decker with a week 7 matchup against a Browns defense that just surrendered 3 touchdowns to wide receivers this past Sunday.

One of the reasons for McCown’s steady play is the emergence of his tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins. After serving his two-game suspension to start the season, Seferian-Jenkins has been steadily coming on. In his past two games the Jets tight end has totaled 19 targets, turning in 14 receptions for 75 yards and two scores. He’s a red-zone gem and has now become one of the featured targets in the passing game. He’s a must grab this week off the waiver wires.

Drop of the Week

In PPR formats, Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart has fallen outside the Top-40 (39 in standard). In his last two games Stewart has totaled just 17 rushing yards on 26 carries. He’s coming off not only his worst performance of the season, but of his career. It’s time to let him go, there are plenty of better options available at this point.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 14th 2017

Saturday Late Night Edition

Week 6 TE Rankings

Despite what on paper looks like a tough matchup this Sunday against the Steelers, I have Travis Kelce in as my No.2 tight end this week. He’s a primary weapon in an offense that’s running in high gear. The Steelers have good numbers against tight ends, but they have yet to face this caliber of a tight end. Kelce cleared the concussion protocol and was left on the Chiefs injury report. He’s good to go.

Sliding up to the No.6 spot this week is the Chargers tight end Hunter Henry. He’s moved past Gates in productivity this season and has scored in two straight contests. He’s got a good shot at making it three in a row with a matchup against the Raiders on Sunday. Last season against the Silver and Black, Henry found the end zone in both games played.

TE Rankings

1. Rob Gronkowski

2. Travis Kelce

3. Delanie Walker

4. Jordan Reed

5. Austin Seferian-Jenkins

6. Hunter Henry

7. Martellus Bennett

8. Evan Engram

9. Cameron Brate

10. Kyle Rudolph

11. Coby Fleener

12. Jared Cook

13. Zach Miller

14. George Kittle

15. Benjamin Watson

16. Jack Doyle

17. AJ Derby

18. Ryan Griffin

19. Austin Hooper

20. Vernon Davis

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 14th 2017

Saturday Evening Edition

My Week 6 Sunday Perfect Lineup

The Weekly Perfect lineup contest is a lot of fun, but usually its always hit and miss and unfortunately I never hit all and usually miss all, Haha. Well here we go with my Perfect Lineup picks for Week 6;

QB- Drew Brees

The trend is always go with good matchups. Maybe the Lions defense has been pretty good this season, but a couple of things here to consider; one Brees is at home, always tough and two, the Lions were just torched by quarterback Cam Newton last week. Whatever deficiencies existing in the secondary, you know Saints quarterback Drew Brees is watching the tape and will look to exploit.

RB-Melvin Gordon

I have Mel G in a couple of leagues, so maybe this is wishful thinking, but Gordon is coming off a great Week 5 game (163 total yards) against a soft run defense and this week he gets the Raiders (ranked 25th against the run). The Chargers ball carrier is the featured back and averaging 18+ touches per game, with a prime matchup on Sunday, only good things.

RB-Todd Gurley

The Rams running back is having a great season, currently the No.2 fantasy RB in PPR. He's the 3rd leading rusher in the league with 405 rushing yards and he has 7 total touchdowns. Gurley gets the Jaguars 31st ranked run defense on Sunday which could mean a big day.

WR-Mike Evans

One of the league’s top talents at the receiver spot, Evans has been quiet the past two weeks and he is currently residing at the No.23 fantasy WR spot in PPR. This week however, Evans will get a crack at a leaky 21st ranked Cardinals pass defense. The Cardinals secondary has also allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, including 7 touchdowns.

WR-Keenan Allen

Right now Keenan is the No.13 fantasy WR in PPR, he has 28 receptions on 52 targets. I love his volume and believe the efficiency will improve. This week he faces the Raiders 15th ranked pass defense that's allowed the (tied for) 5th most pass plays of 20 yards or more at 16. It was 2 seasons ago (week 7 2015), but the last time Allen faced the Raiders he pulled in 9 passes for 89 yards.

TE-Austin Seferian-Jenkins

The Jets tight end has collected 15 passes in his three games this season. This weeks matchup against the Patriots is a favorable one. The Patriots allow the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and have surrendered 4 touchdowns.

PK-Justin Tucker

The Ravens offense has struggled mightily this season, limiting Tuckers chances through five weeks. However, last week against the Raiders, Tucker was 3 for 3 with three extra points. The Ravens should be able to move the ball against the Bears, but could have to settle for a couple of chips shots once again. Look for Tucker to turn in another solid Sunday.

Broncos defense

The Broncos defense are ranked number one overall, they are number one against the run, Sunday night is a home game against the Giants. The Giants run game has been non-existent and they've lost two of their three top receivers for the season. I'd say, this one looks pretty good.

That's My Take

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 13th 2017

Friday Late Night Edition

Week 6: Four Horsemen + Flex

(Not-so-bold Predictions)

Here were my picks a week ago; I had Carson Palmer under center, his 15.64 fantasy points ranked 12th for week 5. At running back I picked Le'Veon Bell, his 19.30 fantasy points ranked 5th among running backs, at receiver I selected Pierre Garcon with 17.40 fantasy points he ranked 13th at WR, and at tight end I had Hunter Henry with 13.20 fantasy points (ranked 12th in Week 5). My flex selection was Duke Johnson who scored 17.30, good enough for 7th among RBs and finally my defense for week 5 was the Bengals, 9 fantasy points (ranked 8th). Overall not too bad; 

Overall grade B+

Here are my Bold Picks for Week 6

Quarterback

The Cardinals will play host to Tampa Bay this week and for quarterback Carson Palmer, he gets the league’s 26th ranked pass defense. The Bucs allow the 5th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and Palmer enters this week 6 matchup with a healthier receiving corp. With a prime matchup this Sunday, Palmer currently the No.12 fantasy QB will look to move up the ranks; 24 of 32 passing for 330 yards and three touchdowns.

Running Back

After a slow Week 5 against the Seahawks, the Rams running back Todd Gurley II looks to rebound with a favorable matchup against the Jaguars. Gurley has been solid this season running the ball and a heavily inolved in the Rams short passing game with 22 receptions and 3 receiving touchdowns. Jacksonville allows the 7th most fantasy points to opposing runners and they've surrendered the 3rd most rushing yards. Gurley is in line for a big day; 95 rushing yards, 4 receptions for 35 yards and a touchdown.

Wide Receiver

The Redskins wide receiver Terrelle Pryor is off to a slow start this season, but he could be on the mend. In week 4 Pryor looked much better getting targeted 5 times and grabbing three balls for 70 yards. He's got a nice matchup against a Niners defense that has allowed the 8th most fantasy points to opposing receivers, including the 4th most receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Pryor should be strong play and a great candidate to find the endzone; 5 receptions, 80 yards receiving, and a touchdown.

Tight End

The Jets roll into Foxboro on Sunday and for tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins, this could mean a big day. The Patriots allow the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and have allowed 4 touchdowns this season. Seferian-Jenkins has remained steadily involved in the Jets passing game with 15 receptions in 3 games and he's coming off his best fantasy scoring game from a week ago; 5 receptions for 55 yards and a touchdown.

Flex

If you are paying attention, then you may be aware of the news that the Cardinals wide receiver John Brown was not listed on the team's injury report. Brown put in a full session on Friday and appears to be his healthiest of the season, just in time for a prime matchup with the Buccaneers on Sunday. The Bucs defense allows the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, so this could be the game where Brown breaks out; 5 receptions for 95 yards and a touchdown.

Defense; I am going with the rested Falcons at home. Atlanta typically plays better in the dome and with the Dolphins coming to town, this sets up as a good matchup for the Falcons defense.

That's My Take

~David Ortega