FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 5th 2017

Sunday evening Edition

My Perfect Lineup Week 9

(NFL.com)

Week 9 has begun and it’s time to roll out my Perfect Lineup for this Sunday, but first let’s see how my team looked last week. From the top to the bottom, here’s what we did; QB-Wentz (finished 8th in PPR scoring), RB-Bell (finished 17th), RB-Howard (15th), WR-Green (finished 22nd), WR-Allen (32nd), TE-Gronkowski (4th), PK-Elliott (11th), and D/ST-Bengals (8th). Overall it was not a great day.

Looking ahead, here we go with week 9;

QB-Drew Brees; you have to love Brees at home where he is always tough and the Bucs have big problems this season versus the pass.

RB-Adrian Peterson; the Cards are going to have to become a run first team and we’ve seen what Peterson can do. The Niners are not good against the run, a big day for Peterson awaits.

RB-DeMarco Murray; the Titans running back has had extra time to heal up coming off the bye and the Ravens defense has not been shut down against the run. Murray has only one 100-yard game this season, will be looking for his 2nd today.

WR-Dez Bryant; the matchup today with the Chiefs could be a high scoring affair. Even with Elliott in the lineup today, I think Dez is going to be involved in the plan to attack a secondary that has struggled mightily this season.

WR-Michael Thomas; just going to ride the coattails of Drew Brees with this one. Thomas is the team’s leading receiver and if Brees has a big game, there’s a good chance he’ll be a big part.

TE-Jack Doyle; the Colts tight end is coming off a big game, but has also emerged as a big part of the offense. This could be another big day for Doyle.

PK-Harrison Butker; the Chiefs-Cowboys today, could be a shootout. I happen to think the Chiefs may stumble a couple of times in the red-zone today, allow a few extra opportunities for Butker.

D/ST-Cardinals; the Niners appear to be in rebuild, no Pierre Garcon, questions in the backfield, and CJ Beathard has to know, he’s not the guy. Although it’s a road game for the Cards, I like to defense to have a big game today.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

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November 4th 2017

Saturday Late Night Edition

Week 9 Strong Plays

Looking over Sunday’s matchup, here’s a quick rundown of a few of the lineups I am liking very much;

Jared Goff, QB;

I’m not expecting big numbers here, but I do like Goff’s matchup against the Giants. Goff has been steady this season, but not spectacular, and the Giants defense has not been good versus quarterbacks; allow 6th mos fantasy points. This could be a good bounce back week for Goff

DeMarco Murray, RB;

It has not been Murray’s year this season, as the Titan’s running back has only one 100-yard rushing game this season. Fortunately for Murray and the Titans, this week’s opponent is the Ravens; have allowed 2nd most rushing yards this season.

Devin Funchess, WR;

With Kelvin Benjamin shipped off to Buffalo, the Panthers receiver Devin Funchess is in line for a larger role and more targets this Sunday. The Falcons have been pretty good against receivers this season, but I like Funchess and believe this is an opportunity for him to step up and separate.

Jack Doyle, TE;

The Colts tight end is coming off a huge Sunday last week (12 receptions, 121 yards, and a score) and I am feeling good about his chances to continue the momentum against the Texans; allow 6th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

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November 4th 2017

Saturday evening Edition

My Weekly DFS

The Stack

This week I am employing the stack strategy for my Week 9 DFS lineup. I had originally looked at the Texans matchup with the Colts, but the injury to rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson changed that.

My Lineup:

QB-Drew Brees

RB-Mark Ingram

RB-Adrian Peterson

WR-Devin Funchess

WR-Marquise Goodwin

WR-Ted Ginn Jr

TE-Zach Ertz

PK-Jake Elliott

D/ST-Rams

With Watson on IR, I switched my stack to the Saints who are playing at home this week against the Buccaneers. Anytime you have Drew Brees ($8,300) at home, you have to like his matchup and the Bucs have allowed some big games to opposing quarterbacks. Of course with this stack I will lean with Mark Ingram ($7,900) in the backfield to lead in touches and touchdowns this week. Normally I would like to go with Michael Thomas, but lately wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr ($5,700) has trending upward and I love his price.

At the other running back spot I am hanging my hat all over Cardinals running back Adrian Peterson ($6,800). It’s a risky play with quarterback Carson Palmer on Injured Reserve and backup Drew Stanton now under center. Although risky, Peterson is facing a Niners defense that allows the most fantasy points to opposing running backs; so I like the matchup.

The Colts will be without Vontae Davis and even though Deshaun Watson is on the IR, I still like wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins ($9,100) outcome on Sunday. Regardless who is under center, Hopkins will be a focal point and the Colts allow the 5th most fantasy points to opposing receivers.

My only questionable play (I think) is the Niners wide receiver Marquise Goodwin ($4,800). The Niners will be without Pierre Garcon (Injured Reserve) on Sunday and even with the changes at quarterback Goodwin should be a factor in the pass game and could see even more targets.

I am rolling with a favorite at tight end, Zach Ertz against the Broncos. The Denver D has been poor versus opposing tight ends, allowing the 2nd most fantasy points and last week surrendered 7 catches for 133 yards and a score (to Travis Kelce). I like Ertz on Sunday.

My place kicker is the Eagles Jake Elliott ($5,000). The kid has been kicking well and have to play the odds of opportunity; the Eagles at home against the Broncos.

I wrap up the lineup with the Rams defense and special teams ($4,800). The Rams are averaging more than 12 fantasy points per game and have a decent matchup this week against the Giants.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

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November 3rd 2017

Friday evening Edition

Diamonds in the Rough

Looking ahead to Sunday, although we are in week 9, we are still only in week 9 and options do exist for fantasy owners looking for help and trying to find those weekly gems.

As the bye weeks continue here a couple of Week 9 hidden gems that could be interesting plays on Sunday;

QB-Tom Savage; the loss of rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson is devastating, but it doesn't have to be the end of the Texans or fantasy owners. The offense is still loaded with some talent and playing with confidence. It's a long shot, but with players like Fuller, Hopkins, and Miller still available this week Savage could be a diamond in the rough this week. He has a favorable matchup against a defense that has allowed 12 passing touchdowns (5th most), 290.4 yards passing per game (2nd most), and the 5th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

RB-Marlon Mack; after a week 6 setback (in usage), the Colts rookie runner has seen his involvement in the offense trend upward with 9 touches in week 7 and 14 touches in week 8. Mack has also seen snap count increase with 48 in week 7 and 39 in week 8 (led the backfield both weeks). In 3 of his last 4 games, he's also scored in double-digit fantasy points. While the Texans have been lock down against the run this season, one stat worth noting, rookies this season have had success; Fournette in Week 1 and Hunt in Week 5.

WR-Devin Funchess; with the departure of Benjamin, the time is now for Funchess to arrive. The Panthers receiver has been fine thus far this season, although over his last three games he's managed only single digits in fantasy scoring. Through 8 weeks, Funchess leads the team in targets and receptions, but was outscored by Benjamin (his primary hurdle to more opportunity). Funchess should see a big uptick in targets and scoring opportunities going forward and with the potential for increased production he's got a great shot at moving from the No.30 fantasy receiver (PPR) to Top 20.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

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November 1st 2017

Wednesday Late Night Edition

On The Cover This Week

They Call Him Mister Wilson

After a huge week 8 performance and exciting come from behind win over the Texans, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson has officially entered the MVP conversation.

Basically flying under the radar for most of this first half of the season, don't look now, but the Seahawks and Wilson are now 5-2. Back in the middle of the NFC race, Wilson has led the charge for the Seahawks with a solid first half of the season campaign.

Through 8 weeks Russell Wilson is the No.5 fantasy quarterback in fantasy scoring. Wilson has passed for 2,008 yards, ranked 6th in league and has throw 15 touchdown passes, 3rd most this season. Wilson is versatile and mobile with 194 yards rushing this season, which ranks 4th amongst quarterbacks.

Wilson is playing sensational this season and looks great, especially after Sunday's epic win over Houston. With the addition of a top notch left tackle, Wilson and Seahawks look poised to make a deep run in the playoffs.

The Seahawks defense may not be the same old Legion of Boom, but opponents will quickly learn why they call him Mister Wilson.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega