FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

November 4th 2017

Saturday evening Edition

My Weekly DFS

The Stack

This week I am employing the stack strategy for my Week 9 DFS lineup. I had originally looked at the Texans matchup with the Colts, but the injury to rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson changed that.

My Lineup:

QB-Drew Brees

RB-Mark Ingram

RB-Adrian Peterson

WR-Devin Funchess

WR-Marquise Goodwin

WR-Ted Ginn Jr

TE-Zach Ertz

PK-Jake Elliott

D/ST-Rams

With Watson on IR, I switched my stack to the Saints who are playing at home this week against the Buccaneers. Anytime you have Drew Brees ($8,300) at home, you have to like his matchup and the Bucs have allowed some big games to opposing quarterbacks. Of course with this stack I will lean with Mark Ingram ($7,900) in the backfield to lead in touches and touchdowns this week. Normally I would like to go with Michael Thomas, but lately wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr ($5,700) has trending upward and I love his price.

At the other running back spot I am hanging my hat all over Cardinals running back Adrian Peterson ($6,800). It’s a risky play with quarterback Carson Palmer on Injured Reserve and backup Drew Stanton now under center. Although risky, Peterson is facing a Niners defense that allows the most fantasy points to opposing running backs; so I like the matchup.

The Colts will be without Vontae Davis and even though Deshaun Watson is on the IR, I still like wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins ($9,100) outcome on Sunday. Regardless who is under center, Hopkins will be a focal point and the Colts allow the 5th most fantasy points to opposing receivers.

My only questionable play (I think) is the Niners wide receiver Marquise Goodwin ($4,800). The Niners will be without Pierre Garcon (Injured Reserve) on Sunday and even with the changes at quarterback Goodwin should be a factor in the pass game and could see even more targets.

I am rolling with a favorite at tight end, Zach Ertz against the Broncos. The Denver D has been poor versus opposing tight ends, allowing the 2nd most fantasy points and last week surrendered 7 catches for 133 yards and a score (to Travis Kelce). I like Ertz on Sunday.

My place kicker is the Eagles Jake Elliott ($5,000). The kid has been kicking well and have to play the odds of opportunity; the Eagles at home against the Broncos.

I wrap up the lineup with the Rams defense and special teams ($4,800). The Rams are averaging more than 12 fantasy points per game and have a decent matchup this week against the Giants.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 28th 2017

Saturday Afternoon Edition

My Perfect Lineup Week 8

(NFL.com)

Just a quick week 7 review, Brees was my quarterback last week and he finished No.10, my running backs were McCoy and Freeman, both finished No.2 and No.19 respectively; not bad, but certainly not great. My receivers were Julio and Dez, No.4 and No.9 a vast improvement, and Jimmy Graham (No.6 fantasy TE) wasn’t far off.

For a perfect lineup (standard scoring), a bit off the pace no doubt, but not a bad DFS play (if the salaries work). My Kicker and D/ST were both decent, finishing 7th for Week 7. Final results for week 7, probably not too bad, but we are certainly looking for more from my Week 8 picks;

QB-Carson Wentz; the Eagles quarterback has been on fire of late and with a golden matchup with the Niners at home, he has to be this week’s favorite at QB. Wentz is currently the No.2 fantasy QB with 17 touchdowns and 260 yards passing per game.

RB-Le’Veon Bell; the Steelers running back has been the focal point of the offense all season and that’s not changing this week. Bell is averaging nearly 29 touches per game and the Lions

RB-Jordan Howard; the Bears running back has been running like thunder through opposing defenses this season with 560 rushing yards (ranks 5th in the league). He’s only the No.14 fantasy RB (in PPR), but I feel good about his matchup against the Saints this week. Remember, last week the Saints allowed 131 yards rushing to Packers running back Aaron Jones.

WR-AJ Green; the Bengals passing game starts and finishes with Green. He’s the No.6 fantasy WR (in PPR) this season and looks to improve his ranking this week against the Colts. Colts allow the 5th most fantasy points to opposing receivers and the 6th most over the past 4 weeks; looking good for AJ on Sunday.

WR-Keenan Allen; the Chargers receiver is one of the most targeted receivers in the league with 68 this season (3rd most). The Patriots have played well this season, but they will have all they can handle trying to cover Allen and the rest of the Chargers receivers. Allen is the go-to, so I expect to see him post numbers on Sunday.

TE-Rob Gronkowski; Gronk has been quiet of late and regardless of the matchup, he’s always has a chance to blow up. I am just taking a shot here and playing the odds. Gronk is still the No.2 fantasy TE this season, but has only scored in double-digit fantasy points in 3 of 6 games and last week he only posted 8.10 fantasy points (in PPR).

PK-Jake Elliott; let’s face it the Eagles are going to score a lot on Sunday against the Niners. I like Elliott’s chances to hit a couple of chip shots and posting double digit points on Sunday.

D/ST-Bengals defense; just playing the numbers with this matchup. The Bengals have a sound defense and they are at home this week. The Bengals will matchup against a Colts offense that ranks 28th in the league in Total Offense and they in turn are the No.2 defense this season. Something’s gotta give, so rolling with Cincy.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega