Thursday, October 12, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 12th 2017
Thursday Evening Edition






Thursday's Twitter Takes


"Newton is rolling, no stopping the Cam train!" by @FantsySprtshome

Not much to say about this. Cam Newton appears to have rediscovered his MVP and over the past two weeks he has again looked like Superman.

"Funchess and Benjamin should find the endzone" by @FantsySprtshome

Both of Cam's targets (Funchess & Benjamin) are huge receivers with solid hands and will be in play in the red-zone.

"Wentz has been good, but a tough road match could slow his roll" by @FantsySprtshome

The Panthers have been tough against the pass and allow the 9th fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Wentz is too good to be shut down, but the Panthers D is more than capable enough to slow him down.

"I'm looking for Agholor to again be the not-so-sneaky play tonight." @FantsySprtshome

The Eagles receiver broke out last week with a big performance. On the year he has three touchdowns and his 12 yards per targets ranks among the receiving leaders in the league. He's not a heavy volume receiver, but he's effective.


Tonight's matchup should be a pretty good one. According to the numbers this one could be lining up to be a defensive struggle, but I have a feeling we are going to see some fireworks from Cam and Carson. Both bring a nice compliment of weapons and too much talent on offense to be held in check. The running attacks will be modest tonight, look for most of the damage to come from the air.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega




Wednesday, October 11, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 11th 2017
Wednesday Late Night Edition






Sunday at a Glance


After taking a look back at Sunday Week 5, there were a lot of fantasy football storylines, but these caught my attention the most;

Rams live up to the hype, offense doesn't.
It was a typical grueling divisional matchup with the Seahawks and it gave us what we pretty much expected when two teams know each other well; limited offense and lots of defense. The Rams made a lot of mistakes in the game, but despite their 5 turnovers the Rams had a chance to win this one at the end of the game. The overall numbers on offense weren't great all-around, but Goff and company lived up to the hype and will have better Sundays ahead.

Cam is Back!
We should have got the hint two weeks ago when Cam completed 22 of 29 passes for 316 yards and 3 touchdowns, but I believe many thought we might see a meltdown after the ridiculous controversy started from Cam's comments following his week 4 performance. To the contrary, there was no meltdown, just Cam rising up once again with another prolific game in Week 5. On the road against the Lions, Cam Newton resembled his MVP like form passing for 355 yards, completing 79 percent of his passes and tossing 3 touchdowns again. Cam looks healthy and Cam looks back! He's an every week must start.

Carson Wentz has arrived
His name is not Cam, but the Eagles 2nd year quarterback Carson Wentz played like Cam on Sunday and to be more specific, he played great. This season the Eagles are one of the hotter teams in the league at 4-1, and Wentz has been a big reason for this. On Sunday Wentz completed 70 percent of his passes for 304 yards passing, and 4 touchdowns. After 5 games Wentz has thrown for 1,573 yards, tossed 10 touchdowns and currently is the No.6 fantasy QB. He's a fantasy QB1 and it's safe to say he's arrived.

Get ready for the Mack Attack
The Colts rookie running back finally had a breakout game last Sunday rushing for 91 yards and a touchdown on 9 carries after missing two games. Mack's 2017 campaign was off to a slow start and slightly derailed with a shoulder injury. He had been sidelined for a couple of weeks, but now that he's healthy and coming off a strong performance, according to head coach Chuck Pagano the team needs to find ways to get Mack more involved. Mack is worth rostering right now and fantasy owners should keep close watch of the Indy backfield, changes could be coming.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega




FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 11th 2017
Wednesday Night Edition





Pick of the Week

(Week 6)

Pick-Up of the Week

After his scintillating performance on Monday night the Vikings running back Jerrick McKinnon (22 touches, 146 total yards, 6 receptions, and a touchdown) is my Pick-up for the week. It's apparent that the Vikings offensive line has improved this season with the stable of weapons in the passing game, there may be a few more running lanes for McKinnon and company each week. McKinnon (14 receptions in 2017), an exceptional pass catcher offers great versatility in the Vikings offense and greater value in PPR. With Green Bay on the slate next, McKinnon will have a nice matchup against a defense that allows more than 4 yards per carry and the 8th most rushing yards to opposing running backs. Fantasy owners shouldn't expect the Vikes to feature McKinnon every week, but he could be in line for a substantial role in the offense going forward.

Don't Sit on Him

The recent trade (this week) of running back Adrian Peterson to Arizona is just what fantasy owners needed. If you've been clinging on to All-Day hoping he'd get a chance, well your wishes have been answered. With the trade Peterson will step into the starting role right out of the gate; we'll finally see what he's got left. Now the Cardinals don't have one of the better O-lines, but with the passing game that's there, Peterson could give them the balance they lack and open up some opportunities for this offense. If he's available on the waiver wire or free agent pool, don't sit on him, this is a risk worth taking.

Drop of the Week

With the recent news in Arizona, more news coming out of the Cardinal's camp was the release of running back Chris Johnson. This is not surprising, with the addition of Peterson, Johnson became expendable and for fantasy owners droppable. Johnson was cut earlier in the preseason by the Cardinals and only brought back following the loss of running back David Johnson. The move then, now looks like a desperate reach that didn't pay off. And with Peterson basically wilting away on the Saints bench, this move just makes a lot of sense. In Dynasty leagues Peterson seems to fill the immediate need for the Cardinals running game so he's worth the grab. Likely not the long term solution especially with David Johnson expected to return this season. AP is worth adding now, but proceed with caution.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega




FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 11th 2017
Wednesday Night Edition





The Weekly Waiver Wire

(Week 6)

Five weeks into the NFL season and fantasy owners can breathe a sigh of relief, there's still plenty of talent available on the Waiver Wire. At the quarterback position owners of Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott looking for a streaming option may find their needs filled with Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett. The 2nd year back up finished as the No.10 fantasy quarterback last week (314 passing yards, rushing touchdown) and after starting 4 games Brissett is currently the No.19 fantasy QB. This week Brissett is on the road facing a Titans defense that allows the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. With the return of Andrew Luck looming, Brissett won't be anyone's fantasy savior, but he is a nice fill-in for week 6.

The Packers appear to have found themselves a gem in running back Aaron Jones, and most fantasy owners will find him available on the Waiver Wire this week. Jones impressed last week rushing for 125 yards and a score, following a week 4 appearance when he gained 49 yards on 13 carries. He's got a tough matchup with the Vikings this Sunday, but with Ty Montgomery (ribs) still iffy this week Jones has done enough to earn a role in the offense beyond week 6. He's a tough play for Week 6, but he's worth the grab now.

With injuries shaking up the backfield and changes to the rotation, the Ravens may have just land on Javorius "Buck" Allen. Primarily used as the pass-catching back in the offense, Allen (20 receptions this season) saw 21 carries on Sunday; this was the 2nd time this season he's reached that number. Through 5 weeks Allen has moved up to the 15th fantasy RB spot, he's definitely a waiver target this week in PPR formats.

Last Sunday Niner's wide receiver Marquise Goodwin had a breakout game catching 5 of 11 targets for 116 yards, good enough for the 14th fantasy WR in PPR for the week. Goodwin is the team's deep threat; but his 11 targets this past week make him an interesting boom or bust option. In deeper leagues, Goodwin may be worth the risky add. Goodwin has had a slow start this season (prior to Sunday) like his quarterback (Brian Hoyer). The two showed some nice chemistry in the preseason and this past week may just be a hint of what is to come.

With the change at quarterback in Chicago, going with the rookie Mitchell Trubisky, tight end Zach Miller immediately looks like nice add this week. On Monday night Miller totaled 39 yards receiving, 3 catches on 7 targets and a score (13th ranked fantasy TE in PPR for the week). With a rookie quarterback, the 7 targets are a good indicator of what to expect. Miller looks to be a borderline TE1/TE2 this week facing a Ravens defense that allows the 6th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

That's My Take.

~David Ortega





Tuesday, October 10, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

October 10th 2017
Tuesday Late Night Edition





On The Cover This Week

He is Mr.Under-rated

The Bengals wide receiver AJ Green is probably the best least talked about receiver in the game. And he shouldn't be. When fantasy analysts and Football experts are talking about Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, and Odell Beckham Jr, most of the time Green does not get mentioned.

The talented receiver has not played a full season since 2015, but when's he's been healthy and on the field it's hard to argue that's there's anyone better. In 2016 Green missed 6 games and in 2014 he missed three, but if you look at his numbers and project them out over a full 16 games here's how they would have likely looked; 2016 numbers, 105 receptions for 1,542 yards and 6 touchdowns (295.2 fantasy points would have ranked 5th), 2014 numbers, 85 receptions for 1,281 yards and 7 touchdowns (255.1 fantasy points would have ranked 13th).

Except for his rookie season, his projected 13th finished would have been his worst finish.

When he's played 16 games, three times in 2012, 2013, and 2015, here's how Green has finished; 2012 he finished with 299.8 fantasy points (ranked 3rd), in 2013 he finished with 306.6 fantasy points (ranked 4th) and in 2015 he finished with .

Now let's look at the first five weeks of this season. Currently Green is the No.3 fantasy receiver in PPR. His 32 receptions ranked 3rd in the league, his 504 yards receiving are second to Antonio Brown's 545, and his 3 touchdowns are ranked 4th (also tied with players like Odell Beckham Jr, Dez Bryant, and Nelson Agholor).

I believe the numbers speak for themselves. Green has proven he's as good as anyone, yet we seem to hear his name as much as we probably should. Maybe the next time we talk about the best receivers in the game we should start with Mr. Underrated (AJ Green).

That's My Take.

~David Ortega