Wednesday, September 7, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: FANTASY FOOTBALL NOTES

September 7TH, 2011 Wednesday


FANTASY FOOTBALL NOTES

We are less than one day away from the official start of the 2011 NFL season. Even though most fantasy drafts should be complete by this point, it’s still worth taking a look and quick peek into most backfields to see what ball carriers will rise, fall, and emerge this season. Here’s my run on this year’s running backs.

Let’s just put the argument to rest, when you start at the top, you have to start with Adrian Peterson. He seems to be the consensus number one is most every league I have seen. He’s a feature back, has no serious injury concerns heading into the season, and has scored 54 touchdowns in four seasons. AP will lead the pack, but running backs Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Arian Foster, and Ray Rice are not far behind.

From there you will get into the MJD’s, LeSean McCoy’s and Peyton Hillis’ who will round out the top 20 to 25. Once we get into the third and fourth tier of running backs , the talent pool will shallow out, and that’s when you have to start doing some digging.

DEEP IN THE BACKFIELD

It’s been what seems like a very short and very quick preseason, but in the four weeks of action one running back in a crowded backfield in Washington has really caught my eye; Tim Hightower. He’s certainly not the cream of the crop, but he has been impressive thus far and in a Shanahan “run-system” he could really fare well. Hightower averaged nearly seven yards per carry facing mostly first string defenses and his versatility as a pass catcher (63 receptions in 2009) could find him spending quite of bit of time on the field. He’s not going to be a feature back, but he looks like a good call to see the lion’s share of work; at least early in the season.

Another ball carrier that has turned my head is the Bronco’s third year running back Knowshon Moreno. Now most folks figure with the arrival of John Fox, the Bronco’s offense is going to become more of a ground attack, but the addition of Willis McGahee does not necessarily mean a time-share. In Carolina Fox had two relative young backs to feed the rock, but in Denver McGahee enters his 9th season and does not figure to step into an expanded role. Moreno has been impressive this preseason and has a well balanced skill-set in the run and pass game. He may lose a few short-yardage and goal line carries to McGahee, but he still figures to see plenty of work. If he can stay healthy, he’s easily a top 15 back this season.

The Packers have the luxury of healing in the offseason, but for running back Ryan Grant that may not be enough. Last season 2nd year back James Starks stepped up and played well for the Pack in the post season and could very well figure into the team’s plans this season. From what I have read, heard, and seen I would not be surprised to see Starks starting at some point this season and more likely sooner than later.

Along with these potential diamonds in the rough, a couple of kids I would watch heavily leading into week one, Bernard Scott of the Bengals and rookie Stevan Ridley of the Patriots. Both teams don’t have a clear cut dominant runner that they will lean on heavily and both these kids could just be hungry enough to work their way into the spotlight.

If Benson can’t keep his name out of the paper in non-related football news, Scott’s time could come much sooner than expected. The team sounds like they are very high on Ridley; the power back just needs to keep “doing the right things” and his time will come.

There aren’t too many names that I am necessarily down on this year, but as good as Saints running back Mark Ingram is, I am not buying all that cool-aid that is being sold. Ingram is going to be productive this season, but I am just not so sure that Pierre Thomas is done. As long as Thomas is healthy, he’ll remain an integral part of the offense as well. That’s just my thoughts on that subject and these are my takes in the backfield.

By David Ortega

Sunday, September 4, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: FANTASY FOOTBALL NOTES

September 4TH, 2011 Sunday


FANTASY FOOTBALL NOTES

The 2011 Fantasy football season is set to start in less than a week and while I have not had an extensive amount of time to really take an in-depth look at all the positions, I have managed to catch quite a few preseason matchups make many notes. I am not going to offer my opinion as anything more than just that, but I will however add as an adamant fan of the NFL and the game of fantasy football, I pay attention.

As with most anything in life there is usually a beginning and when we start looking at fantasy football players, we need to start with the top; the Quarterback position.

QUICK TAKES

When you draft (if your draft has yet to take place) or when looking back at your just completed draft, it’s no surprise to see the familiar names like Brees, Brady, and Rivers at the top of the list; as they should be. When we take a moment to look a little deeper into this year’s fantasy drafts there are several quarterback names that should garnish some attention, and by mid-season they will.

Signal-callers

After having a chance to watch a considerable amount of preseason I was able to catch quick a bit of action between the Lions and Patriots. And while I was impressed with Detriot’s first string’s defensive effort in the 1st half, I have to say that the young Mr. Stafford caught my attention as well. The Lion’s third year quarterback has looked stellar this preseason and seems to be the subject of a lot of preseason hype.

Stafford wasn’t necessarily given a whole lot of love on most pre-draft fantasy rankings, but with his impressive play this preseason (154.7 passer rating) folks are taking notice and his stock is definitely on the rise. In limited action this preseason Stafford has completed 25 of 33 passes (75.8% completions) and thrown five touchdowns. He’s an injury risk, yes, but I like his upside which could be big this season.

I have been hearing a lot of chatter from fellow fantasy football drafters about the second year quarterback in St. Louis, Sam Bradford. Even though I believe the Rams are still a team in rebuilding mode, I happen to agree with a lot of the fanfare surrounding the kid. With a solid ground game led by Steven Jackson to support the young passer, Bradford appears to be a star on the rise and could be nice mid-level quarterback in fantasy drafts, he definitely appears to be a keeper for dynasty owners.

A couple of other interesting names worthy of watching on your fantasy draft boards and early in the 2011 season are quarterbacks Donovan McNabb, Kyle Orton, Matt Hasselbeck, and Josh Freeman.

Last season the Buccaneers young arm Josh Freeman rose to the crop finishing with the league’s sixth highest passer rating; his 25 touchdowns also ranked in the top 10. With a returning core group of reliable hands, Freeman looks poised to put up another strong campaign.

In Minnesota, with the help of an elite ground attack, McNabb could possible have a bounce back season; something worth keeping an eye on. He did lose the Vikings best pass-catcher from two seasons ago in Sidney Rice, but already in the preseason we have seen hints that the cast (Harvin, Jenkins, and Berrian) he will be working with may be capable.

The Broncos’ quarterback Kyle Orton may be in a similar situation in Denver, being able to benefit from head coach John Fox’s influence in the running game. Success on the ground can only mean success in the vertical game with both Brandon Lloyd and Eddie Royal on the outside, Orton’s outlook could be promising.

When you have one of the league’s best ball carriers in Chris Johnson and a much improved line from his days in Seattle, Matt Hasselbeck has every reason to believe 2011 could be a much better campaign. The former Seahawk (now with Tennessee) was beat up pretty good last season, being sacked 29 times in 14 games; if he can stay vertical in 2011, it can only mean good things for fantasy owners.

The start of the NFL season is fastly approaching, but there’s still plenty of time to talk fantasy football and take a look at those players we like in the upcoming fantasy season.


By David Ortega

Friday, September 2, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 1st, 2011 Thurssday

David’s Daily Digest


2011 Fantasy Tidbits

And just for the record, these tid-bits might be more like bite-size or mini-bits, but just the same I am going to share a few notes for thought and observations from the NFL Preseason that is quickly coming to a close. With the 2011 fantasy football season officially on countdown mode and opening kickoff now less than a week away, it’s time to take a quick look at what we have learned thus far or realize we are still clueless.

Some Quick pointers!

In Detroit, what I am hearing (and seeing) third year quarterback Matthew Stafford is quickly making a believer of many with his stellar play through the first three weeks of preseason; and why shouldn’t he the kid has barely completed a full-season of action in his first three years. While that might be true, it’s hard to deny the stars seem to be quickly aligning for the young Mr. Stafford, 24 of 31 passing, five touchdowns, and a passer rating of 154.0; oh yeah, he also had that Megatron kid to throw to.

It may only be a mirage we are seeing in Washington, but I have to say Tim Hightower (170 yards rushing, 6.8 average) is looking like a new running back behind a line that can actually run block (ranked number one in the preseason). The jury may still be out on Hightower, but his stock has quickly risen in the fantasy ranks, taken 20th in a recent custom fantasy draft (was ranked 48th in USA Today). The jury may still be out and it is a little premature to make any bold predictions, but I think we’ve seen enough to feel confident that Hightower ‘Could’ be more than fantasy relevant this season.

In Houston it seems that tight end Owen Daniels may not be getting as much fantasy love as he may deserve. It was only back in 2008 that he caught 70 balls, third most for tightends and this preseason he has looked pretty good collecting seven passes for 64 yards and a score. Unlike players like Gates, Witten, and Finley, Daniels does not appears to be part of a crowded passing attack and could see plenty of opportunity to move his fantasy stock up higher on most draft boards and cheat sheets.

The NFL season is set to start very quickly and looking across the board some of the biggest questions fantasy owners will face as they prepare for their drafts this weekend; who is number one, where do you draft Peyton Manning (neck), when do you take Chris Johnson (hold-out), and is New England a good fit for Ochocinco? There’s no right or wrong answer here, just know it’s going to be a lot of fun learning the truths about these questions and plenty more fantasy related topics over the next 16-17 weeks. Fantasy Football 2011 is here and it’s time to play ball, are you ready some football?


By David Ortega

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

August 31st 2011, Wednesday

Back on Track


The Next Stop; Fantasy Football 2011

Although it is highly unlikely, but for those of you that have not been keeping up with current events, the NFL is back on track and Fantasy Football 2011 is here. And actually, the NFL has been on the tracks heading toward Kickoff 2011 for several weeks now.

With the Preseason set to enter its’ fourth and final week, it’s time for those of you that have yet to do so, get your fantasy draft done. It’s been an entire summer of little conversation and non-climatic events that have brought most football fans and the entire fantasy world to this cataclysmic frenzy that is final Fantasy Draft Weekend.

If you are one of those lucky folks preparing for your league’s draft, it’s time to break out the cheat-sheets, check those injury reports, and review those player rankings; this is no time to get sloppy, every pick counts.

With the final week of preseason slated to begin in less than 24 hours, it’s time to get caught up with my 2011 player rankings, fantasy predictions, and my best analysis of fantasy studs, sleepers, and those you want to forget.

Stay with me all season and we’ll be bouncing fantasy takes, spins, and rumors back and forth as we enjoy fantasy football 2011.

Good luck to everyone who plays and for those that don’t, you are missing out! What are you waiting for!

By David Ortega


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Wednesday, July 27, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

July 27th, 2011 Wednesday


David’s Daily Digest

FANTASY FOOTBALL IS BACK!

Now that the NFL owners and players have ironed out their differences and ended this cumbersome lockout, it’s time to start talking fantasy football. We all knew we would end up here in the long run, but with the delay caused by the disruption there is going to be a lot of football activity over the coming weeks with NFL free agency, rookie signings, and possible trades all accelerated.

A lot has already taken place in the few short days since the end of the lockout, but there’s still plenty more that will happen. With players moving from one place to the next, it’s going to be a whole lot of fun to try and figure out what the impact will be with players like McNabb in Minnesota and Hasselbeck in Tennessee. And what about players like Tim Tebow or Tavaris Jackson, what will be there expectations as potentially new starters?

This week and weekend is expected to be a whirlwind of more activity, plenty of player moves to fuel the fantasy fire for the water-coolers on Monday. With that said I will add, it’s good to have football back and this season is already shaping up to be another great year of gridiron action.

After four months of basically inactivity, I am ready for some football!


By David Ortega