FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 10th 2017

Sunday Morning Edition

My DFS Play Today

So for those of you that play daily fantasy sports (DFS), here’s one of my favorite plays for today

My DFS Lineup (Fan Duel)

QB-Derek Carr ($7,700): The Titans will play tough against the run today, forcing Carr and the offense to stick to the air; which is good for DFS. I like Carr’s price against a secondary that allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing QBs in 2016.

RB-Bilal Powell ($6,300): This could be a popular play in DFS today as the Bills were awful against the run last season. Powell may be the Jets best player on offense today and he could see a heavy workload. He’s got a fair value today on Fan Duel and could cash in a couple of scores.

RB-Todd Gurley ($7,300): This should be meaty matchup for Gurley as he could see upwards of 25 carries against a Colts run defense that allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing running backs in 2016.

WR-Michael Crabtree ($6,900): He’s a favorite target of quarterback Derek Carr and is a nice stack at his price. The Colts secondary will be short-handed today without their best cover corner (Vontae Davis); expect Crabtree to find pay-dirt.

WR-AJ Green ($8,400): Green is a beast and should see a hefty volume of targets today. Green did not face Baltimore last season (injury), but in his last five starts against the Ravens Green has scored 6 touchdowns. He loves to torch the Ravens.

WR-Doug Baldwin ($7,500): The Seahawks are on the road to face the Packers in what could be a high scoring affair. Baldwin will line up against a Packers secondary that allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers in 2016. Get him in your lineup!

TE-Zach Ertz ($5,900): This is a great price for Ertz against a Redskins defense that allowed the second most receptions to opposing tight ends in 2016. Ertz is likely to be a popular play, but at his price he’s a must.

K-Dan Bailey ($4,900): To be honest, because you have to start a kicker I am starting Bailey. He has a nice price and the last time he faced the Giants at home he posted 17 fantasy points.

Def-Texans ($5,100): The Texans are at home and draw a very poor Jaguars offense that ranked 24th in fantasy points allowed to opposing defenses in 2016. This looks to be a prime matchup for JJ Watt and company.

That’s My Lineup for Week 1.

~David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: SFFL WEEK 11

Sunday Edition
November 18th, 2012  

Suicide Fantasy Football

Week 11

Week 10 was another moving day as my team posted a solid 106 points. My top scorers last week were quarterback Matthew Stafford (26.46 points), running back Frank Gore (20.50 points), and wide receiver Malcom Floyd (18.30 points). 

This week will offer a lot of favorable matchups for my players of choice and now sitting in the 12th spot this could be the week where my team cracks the top 10.

With my team set to make it’s move, here’s my lineup for week11;

My Line-up 

Quarterback:
With the Saints coming to town, quarterback Carson Palmer will continue to sling the rock all over the sandlot. Palmer is averaging over 50 passes and 390 yards passing in his last two starts. The Saints defense is ranked 31st against the pass (19 touchdowns allowed) and allow the most fantasy points to quarterbacks, this is the week to start Palmer if you have him.

Running Backs:
I have already played running back CJ Spiller (this was the week to start him) and his performance was not great, but did not disappoint with a 16 point effort.

My other ball carrier this week is the Packers running back James Starks. Green Bay is traveling to Detroit in what looks to have the making of a track meet, but Starks has earned the starting gig and should see the majority of carries for the Pack. The Pack will undoubtedly be able to move the ball today and Starks could get a couple of red zone carries. 

Wide Receivers:
Lining up wide for my squad is the Raiders wide receiver Denarius Moore. It only makes sense if the Saints are getting torched by quarterbacks they have to be throwing the ball to someone. If Palmer has a big game today, Moore is going to be a huge benefactor, especially with Heyward-Bey on the shelf today. The Saints also allow the most fantasy points to wide receivers.

My other pass catcher today is the Panthers wide receiver Steve Smith. The speedy wideout has a very nice matchup today facing the Buccaneers 32nd ranked pass defense. Smith was held to just one catch last week against the Broncos, so he’ll be looking to rebound today and should. The Buccaneers defense allow the 2nd most fantasy points to wide receivers and have surrendered the second most completions to wide outs.

Tight End:
I consider this my risky pick going with the Eagles tight end Brent Celek. What I like about Celek today, a rookie quarterback needs a safety blanket and Celek could be just that for quarterback Nick Foles. Celek will also matchup against the Redskins 30th pass defense that allows the 2nd most fantasy points to tight ends; hard to argue these numbers.

Place Kicker:
The Broncos have been rolling and they will be at home today. There’s no place like home and with quarterback Peyton Manning leading the charge the Broncos are sure to see plenty of scoring opportunities; hence my starting place kicker Matt Prater. In a divisional matchup today I expect to see the Broncos to take points when they are available and we could see Prater hitting several kicks today.

Team Defense:
The Jaguars just don’t have any weapons, especially with Maurice Jones-Drew sidelined and with the Texans in town, this is a matchup you can’t ignore. The Texans are coming off a great road win and at home today against the Jags seems like a no-brainer. The Jags offense also allows the 3rd most fantasy points.

These are my picks for week 11.


By David Ortega