FSH NOTEBOOK: SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME

Sunday Edition
December 16th, 2012  

Sunday Morning Gametime

Dez Bryant
The Cowboys wide receiver won’t have any padding to protect the injured finger, so he will be experiencing excruciating pain each time he catches and handles the rock; don’t like the odds for a big game under these circumstances.

David Wilson
The rookie is getting the start and will see plenty of touches today. With his great speed and favorable matchup against the Falcons defense, he has tremendous upside. I like Wilson as a top 10 fantasy RB today.

Roddy White
The Falcons wide receiver was always going to play; this guy has too much heart to sit. Bad knee or not, he’ll get his especially if Ryan is playing catchup or caught in a shootout against the Giants today.

Danario Alexander
The Chargers have a new number one receiver and he’s been hot over the past several weeks. Alexander is a beast and you have to like his matchup against the Panthers today, so start him with confidence.

Darren McFadden
The Raiders may finally see today the Darren McFadden that fantasy owners were hoping they’d see when they drafted back in August. McFadden has a plush matchup at home against a weak Chiefs run defense.

Jonathan Dwyer
The Steelers are a running team and have committed to Dwyer. I like his chances at pounding out a good day with at least a score against the Cowboys 16th ranked run defense.

Josh Freeman
The Saints and Buccaneers could be locked in a shootout; Freeman is going to have to put up numbers today to keep the Bucs in the game. He may not accumulate big yards, because of the team’s success on the ground, but he should see plenty of red=zone opportunities.

Donnie Avery
The Patriots showed on Monday night, what we have been seeing the past several weeks, holes in the Texans secondary. Reggie Wayne will be the focus of the defense which should open up plenty of opportunities for the other Colts receivers including Donnie Avery.

Just a few notes and thoughts for today’s games…

By David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: MY RANKINGS RB (WEEK 15)

Saturday Edition
December 15th, 2012  

My Rankings

(Does not include Thursday’s Game)

Running backs

1. Marshawn Lynch
2. Doug Martin
3. Alfred Morris
4. Adrian Peterson
5. Arian Foster
6. Darren McFadden
7. Jamal Charles
8. Knowshon Moreno
9. David Wilson
10. Chris Johnson

11. CJ Spiller
12. Darren Sproles
13. Shonn Greene
14. Ray Rice
15. DeMarco Murray
16. Frank Gore
17. Matt Forte
18. Trent Richardson
19. Jonathan Dwyer
20. Steven Jackson


My notes: 

Marshawn Lynch (1.266 rushing yards and 9 rushing touchdowns) has been running hard and running well this season and should continue on Sunday against the Bills 28th ranked run defense. Lynch has posted seven 100 yard rushing games this season and has scored in two straight games. Against the Bills (18 rushing touchdowns allowed and 134.5 yards per game allowed) he’s a lock to make it three straight and post his eighth 100-yard game.

The Broncos running game is now led by running back Knowshon Moreno who has totaled 361 yards (273 rushing, 88 receiving) in three games. This Sunday he’s on the road to face the Ravens and their 25th ranked run defense; Moreno has seen an average of 28 touches in his last three games, including 36 last week, so he’s a sure bet to see another heavy load of touches and production.

Running back CJ Spiller will be the feature running back back this week and will see plenty of work, but this Sunday he draws a tough start against the Seahawks 11th ranked run defense. Spiller should still be effective on Sunday, just don’t expect a huge day; 75-85 yards rushing and 20-30 yards receiving, but trips to the end zone could be scarce.

Rookie running back David Wilson will get the start for the Giants on Sunday and he should see plenty of touches, but mixed emotions with this one. Wilson has breakaway speed and big play potential, but without enough film on the kid it’s tough to expect huge numbers. He should still be highly productive against the Falcons 23rd ranked defense, and with his speed there’s always a great chance for a big day.

The Raiders are still the Raiders and with a player like running back Jamal Charles toting the rock, he’s always a threat for the homerun. Charles is ranked 5th this season in the league with 1,220 yards rushing and he’s coming off a big performance a week ago. The Raiders allow more than 130 yards on the ground and have allowed 17 rushing touchdowns this season; it has the making for only Charles second 100-yard rushing game against the Raiders in 5 seasons.


By David Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Friday Edition
December 14th, 2012  

David’s Daily Digest

Sunday Favorites

Alexander Worth Starting
The Chargers and quarterback Philip Rivers have found themselves a new go-to receiver in Danario Alexander. With his 6’5”, 217-lb frame, Alexander is bolting his way up the fantasy receivers charts; over his last five games he’s caught 30 passes for 494 yards receiving and five touchdowns. Alexander seems to be making Charger fans quickly forget about Vincent Jackson and with his current play, he’s becoming a favorite of fantasy owners. Alexander has been targeted 47 times over his past five games and is clearly on Rivers’ radar as a go-to option; Alexander is a borderline WR1/WR2 every week.

McFadden Ready to Bounce Back
Running back Darren McFadden has not had the type of season many fantasy owners were expecting when they drafted him during their fantasy drafts back in August. Through 14 weeks McFadden has missed four games and only rushed for more than 100 yards on two occasions. Last week in the Raiders loss the Broncos Run-DMC did manage to score for only his third time this season. This Sunday against the Chiefs 27th ranked run defense McFadden will be looking to bounce back; Run-DMC certainly has the potential to break out and the Chiefs are primed to crack. The Chiefs allow 4.6 yards per carry, over 130 yards per game and 17 run plays of 20 yards or more (most in the league); this is a good week to start McFadden.

Wilson the Hot Flavor this Week
The Giants will be without running back Ahmad Bradshaw (ruled OUT) this Sunday against the Falcons, opening the door for the speedy rookie running back David Wilson. Last week Wilson impressed on special teams and with a tasty matchup this week against the Falcons 23rd ranked run defense he looks ready to impress in the starting role. The Falcons allow almost 5 yards per carry and have surrendered 14 rushing touchdowns this season; Wilson is the hot start off the waiver wire this week.

Beast-mode Returns to Buffalo
The Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch returns to Buffalo on Sunday where his career began. Lynch was drafted in the first round by the Bills in the 2007 draft. This Sunday he brings his beast-mode to Ralph Wilson Stadium where he’ll face the 28th ranked run defense. Lynch has seven 100-yard rushing games this season and looks like a good bet to make it eight on Sunday. He’s a Top-10 fantasy start.

Madden-Curse no match for Megatron
Despite being on the cover of the famous Madden Game, Calvin Johnson continues to defy the infamous curse. It’s been a lean year for touchdowns this season for Megatron, but he continues to post big numbers each week. Johnson has posted six straight 100-yard receiving games (averaging 151 yards per game) and has 9 total this season. Johnson has also scored in four of his last five contests (5 touchdowns this season). This Sunday he matches up against the Cardinals 5th ranked secondary, but these days averaging nearly 15 targets per game (over his last five starts) it makes little difference who Megatron faces; he’s a must start every Sunday.

Morris Ready to Carry the Load
The Redskins rookie running back Alfred Morris has been running well for the Redskins this season with six 100 yard rushing games under his belt, including three straight. With the Redskins set to square off versus the Browns, Morris will have a great chance to make it four straight against the 17th ranked run defense. Morris is also averaging more than 22 touches over his last four starts, so fantasy owners have to like his chances at hitting the century mark on Sunday. Morris is a top-15 fantasy start.

More takes for week 15.


By David Ortega