FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 8th, 2023

Friday Late-Evening Edition

TNF Recap Lions-Chiefs

• 20 plus carries for Montgomery - At least for the moment this doesn’t seem like much of a timeshare with Montgomery outpacing Jahmyr Gibbs 21-9 in touches on Thursday night. But it’s just one game and Gibbs did display some electricity and flash. Per the team, Gibbs will see his usage increase going forward.
• Conservative play calling for Lions - I was not a big fan of what I saw on Thursday night. It seemed to me the Lions were a bit conservative with the playcalling. With the Chiefs missing D-lineman Chris Jones, I expected to see more than 35 passes (to 34 runs) from the Lions.
• Chiefs WRs a mess - The Chiefs wide receiver room is a mess. The team had too many drops and not enough plays from their receivers. Receivers Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore combined for one reception for one yard on 8 targets. No overreaction here, but both belong on fantasy benches for the time being.
• Mahomes could be facing a long season - With Kelce out, it was a rough outing for Mahomes and some of his receivers didn’t help him out much.I’d expect Kelce’s status to be questionable heading into week 2. Should he end up missing a second game, the Chief's could face the strong chance of dropping another game when they hit the road and head to Jacksonville.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

 

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

August 28th, 2023

Monday Evening Edition

Fantasy Sleepers: Diamonds in the Rough

One of the secrets to success in fantasy football is not only drafting your studs, and avoiding injuries (usually an impossibility), but finding hidden value in your drafts and throughout the season. During the season, injuries are going to happen, so work the Waiver-wire every week.

But right now, it’s Draft season, so what we are looking for are those sleepers or Diamonds in the Rough.

In Kansas City, with the departure of Tyreek Hill in 2022 (to Miami), the Chiefs had to put together a makeshift receiving core with a lot of names and different faces. One name and one face that will be returning in 2023 is 2nd year wideout, Skyy Moore. Last season Moore barely saw any airtime in the Chiefs high octane offense, but 2023 presents a huge opportunity for the young receiver. The 2022 Second round pick will have a great shot at a completely different outlook in 2023. Listed as the team’s number two wideout, Moore is poised to take huge strides forward this season and with a 10th round ADP, he’s got tremendous value as a sleeper with high return.

An even deeper sleeper I will be eyeing beyond the 12th round with a current ADP of 13.04, is the Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs. The off-season changes in Green Bay may have many looking elsewhere for fantasy impact, but last season Doubs did display a little something to catch the eye of fantasy owners. This preseason he has been sharp and with a 3rd year quarterback who looks primed for a nice season himself, Doubs and (Jordan) Love are already showing some nice chemistry. Doubs is not going to blow off the doors, but he was second leading wide receiver on the team with 42 receptions (and 67 targets). With Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb now in New York, there are over 140 targets available. Doubs has lots of flex appeal in 2023.

Last season in Denver there was so much disappointment with how the team performed, in particular the offense. The Russell Wilson led passing attack was mediocre at best and none of their wide receivers finished in the Top-20. While that was bad, one good thing that came out of last season was the arrival of tight end Greg Dulcich. Dulcich missed the first five games due to injury, but from week 6 on he played in 10 games, finishing as the No.17 fantasy tight end with 33 receptions, 411 yards receiving, and 2 touchdowns. His scoring line is hardly anything to get excited about, but there’s great potential. Dulcich is a highly skilled and athletic pass catcher and with the arrival of head coach Sean Payton, his skill figure to get utilized. His average ADP at 14.02, puts him at an early TE2 and late enough to draft a late round stash. In Payton’s offense Dulcich should have a chance at being a solid TE1. 

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega