FSH NOTEBOOK: WEEK 3 FF SITS

September 23rd, 2023

David’s Daily Digest

Saturday Afternoon Edition

Fantasy Football Week 3

Sit’Ems

My week 3 Sits for Sunday and Monday.

Looking ahead to this weekend, I have a list of players that I am not dropping (if on my roster) ahead of Sunday, but rather going to navigate around. Whether it is the effect of weather, dealing with an injury, or just a bad matchup, I am looking to avoid the following players for Sunday and Monday of Week 3.

QB-Joe Burrow (Bengals) - The Bengals signal caller, Joe Burrow is dealing with a calf injury and his status for Monday night is not looking good. He has yet to live up to the draft capital invested in him, so it is concerning to hear he is less than 100 percent and may not play. The Bengals are in the late window, so waiting for game-time status would be tough. Unless I hear anything to the effect of remarkable improvement, I am going to avoid this situation and sit Burrow.

RB-AJ Dillon (Packers) - With the latest reports indicating running back Aaron Jones could return this week, I am looking to avoid Dillon for the time being. Even with Jones out last week, Dillon slotted in at fantasy RB33. Even if Dillon is again the lead back this week, he’s facing a tough 13th ranked Saints run defense. Through two games Dillon has 28 carries for 74 yards for a career low average of 2.6 yards per carry. Sit him.

WR-Allen Lazard (Jets) - If you were anything like me, with quarterback Aaron Rodgers under center, Lazard seemed like a nice late round pick in fantasy drafts. With the loss of Rodgers (achilles), Lazard is no longer starter worthy. He’s barely worth rostering, but for now I will hold him for another week.

WR-Kadarius Toney (Chiefs) - It’s hard to stay patient with Toney. Through two games this season he’s just been bad. Too many drops, just six catches for 36 yards on 10 carries. The Chiefs matchup this week looks favorable, but after these first two games I just don’t trust Toney. With Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback, it is likely that he’ll get this turned around at some point and sooner than later, but for now he’s on my bench.

 

TE-Chigoziem Okonkwo (Titans) - The Titans tight end is off to a rough start (No.43 fantasy tight end) with just 4 catches for 35 yards in two games this season. The Titans are not a high volume passing team, so Okonkwo’s chances will be limited and with just six targets in two games, I’ll need to see a greatly improved target share before I can trust him in my lineup.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

August 28th, 2023

Monday Evening Edition

Fantasy Sleepers: Diamonds in the Rough

One of the secrets to success in fantasy football is not only drafting your studs, and avoiding injuries (usually an impossibility), but finding hidden value in your drafts and throughout the season. During the season, injuries are going to happen, so work the Waiver-wire every week.

But right now, it’s Draft season, so what we are looking for are those sleepers or Diamonds in the Rough.

In Kansas City, with the departure of Tyreek Hill in 2022 (to Miami), the Chiefs had to put together a makeshift receiving core with a lot of names and different faces. One name and one face that will be returning in 2023 is 2nd year wideout, Skyy Moore. Last season Moore barely saw any airtime in the Chiefs high octane offense, but 2023 presents a huge opportunity for the young receiver. The 2022 Second round pick will have a great shot at a completely different outlook in 2023. Listed as the team’s number two wideout, Moore is poised to take huge strides forward this season and with a 10th round ADP, he’s got tremendous value as a sleeper with high return.

An even deeper sleeper I will be eyeing beyond the 12th round with a current ADP of 13.04, is the Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs. The off-season changes in Green Bay may have many looking elsewhere for fantasy impact, but last season Doubs did display a little something to catch the eye of fantasy owners. This preseason he has been sharp and with a 3rd year quarterback who looks primed for a nice season himself, Doubs and (Jordan) Love are already showing some nice chemistry. Doubs is not going to blow off the doors, but he was second leading wide receiver on the team with 42 receptions (and 67 targets). With Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb now in New York, there are over 140 targets available. Doubs has lots of flex appeal in 2023.

Last season in Denver there was so much disappointment with how the team performed, in particular the offense. The Russell Wilson led passing attack was mediocre at best and none of their wide receivers finished in the Top-20. While that was bad, one good thing that came out of last season was the arrival of tight end Greg Dulcich. Dulcich missed the first five games due to injury, but from week 6 on he played in 10 games, finishing as the No.17 fantasy tight end with 33 receptions, 411 yards receiving, and 2 touchdowns. His scoring line is hardly anything to get excited about, but there’s great potential. Dulcich is a highly skilled and athletic pass catcher and with the arrival of head coach Sean Payton, his skill figure to get utilized. His average ADP at 14.02, puts him at an early TE2 and late enough to draft a late round stash. In Payton’s offense Dulcich should have a chance at being a solid TE1. 

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega