Saturday, February 5, 2011

FSH NOTEBOOK: THE SATURDAY FANTASY REPORT

February 5th, 2011 Saturday
The Saturday Fantasy Report

How Will They Play On Sunday

Super Sunday Forecast
Aaron Rodgers:
With a strong arm and quick release, the Packers signal caller should have little trouble navigating his offense up and down the field through the air. Rodgers finished the 2010 season with nearly 4,000 yards passing and 28 touchdowns, on Sunday the Steelers secondary will see up close much better this kid grown since their 2009 meeting.
(My prediction; 24 of 36 passing, 325 yards passing, three touchdowns, 25 yards rushing)

Greg Jennings:
Jennings has been an unstoppable force the past couple of games with 16 receptions and 231 yards receiving. Jennings caught 12 touchdown passes during the regular season, but has yet to reach pay-dirt in the playoffs. In the 2009 matchup Jennings was big with five catches and more than 100 yards receiving; he was also able to beat the Steelers secondary for a score. He will be a prime target for Rodgers in the red-zone and over the top.
(My prediction; 6 receptions, 105 yards receiving, one touchdown)

Ben Roethlisberger:
The Steelers big-armed quarterback will be called on frequently Sunday to make plays against the Packers 5th ranked defense. While Big Ben has been relatively quiet in the playoffs he did pass for 3,200 yards and toss 17 touchdowns in 12 games during the 2010 regular season. Big Ben set a career high with 503 yards passing last season against the Packers; he may not have another 500-yard game, but he’s going to be a busy man on Super Sunday.
(My prediction; 25 of 40 passing, 275 yards passing, two touchdowns, one interception, 15 yards rushing)

Rashard Mendenhall:
The Steelers normally a much better run team ranked just 11th this season on the ground. Running back Rashard Mendenhall led the club with nearly 1,300 yards rushing and 13 touchdowns. On Sunday the Black and Gold will lean heavily on Mendenhall early to chew clock, set the tempo, and control the line of scrimmage, but once they fall behind the against the Packers explosive offense they will have to rely more on Big Ben to keep pace.
(My prediction; 18 carries, 75 yards rushing, two receptions 10 yards, one touchdown)

Packers Defense:
The biggest key to a Packers win on Sunday could simply lie with the effectiveness of their pass rush against the Steelers’ offense. The Packers defense finished the 2010 regular season 47 sacks and 24 interceptions ranking second in both categories. On Sunday they will use a complex and aggressive pass rushing scheme to confuse and get to the Steelers’ quarterback. They will surrender some yards, but they will also make some plays.
(My prediction; five sacks, one interceptions, and two fumbles)

Notables to watch…

Tight end Andrew Quarless may not be in line to see a whole lot of passes his direction, but with the Steelers struggles against opposing tight ends, expect head coach Mike McCarthy to try and exploit any mismatches. Quarless is not the same athelete as Jermichael Finley, but he is nearly as big a target and could come up big in the red zone.

The Packers secondary will be looking to take away Steelers’ wide receiver (and Big Ben’s favorite target) Mike Wallace, who has been quiet in the post season, look for rookie receiver Emmanuel Sanders to possibly pick up some of the slack. Sanders has five grabs and 74 yards receiving in the playoffs.

Just my take

By David Ortega

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