Sunday
morning Edition
September
7th, 2014
David’s
Daily Digest
SUNDAY MORNING GAMETIME
Numbers to help the Cause
With the Week 1 Sunday
kickoff just hours away, fantasy owners are scrambling to make those last
minutes tweaks to their lineups. If you are like me, I am always looking for
data and numbers to help me find the best plays for Sunday.
Here are some of the
numbers you should know for week 1;
Even though the Rob Ryan
Saints defense only allowed the 5th fewest fantasy points to
opposing quarterbacks last season, Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan has had success in the past throwing the ball. In 4 of
his last 6 starts versus the Saints Ryan has thrown for more than 300 yards. In
his one game last season against the Saints when he had all of his weapons Ryan
also completed 65 percent of his passes and threw two touchdowns.
Facing the Ravens defense
at home today, Bengals quarterback Andy
Dalton may be one to avoid. In his two starts last season against Baltimore
Dalton has been picked off seven times, including four at home in the finale.
The Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer was coming off the board
as a mid QB-2 in most drafts and even later in some. He’s been a little overlooked,
but in 2013 in the second half of the season Palmer showed some glimmer. In his
last 8 starts he completed over 60 percent of his passes in five of those,
throwing multiple touchdowns in 5 of those contests as well. Palmers’ numbers
down the stretch were not out of this world, but they should not be overlooked;
295 yards passing per game, 14 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Monday night he’ll
face the Chargers secondary that allowed the 8th most fantasy points
to opposing quarterbacks.
The Bills will use a committee
of both running back CJ Spiller and
running back Fred Jackson (both were
top 30 running backs in fantasy last season). Even with a lesser experienced
quarterback (E.J. Manuel) under center, both should find success on the ground
facing the Bears defense today. Last season Chicago allowed the second most
fantasy points to running backs, including 19 rushing touchdowns, 2nd
most. Both Spiller and Jackson should be safe plays today.
There’s been little talk
about Texans running back Arian Foster,
and more importantly no talk about any injuries. A healthy Foster facing a
suspect Redskins run defense could spell for a big day. Foster has the talent to
blow up and with the Redskins allowing the 4th most fantasy points
to opposing running backs and 20 rushing touchdowns (most in the league) last
season, he could be fantasy gold.
Just some numbers to know
for Sunday week 1.
~David Ortega
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