FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 14th, 2022

Wednesday Evening Edition

Week 2 Thursday Night Showdown

There's not much to say about this one, except strap yourself in this is gonna be a wild ride on Thursday night. Two of the league's top star quarterbacks and two of Fantasy football's top scorers will meet in this matchup, with Justin Herbert (Chargers) facing Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs).

In week one Mahomes was the top fantasy QB, passing for 360 yards and throwing five touchdowns. Not to be completely outdone, Herbert was the No.5 fantasy quarterback passing for 279 yards and three scores. 

The good news for fantasy owners, Herbert and his receivers will face the Chiefs secondary that surrendered the 6th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, while Mahomes leads the number one scoring (44 points) and number two offense (488 yards) in the league.

Herbert connected with 11 different receivers in week 1, so even with Keenan Allen shelved this week, he'll have plenty of pass-catching options. In week 1 (WR) Mike Williams, (RB) Austin Ekeler, (TE) Gerald Everett, (WR) DeAndre Carter, (WR) Tre' McKitty, (WR) Joshua Palmer, and (WR) Keenan Allen all were targeted 4 times each. The end result is with Allen out tomorrow night Herbert is likely to spread the ball around quite a bit, but I am leaning on Big Mike Williams.

On the home front, I would expect Mahomes and company to do what they do. In this one, Travis Kelce will be expected to see his usual 7-10 targets, but I would also look for JuJu Smith-Schuster (8 targets) to once again lead the wideouts. Despite seeing fewer targets than Mecole Hardman (6 targets, 3/16/0 line in week 1) in week 1, Marques Valdes-Scantling (4 targets) is the favorable bet to post relevant fantasy numbers posting a 4/44/0 line in week 1.

This matchup has the makings of a good old-fashion aeriel shootout, invest heavy in pass catchers in this one, including out of the backfield; Ekeler (4 week 1 targets), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (3 week 1 targets), and Jerrick McKinnon (4 week 1 targets).

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 13th, 2022

Tuesday afternoon Edition

Week 1 Aches, Fakes, Makes, 

and All My Takes...

Josh Allen plays like Superman, 297 yards passing, 3 touchdowns. Stud!

Diggs is huge against the Rams in season opener with 8/122/1 line!

Kupp unstoppable in week 1 matchup with 13/128/1 line

No Cam Akers in week 1, just three touches zero yards, Avoid!

Full blown committee in Buffalo, Moss leads backfield with 12 touches.

Wentz has big week 1 with 4 touchdowns, Waiver P/U

Curtis Samuel 11 targets needs to be rostered!

Zay Jones nine targets in Week1, Waiver P/U

Christian Kirk solid in first game with new team.

Right now its the Antonio Gibson show until further notice!

Be patient with Diontae Johnson, 10 targets in week one good sign.

Hayden Hurst a viable streamer with 7 targets in week 1.

Chase Claypool a solid flex with 10 touches in week 1

Robbie Anderson needs to be rostered 8 targets in week 1!

Slow start for CMC, but 14 touches and 4 targets in week 1.

Kareem Hunt will be a pain with 15 touches in week 1

Donovan People-Jones needs to be rostered with 11 targets in week 1

Kyle Pitts quiet, but did have 7 targets in week 1

Jameis Winston bounces back in 2nd half, for solid week 1.

Patterson with 25 touches and 136 scrimmage yards is feature back in Atlanta!

Drake London solid with 5 catches on 7 targets.

Jarvis Landry is more than relevant in NO with 9 targets in week 1.

Michael Thomas solid in week 1 with 5 catches on 8 targets

D'Andre Swift off to great start in 2022. Stud

Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the Lions passing attack with 12 targets

AJ Brown a monster showing in week 1, Weekly Stud!

Hurts looks great in opening weekend on the road

Sanders totals over 100 scrimmage yards in week 1

Kenyan Drake leads Ravens backfield with 12 touches

Andrews quiet but leads team with 7 targets

Full blown committee in Jets backfield.

Full blown committee in Texans backfield.

Rex Burkhead leads Texans backfield with 19 touches.

Michael Pittman Jr. is the go-to in Indy with 13 targets in week 1

Jonathan Taylor with monster outing in week 1, 175 scrimmage yards

Tua Tagovailoa has a good showing in week 1

Jaylen Waddle comes alive in 2nd half posts 4/69/1 line

The Freak gets peppered with 12 targets in week 1. Stud

Chase Edmonds the lead back in week 1 with 16 touches

Devante Parker big disappointment in week 1 with one catch on 2 targets

Jakobi Meyers paces the way for Patriots receivers with 6 targets and 4 catches

Full blown committee in Patriots backfield

David Montgomery paces the Bears backfield with 20 touches in week 1

Elijah Mitchell goes down in week 1, headed for IR.

Patrick Mahomes is fantasy monster in week 1. No#1 Fantasy QB

Travis Kelce unstoppable with 8/121/1 line on 9 targets.

Rookie Isiah Pacheco leads ground attack with 12 carries.

CEH scores twice on 10 touches.

JuJu second in pecking order with 8 targets

Greg Dortch leads Cardinals aerial attack with 7 receptions and 9 targets

Hollywood Brown finds endzone, posts 4/43/1 line on 6 targets

James Conner totals 55 scrimmage yards on 15 touches, but finds endzone.

Barkely looks healthy, shines in week 1 with 194 scrimmage yards and a score

Giants passing games struggles a bit allowing 5 sacks

Richie James sees 6 targets, posts 5/59/0 line.

Kadarius Toney quiet with two touches in week 1.

Henry sees 21 touches totals 82 yards on the ground

Hilliard involved in offense with 69 scrimmage yards and two scores

Robert Woods non-factor in week 1 with one catch

Kyle Phillips leads Titans received with 6 catches and 9 targets

Darren Waller does little in week, 4 receptions for 79 yards

Davante Adams peppered with 17 targets in week 1

Josh Jacobs leads backfield with 11 touches, but just one target

Austin Ekeler held in check, 72 yards on 18 touches.

Herbert sharp in week one, 279 passing with 3 touchdowns.

Gerald Everett grabs 3 balls for 54 yards and a score on 4 targets

Mike Williams only two grabs on 4 targets (tied for team lead)

Cousins plays well with 277 yards passing and 2 scores

Justin Jefferson plays big with 9/184/2 line in week 1

Cook tallies 23 touches for 108 scrimmage yards

Rodgers struggles with poor showing from receiving corp.

AJ Dillon out-touches Aaron Jones, 15-8.

Rookie receiver Romeo Doubs leads wideouts with 5 targets.

Tom Brady has quiet night vs Cowboys, passes for 212 yards with 1 score.

Fournette plays featured role, leads backfield with 21 carries for 127 yards.

Mike Evans leads passing attack with 7 targets, posts 5/71/1 line

Julio Jones has fresh legs, grabs 3 balls for 69 yards.

CeeDee Lamb has quiet night (2/29/0 line) but is targeted 11 times

Zeke only totals 49 yards of offense on 11 touches.

Pollards does little with 22 yards on 8 touches.

Schultz lone bright spot with 7 grabs for 62 yards on 9 targets.

Noah Brown emerges as WR2 with 5/68/0 line.

Williams paces Broncos with 18 touches for 108 scrimmage yards.

Gordon contributes with 72 scrimmage yards on 14 touches.

Jerry Jeudy leads Broncos receivers with 4/102/1 line on 7 targets

Sutton targeted 7 times, posts 4/72/0 line

Wilson passes for 340 yards but only one touchdown.

Geno Smth plays well, throws two scores in Monday night win.

DK Metcalf catches 7 passes on 7 targets

Penny runs well but limited to 12 carries for 60 rushing yards. 

Will Dissly snags 3 balls for 43 yards and score.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 10th, 2022

Saturday Evening Edition

NFL WEEK 1: FFSJ BUYS & SELLS

There's nothing like an NFL Sunday morning, a day filled with NFL games from dawn to dusk and for this Fantasy gamer, it's like Christmas has come early. Week one has already begun with one game in the books, but now it's time to focus in on Sunday's slate, filled with 14 games.

Every week fantasy football season long, dynasty, Auction, and DFS players want to know where should they invest their money, what players should they bank on, what are the smart plays, and which are the ones to avoid. the Fantasy Football Street Journal will offer the week one Buys, Sells, and Blue Chips stocks to invest.

Week 1 Buys

RB-Josh Jacobs (Raiders)

The Raiders have a big weapon in the huddle this season with the acquisition of wide receiver Davante Adams. His presence is going to open up a lot of things on the offensive side for the Raiders, including in the run game. Raiders running back Josh Jacobs will face a Chargers defense that allowed the 3rd most rushing yards in 2021. I am buying a lot of Jacobs stock in week 1.

WR-AJ Green (Arizona)

Vegas is calling the Kansas City-Arizona the shootout of the week, with the over/under set at 53 points. With so many points on the board expected, I am investing a lot of stock in this matchup, including the likes of Cardinals wide receiver AJ Green. He's kind of the forgotten man in the Cardinals offense this season, but with no Hopkins (suspended) and Rondale Moore already ruled out, Green becomes a strong flex play with upside. I am buying.

WR-JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

In the same matchup (Chiefs-Cards) I am expecting to see a lot of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, airing it out quite a bit and I like one of his newest additions, JuJu Smith-Schuster. Just (4) seasons ago, Smith Schuster posted 111 catches for 1,426 yards as a Steeler, so he is more than capable of playing big. His numbers have been quite off in recent seasons, but now he's got a new signal caller with a great arm. I'm buying lots of JuJu in week 1.

WR-Christian Kirk (Jaguars)

This may be one of my bold predictions based on reading a book by its cover. Last season Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk looked like one of the Cardinals best receivers playing alongside DeAndre Hopkins and AJ Green. In 2021 Kirk posted career highs in receptions and yards. Now he's the de facto number one option in Jacksonville facing a Commanders secondary that allowed the 6th most receptions to opposing wide receivers. And if the preseason is any indication Kirk looks to be the go-to receiver in the Jags pass game. I am buying Kirk in week 1.

Week 1 Sells

RB-Kareem Hunt (Browns)

All the way around, an opening road matchup for the Browns, no Deshaun Watson, and the outlook looks bleak at best. Browns running back Kareem Hunt is the second option out of the backfield and will face a Panthers defense that allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points (NFL.com) to opposing running backs. The Panthers defense was middle of the road in yards allowed, but where they excelled was defending the pass; 2nd fewest receptions and fewest receiving yards allowed to opposing running backs. Hunt in week 1 is a sell for me; avoid starting if you have other options.

RB-Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Chiefs)

Despite the fireworks that are expected in the Chiefs-Cardinals matchup on Sunday, I would expect most of the Chiefs damage to come by way of the air. The Chiefs have so many options in the pass game and following a 2021 season where CEH was targeted just 23 times in 10 games, it's hard to imagine having a huge impact in this one. CEH is a week one sell for me.

WR-Robert Woods (Titans)

After coming off an injury riddled 2021 season that saw him miss 8 games and post a career low of 69 targets with just 45 receptions for 556 yards receiving, it's hard to imagine the Titans wide receiver Robert Woods bouncing back in 22. The Titans are a heavy run offense, so his opportunities could be limited. I am selling on Woods in week one, until I see different.

(DFS) Blue Chips

QB-Jameis Winston (Saints)

My Blue Chip play for Week 1 is Saints Quarterback Jameis Winston. Outside the top 12 rankings for week 1, Winston returns healthy in 2022 with plenty of weapons and an opportunity to build off a solid, but modified 2021 campaign (just 7 games). Winston is on the road this week playing in Atlanta to face a secondary that allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (NFL.com), including the 3rd most passing touchdowns allowed. The Saints should enjoy some success on the ground in this matchup, opening up some play-action that Winston can capitalize on. He's a great value this week. 

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 8th, 2022

Thursday Afternoon Edition

Thursday Night Matchup

Analytics are not my thing and I can admit I've not done a ton of film study for fantasy football. Just like the consensus that enjoy the game, I watch the preseason games, check the latest updates, follow the injury news reports, and catch as much as I can fantasy football talk on Sirius, iTunes, and cable TV.

With having said all of that, my predictions are no more reliable than your average local weather man; but I like my predictions more.

Looking ahead at the NFL's 2022 opening contest on Thursday night between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams, there are plenty of fantasy football relevant plays, but I think there are plenty of interesting and sneaky plays that warrant your attention.

So let's start with the visiting Bills, aside from the usual suspects, I don't think rookie running James Cook is getting enough run leading up to tonight. Starting Running Back Devin Singletary is not your typical in between the tackles workhorse and Cook could get some Red-zone love tonight. A Cook touchdown in DFS would go a long way.

The Bills passing game will be anchored by (WR) Stefon Diggs, (WR) Gabriel Davis, and (TE) Dawson Know, but don't overlook wide receiver Isaiah McKenzie (if he's healthy for tonight) who could see substantial playing time in the slot tonight away from the Rams DB Jalen Ramsey. If it's not McKenzie, than the new arrival Jamison Crowder could steal a red-zone score for the Bills.

With the Rams, there's no secret the top play is wide receiver Cooper Kupp, but in this matchup I believe the top scoring receiver in tonight's game could very well be the newcomer, Allen Robinson. Robinson is a big target, almost like a very well skilled and reliable hands tight end; he's sure to see plenty of Red-zone work.

Finally, my last mention comes by the way of the latest rumors I am hearing via Mr. Insider himself, Adam Schefter, Rams rookie running back Kyren Williams. with Darrell Henderson considered primarily a pass receiving running back, if start Cam Akers is not at full health and limited, this could open the door to Williams getting a little extra run tonight. He's one to watch.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 5th, 2022

Monday Afternoon Edition

My Fantasy Football TE Rankings

The tight end position doesn't go very deep, but there are plenty of streaming options and potential sleepers if you look beyond the first 5. Here's a look at my Tight End rankings for the Top-15;

1. Travis Kelce

2. Mark Andrews

3. Kyle Pitts

4. Darren Waller

5. George Kittle

6. Dalton Schultz

7. Dallas Goedert

8. TJ Hockenson

9. Zach Ertz

10. Hunter Henry

11. Cole Kmet

12. Dawson Knox

13. Irv Smith Jr

14. Pat Freiermuth

15. Mike Gesicki

The tight end position has limited set-it and forget it talent, once you get past the top 8. The Cardinals tight end Zach Ertz falls right on that border. His upside is his quarterback Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense, but Ertz is entering his 10th season and will be competing with the likes of receivers Marquise Brown, Rondale Moore, AJ Green and DeAndre Hopkins (when he returns from suspension). Big weeks may be far and few in between.

I like tight end Dawson Knox as a piece of the Bills offense, but a lot of his fantasy success in 2021 came by the way of touchdowns. His nine receiving scores tied for the most by tight ends last season and are a big number to duplicate. Fewer scores in 2022 puts Knox in the streaming category.

The Patriots Hunter Henry was a Top-10 fantasy scoring tight end in 2021, although his numbers weren't big; 50 receptions and 603 receiving yards. It was his nine touchdown grabs that were huge. A big number that will be tough to duplicate, but with a full year under his belt with the same quarterback, the Patriots big receiving target is going to be featured in the Red Zone once again in 2022. He should also see a slight tick in his targets share this season that could elevate his fantasy production to top ten neighborhood.

Two sleepers that did not make my Top-15 are the Packers Robert Tonyan and the Commanders Logan Thomas. Both are coming off injuries, but when healthy will be parts of an offense that lacks a lot of dependable receiving options. Both should have plenty of opportunities in 2022.

That's my take!

~David G. Ortega