Sunday, September 29, 2013

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Sunday Edition
September 29th, 2013 
 





David’s Daily Digest

(Week 4) Sunday Notes


It’s Game-Day again and after four weeks, you would think this would get easier. It does and it doesn’t, just with three weeks of data to sort through things can get a little confusing. So with today’s kickoff only hours away, I have a few notes and opinions I will share regarding today’s matchups.

First, let’s start at the top with the quarterbacks. With 15 line-ups set for this week, I have had a chance to consider many, but when setting my perfect line-up there’s only one that fits; Peyton Manning. There’s little doubt anyone would be sitting Peyton today, but let me add a couple of names to the top of this list to consider.

The Cowboys are traveling to San Diego today and I really like quarterback Tony Romo’s matchup. The Chargers allow the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and Romo is coming off a strong week 3 performance. And with wideout Miles Austin OUT, I expect to see Romo really work to get the ball into the hands of his wide receiver Dez Bryant; Chargers allow the 6th most fantasy points to wide receivers.

In  a game abroad that offers little interest, I expect to see plenty of fantasy influence in the Vikings-Steelers matchup. Other than running back Adrian Peterson, the Vikes really have little fantasy appeal, but with quarterback Matt Cassel under center, the results could be interesting (interesting, not favorable).

On the other side however, I think the matchup for quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is favorable. Big Ben will face the Vikes secondary that allows the 12th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, as well as the second most passing touchdowns this season (only the Rams are worse). Big Ben is also coming off a huge Sunday night showing a week ago, so he and his favorite target wide receiver Antonio Brown (13 targets last week) could be looking for an encore performance. To note, the Vikings are tied for the 9th most receptions allowed to opposing wide receivers.

Speaking of the wide receiver position, I will be sitting Andre Johnson today. He’s a little banged up and I really don’t like his matchup this week against the Seahawks. That doesn’t mean quarterback Matt Schaub won’t try to get him the ball and that he won’t have a nice out-put, but I do think if he’s lining up against defensive back Richard Sherman, tight end Owen Daniels (start) and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (flex start) could see an increase in looks today. Another busy Texan in the pass game could be running back Arian Foster. I am hearing some folks shying away from Foster, but I think he’s a start for you in PPR leagues.

Moving along to a couple of final notes for today, I am staying away from the Broncos Defense; too much offense and too many plays. Even if the Broncos get up big, the second half could be a lot of garbage time filled with a lot of yards and some late scores.

Lastly, for today’s matchups I have quarterback Tom Brady in one of my perfect lineups. Manning is the safe pick of course, but we can’t forget about Tom Terrific. All of the great things we say about Manning time and time again apply to Tom as well. Brady is without a running game, he’s on the road in a dome tonight; it just feels like a matchup where we could see him throw for a ton. The Falcons also do allow the 11th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and have surrendered 7 touchdowns; keep an eye on wide receiver Aaron Dobson. If you are thin and desperate, he could be a nice sleeper play this week.

That’s my take.


~David Ortega



No comments: