Saturday, September 24, 2022

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST







September 24th, 2022
Saturday Evening Edition

Week 3 Four Horsemen

These are my four favorite plays for Week 3.

QB-Jalen Hurts
Through the first two weeks of the 2022 season, quarterback Jalen Hurts has been incredible. Hurts currently stands as the number 3 fantasy quarterback and 9th overall. This week Hurts will get his shot at a Commanders defense that has surrendered 5 touchdown passes to opposing quarterbacks, which ties for the third most this season. Hurts has been solid in the pass game, completing nearly 70% of his passes, averaging 288 yards passing per game, while adding another 147 yards on the ground with 3 rushing touchdowns. He's primed for another big Sunday.

RB-Dalvin Cook
The Vikings star running back has yet to get out of first gear this season and coming off a sub-par performance last week against the Eagles (just 17 yards rushing), the Lions roll into town just in time. Through the first two weeks of the season, the Lions run defense has allowed over 4 yards per rush and 4 rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. Due to injuries, Cook did not face the Lions last season, but the last time he ran up against Detroit (in 2020), he broke free for 206 yards and 2 scores. It's time for Dalvin to cook.

WR-Nelson Agholor
Thus far in this young 2022 football season, it's been a turn around for the Patriots wideout. Through two weeks Agholor is currently on pace to set career highs in receptions and receiving yards. Last week he broke out with a solid outing grabbing 6 balls for 110 yards and a score. This week he sees a struggling Ravens secondary (most receiving yards allowed to opposing receivers this season) that was just torched by the high-flying Dolphins. Agholor is no Cheetah, but he'll see plenty of volume in this one. He's a strong start for Week 3.

TE-George Kittle
We've yet to see Kittle this season, but we know what we get when he's on the field. With Jimmy G back under center, Kittle return should be impactful in this Sunday matchup against the Broncos. Denver has struggled some covering the tight end spot, allowing the 4th most receptions and 7th most receiving yards to opposing tight ends. In Primetime this sets up to be a great return game for Kittle. He's a Week 3 favorite.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST







September 24th, 2022
Saturday Afternoon Edition

Saturday's Week 3 Quick Takes
(DFS Strong plays)

Big Day for Stafford
The Rams week 3 matchup against the Cardinals should serve Matt Stafford very well. Through the first two weeks this season, the Cards defense has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, including 7 passing touchdowns (Tied for most allowed) and 612 yards passing (4th most allowed this season). In his last three matchups against the Cards in the regular season, Stafford is averaging over 20 fantasy points and 279 passing yards. Week 3 strong play.

Montgomery Ready to Bear Down
The Bears week 2 matchup against the Texans gives running back David Montgomery a great opportunity for a big day. Montgomery will face a Texans defense that has allowed the most rushing yards this season through two weeks, includng allowing 4.86 yards per carry. Facing a defense that has surrendered the 6th most fantasy points this season, Montgomery should see plenty of volume in this one to be a top 10 play. Week 3 strong play.

Dortch Wakes Up in Week 3
The Cardinals wide receiver Greg Dortch may not be a household name, but this Sunday he should be a name to know. Dortch will face a Rams secondary that has allowed the 5th most receptions to opposing receivers and 4th most receiving yards. The Cards receiving corp is pretty thin and with Dortch checking in as the 22nd fantasy scoring receiver (PPR format), he's a good bet to post double-digits this week. Week 3 strong play.

DK Goes Radioactive
The Seahawks passing game has been held in check the first two weeks this season, but this week DK Metcalf and company could find their stride. Metcalf has yet to reach 100 receiving yards for the season, but on Sunday he'll line up against a Falcons secondary that has allowed the 4th most receptions and 7th most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers. The Falcons have also surrendered 5 receiving touchdowns to wideouts, making Metcalf a favorite to find the end zone this Sunday. Week 3 strong play.

It's Kittle Time
It's return of George Kittle this Sunday night against the Broncos and it's a great time to return. Kittle will face a Broncos defense that has struggled to slow the tight end position, allowing the 3rd most fantasy points through two weeks. The Denver defense has surrendered 14 receptions (4th most) and two scores (2nd most) to opposing tight ends, so Kittle's prospects for an impact game look promising. Week 3 strong play

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega

Wednesday, September 14, 2022

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST







September 14th, 2022
Wednesday Evening Edition

Week 2 Thursday Night Showdown


There's not much to say about this one, except strap yourself in this is gonna be a wild ride on Thursday night. Two of the league's top star quarterbacks and two of Fantasy football's top scorers will meet in this matchup, with Justin Herbert (Chargers) facing Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs).

In week one Mahomes was the top fantasy QB, passing for 360 yards and throwing five touchdowns. Not to be completely outdone, Herbert was the No.5 fantasy quarterback passing for 279 yards and three scores. 

The good news for fantasy owners, Herbert and his receivers will face the Chiefs secondary that surrendered the 6th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, while Mahomes leads the number one scoring (44 points) and number two offense (488 yards) in the league.

Herbert connected with 11 different receivers in week 1, so even with Keenan Allen shelved this week, he'll have plenty of pass-catching options. In week 1 (WR) Mike Williams, (RB) Austin Ekeler, (TE) Gerald Everett, (WR) DeAndre Carter, (WR) Tre' McKitty, (WR) Joshua Palmer, and (WR) Keenan Allen all were targeted 4 times each. The end result is with Allen out tomorrow night Herbert is likely to spread the ball around quite a bit, but I am leaning on Big Mike Williams.

On the home front, I would expect Mahomes and company to do what they do. In this one, Travis Kelce will be expected to see his usual 7-10 targets, but I would also look for JuJu Smith-Schuster (8 targets) to once again lead the wideouts. Despite seeing fewer targets than Mecole Hardman (6 targets, 3/16/0 line in week 1) in week 1, Marques Valdes-Scantling (4 targets) is the favorable bet to post relevant fantasy numbers posting a 4/44/0 line in week 1.

This matchup has the makings of a good old-fashion aeriel shootout, invest heavy in pass catchers in this one, including out of the backfield; Ekeler (4 week 1 targets), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (3 week 1 targets), and Jerrick McKinnon (4 week 1 targets).

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega

Tuesday, September 13, 2022

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

September 13th, 2022
Tuesday afternoon Edition

Week 1 Aches, Fakes, Makes, 
and All My Takes...

Josh Allen plays like Superman, 297 yards passing, 3 touchdowns. Stud!
Diggs is huge against the Rams in season opener with 8/122/1 line!
Kupp unstoppable in week 1 matchup with 13/128/1 line
No Cam Akers in week 1, just three touches zero yards, Avoid!
Full blown committee in Buffalo, Moss leads backfield with 12 touches.
Wentz has big week 1 with 4 touchdowns, Waiver P/U
Curtis Samuel 11 targets needs to be rostered!
Zay Jones nine targets in Week1, Waiver P/U
Christian Kirk solid in first game with new team.
Right now its the Antonio Gibson show until further notice!
Be patient with Diontae Johnson, 10 targets in week one good sign.
Hayden Hurst a viable streamer with 7 targets in week 1.
Chase Claypool a solid flex with 10 touches in week 1
Robbie Anderson needs to be rostered 8 targets in week 1!
Slow start for CMC, but 14 touches and 4 targets in week 1.
Kareem Hunt will be a pain with 15 touches in week 1
Donovan People-Jones needs to be rostered with 11 targets in week 1
Kyle Pitts quiet, but did have 7 targets in week 1
Jameis Winston bounces back in 2nd half, for solid week 1.
Patterson with 25 touches and 136 scrimmage yards is feature back in Atlanta!
Drake London solid with 5 catches on 7 targets.
Jarvis Landry is more than relevant in NO with 9 targets in week 1.
Michael Thomas solid in week 1 with 5 catches on 8 targets
D'Andre Swift off to great start in 2022. Stud
Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the Lions passing attack with 12 targets
AJ Brown a monster showing in week 1, Weekly Stud!
Hurts looks great in opening weekend on the road
Sanders totals over 100 scrimmage yards in week 1
Kenyan Drake leads Ravens backfield with 12 touches
Andrews quiet but leads team with 7 targets
Full blown committee in Jets backfield.
Full blown committee in Texans backfield.
Rex Burkhead leads Texans backfield with 19 touches.
Michael Pittman Jr. is the go-to in Indy with 13 targets in week 1
Jonathan Taylor with monster outing in week 1, 175 scrimmage yards
Tua Tagovailoa has a good showing in week 1
Jaylen Waddle comes alive in 2nd half posts 4/69/1 line
The Freak gets peppered with 12 targets in week 1. Stud
Chase Edmonds the lead back in week 1 with 16 touches
Devante Parker big disappointment in week 1 with one catch on 2 targets
Jakobi Meyers paces the way for Patriots receivers with 6 targets and 4 catches
Full blown committee in Patriots backfield
David Montgomery paces the Bears backfield with 20 touches in week 1
Elijah Mitchell goes down in week 1, headed for IR.
Patrick Mahomes is fantasy monster in week 1. No#1 Fantasy QB
Travis Kelce unstoppable with 8/121/1 line on 9 targets.
Rookie Isiah Pacheco leads ground attack with 12 carries.
CEH scores twice on 10 touches.
JuJu second in pecking order with 8 targets
Greg Dortch leads Cardinals aerial attack with 7 receptions and 9 targets
Hollywood Brown finds endzone, posts 4/43/1 line on 6 targets
James Conner totals 55 scrimmage yards on 15 touches, but finds endzone.
Barkely looks healthy, shines in week 1 with 194 scrimmage yards and a score
Giants passing games struggles a bit allowing 5 sacks
Richie James sees 6 targets, posts 5/59/0 line.
Kadarius Toney quiet with two touches in week 1.
Henry sees 21 touches totals 82 yards on the ground
Hilliard involved in offense with 69 scrimmage yards and two scores
Robert Woods non-factor in week 1 with one catch
Kyle Phillips leads Titans received with 6 catches and 9 targets
Darren Waller does little in week, 4 receptions for 79 yards
Davante Adams peppered with 17 targets in week 1
Josh Jacobs leads backfield with 11 touches, but just one target
Austin Ekeler held in check, 72 yards on 18 touches.
Herbert sharp in week one, 279 passing with 3 touchdowns.
Gerald Everett grabs 3 balls for 54 yards and a score on 4 targets
Mike Williams only two grabs on 4 targets (tied for team lead)
Cousins plays well with 277 yards passing and 2 scores
Justin Jefferson plays big with 9/184/2 line in week 1
Cook tallies 23 touches for 108 scrimmage yards
Rodgers struggles with poor showing from receiving corp.
AJ Dillon out-touches Aaron Jones, 15-8.
Rookie receiver Romeo Doubs leads wideouts with 5 targets.
Tom Brady has quiet night vs Cowboys, passes for 212 yards with 1 score.
Fournette plays featured role, leads backfield with 21 carries for 127 yards.
Mike Evans leads passing attack with 7 targets, posts 5/71/1 line
Julio Jones has fresh legs, grabs 3 balls for 69 yards.
CeeDee Lamb has quiet night (2/29/0 line) but is targeted 11 times
Zeke only totals 49 yards of offense on 11 touches.
Pollards does little with 22 yards on 8 touches.
Schultz lone bright spot with 7 grabs for 62 yards on 9 targets.
Noah Brown emerges as WR2 with 5/68/0 line.
Williams paces Broncos with 18 touches for 108 scrimmage yards.
Gordon contributes with 72 scrimmage yards on 14 touches.
Jerry Jeudy leads Broncos receivers with 4/102/1 line on 7 targets
Sutton targeted 7 times, posts 4/72/0 line
Wilson passes for 340 yards but only one touchdown.
Geno Smth plays well, throws two scores in Monday night win.
DK Metcalf catches 7 passes on 7 targets
Penny runs well but limited to 12 carries for 60 rushing yards. 
Will Dissly snags 3 balls for 43 yards and score.

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega

Saturday, September 10, 2022

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST







September 10th, 2022
Saturday Evening Edition

NFL WEEK 1: FFSJ BUYS & SELLS


There's nothing like an NFL Sunday morning, a day filled with NFL games from dawn to dusk and for this Fantasy gamer, it's like Christmas has come early. Week one has already begun with one game in the books, but now it's time to focus in on Sunday's slate, filled with 14 games.

Every week fantasy football season long, dynasty, Auction, and DFS players want to know where should they invest their money, what players should they bank on, what are the smart plays, and which are the ones to avoid. the Fantasy Football Street Journal will offer the week one Buys, Sells, and Blue Chips stocks to invest.

Week 1 Buys

RB-Josh Jacobs (Raiders)
The Raiders have a big weapon in the huddle this season with the acquisition of wide receiver Davante Adams. His presence is going to open up a lot of things on the offensive side for the Raiders, including in the run game. Raiders running back Josh Jacobs will face a Chargers defense that allowed the 3rd most rushing yards in 2021. I am buying a lot of Jacobs stock in week 1.

WR-AJ Green (Arizona)
Vegas is calling the Kansas City-Arizona the shootout of the week, with the over/under set at 53 points. With so many points on the board expected, I am investing a lot of stock in this matchup, including the likes of Cardinals wide receiver AJ Green. He's kind of the forgotten man in the Cardinals offense this season, but with no Hopkins (suspended) and Rondale Moore already ruled out, Green becomes a strong flex play with upside. I am buying.

WR-JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)
In the same matchup (Chiefs-Cards) I am expecting to see a lot of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, airing it out quite a bit and I like one of his newest additions, JuJu Smith-Schuster. Just (4) seasons ago, Smith Schuster posted 111 catches for 1,426 yards as a Steeler, so he is more than capable of playing big. His numbers have been quite off in recent seasons, but now he's got a new signal caller with a great arm. I'm buying lots of JuJu in week 1.

WR-Christian Kirk (Jaguars)
This may be one of my bold predictions based on reading a book by its cover. Last season Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk looked like one of the Cardinals best receivers playing alongside DeAndre Hopkins and AJ Green. In 2021 Kirk posted career highs in receptions and yards. Now he's the de facto number one option in Jacksonville facing a Commanders secondary that allowed the 6th most receptions to opposing wide receivers. And if the preseason is any indication Kirk looks to be the go-to receiver in the Jags pass game. I am buying Kirk in week 1.

Week 1 Sells

RB-Kareem Hunt (Browns)
All the way around, an opening road matchup for the Browns, no Deshaun Watson, and the outlook looks bleak at best. Browns running back Kareem Hunt is the second option out of the backfield and will face a Panthers defense that allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points (NFL.com) to opposing running backs. The Panthers defense was middle of the road in yards allowed, but where they excelled was defending the pass; 2nd fewest receptions and fewest receiving yards allowed to opposing running backs. Hunt in week 1 is a sell for me; avoid starting if you have other options.

RB-Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Chiefs)
Despite the fireworks that are expected in the Chiefs-Cardinals matchup on Sunday, I would expect most of the Chiefs damage to come by way of the air. The Chiefs have so many options in the pass game and following a 2021 season where CEH was targeted just 23 times in 10 games, it's hard to imagine having a huge impact in this one. CEH is a week one sell for me.

WR-Robert Woods (Titans)
After coming off an injury riddled 2021 season that saw him miss 8 games and post a career low of 69 targets with just 45 receptions for 556 yards receiving, it's hard to imagine the Titans wide receiver Robert Woods bouncing back in 22. The Titans are a heavy run offense, so his opportunities could be limited. I am selling on Woods in week one, until I see different.

(DFS) Blue Chips

QB-Jameis Winston (Saints)
My Blue Chip play for Week 1 is Saints Quarterback Jameis Winston. Outside the top 12 rankings for week 1, Winston returns healthy in 2022 with plenty of weapons and an opportunity to build off a solid, but modified 2021 campaign (just 7 games). Winston is on the road this week playing in Atlanta to face a secondary that allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (NFL.com), including the 3rd most passing touchdowns allowed. The Saints should enjoy some success on the ground in this matchup, opening up some play-action that Winston can capitalize on. He's a great value this week. 

That's my take!
~David G. Ortega