Wednesday, August 5, 2026

DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST: 008-26

David’s Daily Digest
August 5th, 2026
Wednesday Evening Edition





Wednesday Watercooler

Over or Undervalued

Matthew Stafford (LAR) Over/Under
He led his team to another NFC Championship appearance last season and finished as the Fantasy QB3 averaging over 20 fantasy points per game. It's definitely early in the fantasy season, but Stafford is currently projecting as the fantasy QB9, coming off the boards in the front end of the 8th round (12 team leagues). Although I only project him a couple of spots higher as the QB7, this feels low for me. I'm surprised, coming off his 2025 season with a career high 46 passing touchdowns, he still has wide receivers Puka Nacua and Davante Adams lining up on the outside. Sure there's the expected regression from 46 touchdowns, but I like his chances of having another strong campaign in 2026 under head coach Sean McVay. 

Michael Wilson (ARZ) Under
He won't come off the boards as a sexy pick in this year's fantasy drafts, but the Cardinals wide receiver Michael Wilson (Current Overall ADP 88.0 WR42 - 12 teams) could bring plenty of value. Wilson was targeted last season 126 times, turning in 78 receptions for 1,006 yards receiving and seven touchdowns. While some may expect his teammate Marvin Harrison Jr to make a greater impact in 2026, it's hard to imagine Wilson falling off too great - a mid WR3 would seem to be the comfort zone with the potential of a back-end fantasy WR2.


Christian Watson (GB) Under
A fantasy favorite of mine, Watson's current ADP is 68.1 overall (fantasy WR33) after a 2025 season where he finished as the fantasy WR19, fantasy-points-per-game. Injuries has always been the issue with this Packer, so this is probably more gut-reaction than anything else, but with Romeo Doubs off to New England and Dontayvion Wicks off to Philly, Watson has a good shot to emerge as the teams Alpha receiver; if he can stay healthy. This is a risk-reward pick, but to get Watson as a late WR3 in the 6th round, he could produce as a top-15, mid-WR2 this season.


D'Andre Swift (CHI) Over
I have Swift in my dynasty league, so I watched enough of him and then rookie running back Kyle Monangai last season to know. In 2025 Swift finished as the fantasy RB17 and Monangai the RB40 (Fpts/gm). I'm sure the popular take here is the gap is going to close for sure. It's highly ulikely Monangai's rise will greatly impact Swift's 250+ touches from last season. With this situation having all of the makings of a timeshare, I would favor Monangai as the popular choice to see more work. Swift's current ADP is 44.7 (fantasy RB21). He's more likely to finish outside the top 30 as an RB3 (12 team leagues), around the same place as Monangai (current ADP overall 99.7) or slightly behind. And yes, there seems to be some very good value with Monangai (in 9th round).

That's My Take.
~David Ortega

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