Saturday, November 16, 2013

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAIVD'S DAILY DIGEST

Friday Edition
November 15th, 2013






David's Daily Digest

WEEK 11: Fantasy Favorites

This fantasy season has been a little topsy-turvy at times, but for the most part through 10 weeks it’s been pretty smooth sailing. My fantasy teams have been fortunate enough to avoid any major injuries and bad luck that can sometimes come along with playing fantasy football.

There is no real science to good fortune and luck in fantasy football other than paying attention, playing the odds, and catching a few breaks here, there, and in between. With that said, as I look at my matchups for week 11, I have a couple of favorites that I will be riding on Sunday (Week 11).

I play in seven head-to-head leagues this season and at the tight end position, I have both Jordan Reed and Antonio Gates in more than one. Reed has been a man that has been heating up of late scoring at least 9 fantasy points in three of his last four starts. Reed is the clear number one TE in Washington and has been targeted 37 times in his last four games; volume and production seem to be his trend and with a healthy matchup against the Eagles (49 receptions allowed are tied for the 7th most) this week.

Like Reed, Gates has been seeing plenty of chances (52 targets in last six games), just hasn’t been seeing the numbers of late, but Sunday could be different. Gates, who has 52 receptions and 612 yards receiving this season, matches up with the Dolphins defense that allows the 8th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, including six touchdowns. Gates has been dry without a score his past five games, but that could all change on Sunday.

On the outside a pair of wideouts that I am liking very much this week are Redskins wide receiver Pierre Garcon and the Broncos Demaryius Thomas. For Garcon owners, week 11 is a sweet matchup against the Eagles defense that allows the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Garcon has been on fire in recent weeks with 21 receptions for 337 yards in his past three games while averaging more than 10 targets per; the Eagles have allowed the most receptions (173) to wide receivers and the second most touchdowns (14). Garcon is set to have a big game this Sunday.

Thomas has emerged as the Broncos go-to and most consistent receiver. Thomas is averaging 10 targets per game in his last three games and over that span has collected 18 balls for 265 yards with 5 touchdowns. The Chiefs do a nice job of slowing down opposing wide receivers (13th fewest fantasy points allowed), but the Broncos have so many weapons and quarterback Peyton Manning is very good at spreading the ball around. You can count on Thomas seeing his share of chances on Sunday and odds are he will produce.

This is my take for Week 11.


~David Ortega


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