Friday, October 25, 2013

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Friday Edition
October 25th, 2013 







David’s Daily Digest

Week 8: Ground Gainers

After looking at matchups this week and watching what has been happening thus far this fantasy football season, it's safe to say the running back position has been less than spectacular. There are only a handful of safe rides (such as Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, & Adrian Peterson) each week, with most of the other options leaving their owners guessing.

These are a couple of my favorites for week 8 that I believe fantasy owners can ride with confidence.

Through seven weeks running back Frank Gore has been very reliable, averaging 78 yards on the ground per game with 5 rushing touchdowns. Gore’s 547 yards rushing this season ranks 4th in the league. This week the 49ers visit the Jaguars (ranked last against the run) who allow over 150 yards per game on the ground at a 4.6 yards per carry clip. Their 9 rushing touchdowns allowed this season are tied for most in the league making Gore a very attractive fantasy play this Sunday.

Like Gore, running back Darren Sproles faces a favorable matchup on Sunday when he lines up against the Bills. The Bills defense is ranked 28th against the run and allow an average of 4 yards per carry this season, but more importantly for Sproles their secondary is poor; ranked 21st versus the pass. Sproles is a versatile back just as effective in the pass game as he is in the run game. With tight end Jimmy Graham limited or sidelined this week, Sproles will not only tote his share of the rock, but will see 10+ targets once again on Sunday; last week he was targeted 12 times.

In the same matchup running back Fred Jackson is looking at a pretty tasty matchup himself. While the Saints have been pretty good on the defensive side of the ball this season, they are still allowing the 13th most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Jackson is also looking more like a solo act with C.J. Spiller not practicing much this week and doubtful for Sunday. Jackson is the 15th leading rusher in the league with 380 yards and has also added 215 yards receiving with 25 receptions. He’s a solid flex and low RB2 in PPR leagues this week.

In New England, week 8 could be the week for running back Stevan Ridley to finally shine. Slowly but surely over the past couple of weeks fantasy owners have been seeing hints with Ridley averaging better than 4.5 yards per carry in his last three starts. Over the same course of time Ridley has carried the ball 42 times and rushed for 199 yards with three rushing scores. This week Ridley gets the Dolphins defense that allows the 5th most fantasy points to opposing running backs including five rushing touchdowns. Ridley should get plenty of chances to produce this Sunday.

That's my take for Week 8 running backs.


~David Ortega



No comments: