Saturday, October 19, 2013

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Saturday Edition
October 19th, 2013 








David's Daily Digest


Week 7: Man Crushes

This is a big week for me in several of my fantasy leagues. In those where I am doing very well (5-1 start) I have a chance to create some separation and another where I am struggling at 2-4, it's a time to make a move and get back into the thick of things.

Facing such a pivotal point of the season, it's no time to start throwing out reason and following one's heart. If I am going to find success this week in any of my fantasy leagues, I need to be smart and read the numbers; numbers never lie.

Numbers that don't lie....

The Chargers roll into Jacksonville this weekend and with a savory matchup for quarterback Philip Rivers facing the Jags defense I have a huge week 7 Man-Crush on tight end Antonio Gates. The Chargers savvy veteran is having a strong 2013 campaign; 36 receptions and 466 yards receiving. Gates looks rejuvenated this season running on healthy legs and facing the Jaguars this week he should keep things rolling. The Jags allow the 8th most fantasy points to tight ends, tied for the 10th most receptions allowed (31) to tight ends, and tied for the 4th most touchdowns allowed (5) to opposing tight ends. These numbers don't lie.

The Eagles will roll out with quarterback Nick Foles this Sunday, who will be making his second consecutive start this season. Last week Foles was slinging it passing for 296 yards and tossing three scores. Tomorrow when he faces the Cowboys secondary, he will be looking at the secondary that allows the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, the 2nd most passing yards (1,974), the 2nd most passing completions (164), and the most touchdowns (14). You have to love these numbers.

The 49ers are on the road this week to face the Tennessee Titans and running back Frank Gore could be licking his chops. Over the past four weeks Gore has been on a tear rushing for 417 yards with two touchdowns averaging more than five yards a pop. This week he faces the defense that allows the 10th most fantasy points to opposing running backs, tied for the 7th most rushing touchdowns allowed (5), and the 7th most rushing yards (585). I like what these numbers are saying.

I recently picked up running back Eddie Lacy in a couple of leagues and I already like what I am seeing. Last week Lacy was strong rushing for 120 yards on 23 carries (5.2 yards per carry) and with a tasty matchup this Sunday he looks good to keeps things moving forward. Tomorrow Lacy will line up against the Browns defense that allows the 12th most fantasy points to opposing running backs, the most rushing touchdowns (6), and the 3rd most receptions (36). Not only do these numbers speak loudly, but they also say the nice PPR possibility.

These are the numbers for week 7 and they don't lie.

That's my take.


~David Ortega





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