Saturday, October 12, 2013

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST

Saturday Edition
October 12th, 2013 
 





David’s Daily Digest

Week 6: Diamonds in the Rough

After five weeks of NFL action if some fantasy owners are anything like me, injuries and poor play are now playing havoc with my weekly line-ups; what's an owner to do. Fortunately for the waiver wire, but when the well starts to run dry and it is amazing how fast that can happen after just five weeks, where do we look for help.

In general I have managed to find early success in most of my fantasy league, but entering week 6 I am seeing some holes here and there that I now need to address. Where do I find my help?

The waiver wire has been a friend this season as it usually has in most, but with the talent well drying up, it's time to start really looking deep for that hidden talent or talent that has yet to shine; or what I like to call "Diamonds in the Rough." There's been some evidence of a few, and with the season moving along and no time to spare I believe now is the time to start making some moves and taking some chances that could pay big dividends.

Last week the Houston Texans lost tight end Owen Daniels for an extended period of time (min 8 weeks) and suddenly Garrett Graham looks like a polished gem. Graham will move into the starting role and likely assume the number tight end position in the passing game. It's not like Graham has been a stranger to the Texans passing game, through five games he has 15 receptions, including 3 touchdowns, and 141 yards receiving on 21 targets. The Texans like to use the tight end a lot and run a lot of sets with multiple tight ends. With Daniels out, Graham should see a significant rise in his targets and greater production. He definitely needs to be owned and could be a diamond that's ready to shine as a low-end TE1 or high TE2 (up to fantasy playoffs).

The season is long, so fortunately if you keep turning stones, you can uncover plenty of hidden talent. Injuries will always play a big part in fantasy and one's misfortune is often another's big break which could be the case for Falcons wide receiver Harry Douglas. With a foot injury cutting the season of Julio Jones short, Douglas is suddenly elevated to a fantasy starting role. Through five games Douglas has been relatively quiet, more of a complimentary piece to Jones and (Roddy) White, but could now see his 5.2 targets per game greatly increased. While Douglas may be limited as a scoring threat for standard leagues, he's a diamond that will offer great appeal in PPR leagues and leagues with yardage bonuses.

One more jewel from my notebook is another wide receiver that's there's not a lot of talk about at the moment; the Chargers Vincent Brown. In 2011 Brown came on to the scene and looked like a young up-and-coming talent for the Chargers; that was before injury would end his 2012 campaign after two weeks. Brown is healthy and with the whole complexion of the Chargers receiving core much different now, he has a chance to emerge as one of quarterback Philip Rivers’ go-to receivers. Over the past two weeks Brown has not been lighting it up, but there are signs this kids is warming up; 15 reception and 158 yards receiving on 18 targets. I don't believe these numbers are misleading, Brown has talent and with the lack of a reliable ground game Rivers is going to continue to put the ball in the air. Grab this diamond before his shine is too great to hide.

That's my take.


~David Ortega




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