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Saturday, January 28, 2017

FSH NOTEBBOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST









January 27th, 2017
Friday Night Late Edition

Friday Fantasy Fixx

There are no games this weekend, but that doesn’t mean we can’t talk some fantasy football on a Friday night and look ahead to the Super Bowl.

This is not the match up I was expecting, although I am not surprised; both teams are well deserving. I think last week, quarterbacks Matt Ryan and Tom Brady just rose above and out-played the competition to get here.

Now there are no games this weekend to discuss, so I won’t give opinion on plays or matchup just yet. The good news for us football fans, heading into next weekend, both teams should be as healthy as they have ever been this season; a lot of fantasy play options available.

Without going into too much detail, my overall impression of this matchup is going to be one high scoring affair. I’m not aware of the current over/under, but I would confidently put it at 61.5 points. There’s no way both teams are not scoring at least 4 touchdowns each, if not more.

I will give credit to both defenses, they are stock with good players and they will make plays, but both offenses are just loaded with too many playmakers and too many big plays.

The last time I saw a matchup of similar proportion was the Super Bowl 13-Steelers and Cowboys. Both teams were loaded with talent, playmakers, and greatness. I’m pretty sure we have that covered in this one with names like Tom Terrific, Matty Ice, Julio, and 7-11.

If you watch this one, and if you enjoy fantasy this is one you will not want to miss, my boldest prediction is; points, points, and more points.

Good luck to the Falcons and Patriots and can’t wait until next Sunday!

That’s my Take

~David G. Ortega


Sunday, January 22, 2017

FSH NOTEBOOK: DAVID'S DAILY DIGEST









January 22nd, 2017
Sunday Morning Edition

Sunday DFS

Another Sunday, another chance to play some fantasy football. It’s been a long week, but the waiting is over and today is Championship Sunday. After last weekend’s classics, I can’t wait to tune in to watch both games today. And like last week, I will be playing some DFS.

And like last week, my anchor play today is going to be Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers ($9,600 DSF salary). He is carrying a hefty salary, but in these epic matchups today I have a feeling and believe Rodgers is going to continue his hot playoff run. Last week A-rod threw for a ton, but only found the end-zone twice; today will be different. In a shoot-out with the NFC’s number two seed, Atlanta Falcons, Rodgers is going to have to elevate his play once again to carry the Pack. With 40-plus passes today, Rodgers throws for 325+ yards and three touchdowns.

My second anchor is going to be Steelers running back Le’Veon Bell (9,500 DSF salary) There’s no question Bell is going to be heavily involved in the running game and even if the Patriots have some success slowing down the Steelers ball carrier, he’s one of the teams best pass receivers. I expect another heavy workload, but unlike last week Bell will find the end-zone.

And with this being Championship weekend and so much at stake, I am going to load up with Packers; wide receiver Randall Cobb ($6,500 DFS salary) and tight end Jared Cook ($6,400 DFS salary). 

Last week Cobb was relatively quiet not finding the end-zone, but he did grab 7 balls on 8 targets. If he sees as much work today as he did a week ago, you can expect much better numbers and likely a score.

To the contrary, Cook was much more productive catching 6 passes (on 11 targets) for 103 yards and a touchdown. These are big numbers to replicate, but it’s highly likely he’ll have every opportunity today against the Falcons defense that allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

With so much salary invested in the Packers offense, one play that I am leaning with and believe may come up big today is the Steelers wide receiver Eli Rogers ($4,900 DFS salary). Last week he did not breakout, but he did see 7 targets; a good sign he’ll be involved today. As well as the Patriots have been on defense this season, they did allow the 10th most 20+ yards completions to opposing teams.

That’s My Take.

~David G. Ortega



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